Asset Management Plan

Southwold, Ontario

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Final-Report.pdf" municipality_ids: - gx-001763 content_type: "application/pdf" captured_at: "2026-06-10T22:36:29+00:00" normalize_method: "pdf-pymupdf" normalize_version: "0.2" needs_ocr: false char_count: 188630 --- Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. 905-272-3600 February 6, 2026 [email protected] Asset Management Plan Township of Southwold ________________________ Final Report Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Table of Contents Page 1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................1-1 1.1 Overview .............................................................................................................1-1 1.2 Legislative Context for the Asset Management Plan...................................1-2 1.3 Asset Management Plan Development .........................................................1-3 2. State of Local Infrastructure and Levels of Service ..........................................2-1 2.1 Transportation ....................................................................................................2-1 2.1.1 State of Local Infrastructure ..............................................................2-1 2.1.2 Condition ..............................................................................................2-6 2.1.3 Levels of Service.............................................................................. 2-15 2.2 Tax-funded Facilities...................................................................................... 2-18 2.2.1 State of Local Infrastructure ........................................................... 2-18 2.2.2 Condition ........................................................................................... 2-20 2.2.3 Levels of Service.............................................................................. 2-21 2.3 Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment ................................................................ 2-23 2.3.1 State of Local Infrastructure ........................................................... 2-23 2.3.2 Condition ........................................................................................... 2-24 2.3.3 Levels of Service.............................................................................. 2-26 2.4 Parks and Recreation .................................................................................... 2-28 2.4.1 State of Local Infrastructure ........................................................... 2-28 2.4.2 Condition ........................................................................................... 2-29 2.4.3 Levels of Service.............................................................................. 2-31 2.5 Stormwater ...................................................................................................... 2-32 2.5.1 State of Local Infrastructure ........................................................... 2-32 2.5.2 Condition ........................................................................................... 2-33 2.5.3 Levels of Service.............................................................................. 2-35 2.6 Water ................................................................................................................ 2-37 2.6.1 State of Local Infrastructure ........................................................... 2-37 2.6.2 Condition ........................................................................................... 2-38 2.6.3 Levels of Service.............................................................................. 2-40 Table of Contents (Cont'd) Page Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. 2.7 Wastewater ..................................................................................................... 2-42 2.7.1 State of Local Infrastructure ........................................................... 2-42 2.7.2 Condition ........................................................................................... 2-43 2.7.3 Levels of Service.............................................................................. 2-45 2.8 Population and Employment Growth........................................................... 2-47 3. Lifecycle Management Strategies ..........................................................................3-1 3.1 Introduction.........................................................................................................3-1 3.2 Transportation ....................................................................................................3-2 3.3 Tax-funded Facilities.........................................................................................3-5 3.4 Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment ...................................................................3-7 3.5 Parks and Recreation .......................................................................................3-9 3.6 Stormwater ...................................................................................................... 3-11 3.7 Water ................................................................................................................ 3-11 3.8 Wastewater ..................................................................................................... 3-14 4. Financial Strategy .......................................................................................................4-1 4.1 Introduction.........................................................................................................4-1 4.2 Assets Funded by the General Tax Levy ......................................................4-2 4.2.1 Annual Capital Expenditure Forecast ..............................................4-2 4.2.2 Annual Capital Financing Forecast ..................................................4-4 4.2.3 Current Annual Lifecycle Funding Target & Infrastructure Funding Gap ........................................................................................4-5 4.2.4 Overall Financial Forecast and Estimated Impact on Tax Levy.......................................................................................................4-8 4.2.5 Estimated Impact on Tax Bills (2026-2035) ................................ 4-13 4.3 Assets Funded by Water and Wastewater Rates ..................................... 4-17 4.3.1 Annual Capital Expenditure Forecast ........................................... 4-17 4.3.2 Annual Capital Financing Forecast ............................................... 4-19 4.3.3 Current Annual Lifecycle Funding Target & Infrastructure Funding Gap ..................................................................................... 4-20 4.3.4 Overall Financial Forecast and Estimated Impact on Tax Levy.................................................................................................... 4-23 4.4 Assets Funded by Stormwater Rates ......................................................... 4-25 5. Recommendations and Next Steps ........................................................................5-1 5.1 Recommendations ............................................................................................5-1 5.2 Next Steps ..........................................................................................................5-1 Appendix A Financial Strategy Tables for Tax-funded Assets.................................. A-1 Appendix B Financial Strategy Tables for Water and Wastewater Assets............. B-1 Report Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Chapter 1 Introduction Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 1-1 1. Introduction 1.1 Overview The main objective of an asset management plan (AMP) is to use a municipality's best available information to develop a long-term plan for capital assets. In addition, the plan should provide a sufficiently documented framework that enables continual improvement and updates, ensuring its relevancy over the long term. The Township of Southwold (Township) retained Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. (Watson) to assist in developing a comprehensive AMP. The AMP covers all of the Township's infrastructure assets, with a focus on identifying proposed levels of service and developing a financial strategy to support the plan's implementation, and brings the Township into compliance with the July 1, 2025 requirements of Ontario Regulation (O. Reg.) 588/17. The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's infrastructure assets is $283.2 million. The three largest asset categories in terms of replacement cost, accounting for approximately 88% of the total, are transportation assets ($140.5 million; 50%), water system assets ($85.2 million; 30%), and tax-funded facilities ($23.8 million; 8%). The remainder of the Township's assets are valued at $33.7 million, accounting for the remaining 12% of the total replacement cost valuation. A breakdown of the replacement cost by asset category is provided in Table 1-1 and is further illustrated in Figure 1-1. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 1-2 Table 1-1: Distribution of Replacement Cost by Asset Category Asset Category Current Replacement Cost Transportation $140,544,000 Water $85,217,000 Wastewater $12,124,000 Stormwater $8,562,000 Tax-funded Facilities $23,768,000 Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment $10,812,000 Parks and Recreation $2,173,000 Total $283,200,000 Figure 1-1: Distribution of Replacement Cost by Asset Category Transportation, $140.5M, 50% Water, $85.2M, 30% Wastewater, $12.1M, 4% Stormwater, $8.6M, 3% Tax-funded Facilities, $23.8M, 8% Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment, $10.8M, 4% Parks and Recreation, $2.2M, 1% $283.2 million 1.2 Legislative Context for the Asset Management Plan Asset management planning in Ontario has evolved significantly over the past decade. Prior to 2009, it was common municipal practice to expense capital assets in the year of their acquisition or construction. Consequently, this meant that many municipalities did not have appropriate tracking of their capital assets, especially with respect to any changes that capital assets may have undergone (i.e. betterments, disposals, etc.). Furthermore, this also meant that many municipalities had not yet established inventories of their capital assets, both in their accounting structures and financial Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 1-3 statements. As a result of revisions to Section 3150 - Tangible Capital Assets of the Public Sector Accounting Board (PSAB) handbook, which came into effect for the 2009 fiscal year, municipalities were forced to change this long-standing practice and capitalize their tangible capital assets over the term of the asset's expected useful service life. In order to comply with this revision, municipalities needed to establish asset inventories, if none previously existed. In 2012, the Province launched the Municipal Infrastructure Strategy, which required municipalities and local service boards seeking provincial funding to demonstrate how any proposed project fits within a broader asset management plan. In addition, asset management plans encompassing all municipal assets needed to be prepared by the end of 2016 to meet Federal Gas Tax (now the Canada Community-Building Fund) agreement requirements. To help define the components of municipal asset management plans, the Province produced a document entitled Building Together: Guide for Municipal Asset Management Plans. This document outlined the information and analyses that were required to be included in municipal asset management plans under this initiative. The Province's Infrastructure for Jobs and Prosperity Act, 2015 (IJPA) was proclaimed on May 1, 2016. This legislation detailed principles for evidence-based and sustainable long-term infrastructure planning. The IJPA also gave the Province the authority to guide municipal asset management planning by way of regulation. In late 2017, the Province introduced O. Reg. 588/17 under the IJPA. The intent of O. Reg. 588/17 is to establish standard content for municipal asset management plans. Specifically, the regulation requires that asset management plans be developed that define levels of service, identify the lifecycle activities that will be undertaken to achieve those levels of service, and provide a financial strategy to support the levels of service and lifecycle activities. 1.3 Asset Management Plan Development The development of this asset management plan was guided by asset management strategies identified through discussions with the Township's asset managers, information gleaned through reviews of long-term planning documents and studies, service-level objectives and their impacts on the management of assets identified through engagements with both staff and Council, and detailed analyses of the Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 1-4 Township's capital asset and financial data. The key steps in the development process of this asset management plan are summarized below: 1. Compile and update underlying asset data such as quantities, ages, condition ratings, useful service life expectations, replacement cost valuations, lifecycle activity costing, etc. 2. Develop a level of service framework which sets targets for the service levels the Township proposes to provide to the public over the long term through workshops held with staff. As part of these workshops, changes to existing lifecycle management strategies to support the proposed level of service were identified. This step resulted in the development of 10-year forecasts of capital and significant operating expenditures to achieve and sustain the proposed levels of service. 3. Determine the level of capital funding that should be provided to assets on an annual basis to sustain the proposed levels of service over the long term. 4. Analyze the Township's financial data and develop a financial strategy model to identify the funding expected to be available to undertake the capital and significant operating expenditures identified previously. The financial strategy model was also utilized to determine the financial impacts associated with providing the proposed levels of service (i.e., estimated annual tax levy and tax rate increases to achieve a sustainable level of annual capital funding, additional debt requirements, impact on reserve and reserve fund balance, etc.). 5. Present the proposed levels of service and their associated financial impacts to Council in a workshop setting. The feedback received from Council was critical to ensuring that the proposed levels of service are appropriate for the Township and in further refining the financial strategy. 6. Document the asset management plan in a formal report to inform future decision-making and to communicate planning to the public. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Chapter 2 State of Local Infrastructure and Levels of Service Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-1 2. State of Local Infrastructure and Levels of Service 2.1 Transportation 2.1.1 State of Local Infrastructure The Township owns and manages a variety of transportation assets that enable the safe and efficient passage of vehicular and pedestrian traffic and contribute to the overall level of service provided by the Township. These assets comprise the Township's roads, bridges, culverts, and various road-related assets such as guiderails, sidewalks and streetlights. The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's transportation assets is $140.5 million. The Township's road network comprises roads with three surface types: asphalt, surface treatment, and gravel. The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's roads is $125.2 million. Surface treated roads represent the largest share of replacement cost at $47.0 million (38%), followed by gravel roads at $42.8 million (34%), and lastly, asphalt roads at $35.4 million (28%). The average age of the Township's roads is 18.1 years. Table 2-1 summarizes the length, average age, and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's roads by surface type. This information is further illustrated in Figure 2-1. Table 2-1: Roads - Length, Average Age, and Replacement Cost by Surface Type Surface Type Length Average Age[1] Current Replacement Cost Gravel 136.8 km 18.3 years $42,790,000 Surface Treated 71.3 km 19.9 years $46,955,000 Asphalt 29.0 km 8.7 years $35,406,000 Total 237.1 km 18.1 years $125,151,000 [1]Weighted average utilizing the surface area of road segments as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-2 Figure 2-1: Roads - Length, Average Age, and Replacement Cost by Surface Type Length Average Age Current Replacement Cost 18.3 years 19.9 years 8.7 years Gravel Surface Treated Asphalt Gravel, $42.8M, 34% Surface Treated, $47M, 38% Asphalt, $35.4M, 28% million Gravel (136.8km) Surface Treated (71.3km) Asphalt (29km) kilometres 237.1 $125.2 Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-3 The Township's transportation network is also supported by 26 structures comprising seven bridges and 19 culverts. The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's structures is $12.2 million, with culverts accounting for 57% of this replacement cost (i.e., $7.0 million) and bridges accounting for the remaining 43% (i.e., $5.2 million). The average age of the Township's structures is 33.4 years. Table 2-2 summarizes the quantity, average age, and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's structures by structure type. This information is further illustrated in Figure 2-2. Table 2-2: Structures - Quantity, Average Age, and Replacement Cost by Structure Type Structure Type Quantity Average Age[1] Current Replacement Cost Bridges 7 40.3 years $5,234,000 Culverts 19 28.2 years $6,972,000[2] Total 26 33.4 years $12,206,000 [1]Weighted average utilizing the replacement cost of each structure as weights. [2]It is noted that since the Township's Iona Road culvert is located on a municipal boundary, for which lifecycle costs are 50% shared with the Municipality of Dutton/Dunwich, the replacement costs presented in Table 2-2 include 50% of the replacement value of this culvert. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-4 Figure 2-2: Structures - Quantity, Average Age, and Replacement Cost by Structure Type Quantity Average Age Current Replacement Cost 40.3 years 28.2 years Bridges Culverts Bridges, $5.2M, 43% Culverts, $7M, 57% Bridges (7) Culverts (19) 26 $12.2 structures million Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-5 Lastly, the Township also owns and manages a variety of road-related assets which play a vital role in supporting its broader transportation network. These assets comprise guiderails, sidewalks, and streetlights located on the road right-of-way. The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's road-related assets is $3.2 million. Sidewalks represent the largest share of replacement cost at $2.1 million (65%), followed by streetlights at $560,000 (18%), and lastly, guiderails at $548,000 (17%). The average age of the Township's road-related assets is 20.3 years. Table 2-3 summarizes the quantity, average age, and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's road-related assets by asset type. This information is further illustrated in Figure 2-3. Table 2-3: Road-related Assets - Quantity, Average Age, and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Asset Type Quantity Average Age Current Replacement Cost Guiderails 5.80 km 27.1 years[1] $548,000 Sidewalks 9.99 km N/A[2] $2,079,000 Streetlights 230 streetlights 13.7 years[3] $560,000 Total 20.3 years[4] $3,187,000 [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of each guiderail as weights. [2]The year of construction of the Township's sidewalks is not readily available. As such, the weighted average age of these assets cannot be calculated at this time. [3]Weighted average utilizing the replacement cost of each streetlight as weights. [4]Weighted average utilizing the total replacement cost of each asset type as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-6 Figure 2-3: Road-related Assets - Average Age and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Average Age Current Replacement Cost 27.1 years N/A 13.7 years Guiderails Sidewalks Streetlights Guiderails, $548k, 17% Sidewalks, $2.1M, 65% Streetlights, $560k, 18% $3.2 million 2.1.2 Condition The Township periodically completes condition assessments on its road network to evaluate the frequency and severity of observed base-related pavement distresses (e.g., rutting, fatigue cracking, etc.) and surface-related pavement distresses (e.g., raveling, shoving, etc.). Each assessed road segment is subsequently assigned a surface condition rating utilizing a 10-point rating scale. To better communicate the condition of the Township's roads, surface condition ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states as summarized in Table 2-4. Table 2-4: Roads - Definition of Qualitative Condition States Surface Condition Rating Condition State Description of Expected Ride Quality[1] 9 < Rating ≤ 10 Very Good No ride discomfort expected at speed limit 6 < Rating ≤ 9 Good Minor ride discomfort expected at speed limit 3 < Rating ≤ 6 Fair Increased ride discomfort expected at speed limit; may need to reduce speed due to safety concerns 0 ≤ Rating ≤ 3 Poor Unable to travel at speed limit due to significant ride discomfort and safety concerns [1]Descriptions are adapted from the Township's 2024 Road Needs Study completed by CD Watters Engineering Ltd. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-7 The Township most recently assessed the surface condition of its roads as part of its 2024 Road Needs Study. Based on the results of this assessment, the Township's paved (i.e., surface treated and asphalt) roads were assessed to have an average surface condition rating of 7.1. This would indicate that the Township's paved roads were in an overall 'Good' condition state (on average) at the time of the assessment and can be expected to provide a comfortable ride quality, with some minor discomfort expected when travelling at the posted speed limit. The Township's 2024 Road Needs Study also assigned surface condition ratings to its unpaved (i.e., gravel) road segments based on their observed physical state to provide a numeric representation of their condition. The Township's unpaved roads were assessed to have an average surface condition rating of 5.8, indicating that gravel roads were in an overall 'Fair' condition state at the time of the assessment. Based on this assessment, users may experience increased discomfort when travelling at the posted speed limit on gravel roads. It is noted that the condition of gravel roads can change rapidly and unpredictably due to factors such as weather conditions and recency of maintenance activities (e.g., re- grading, application of dust suppressant, spot applications of granular, etc.). Therefore, the current condition of the Township's gravel roads may be significantly different from what was observed as part of the 2024 Road Needs Study's assessment (and is presented herein). Table 2-5 summarizes the average surface condition rating and associated condition states of the Township's roads by surface type. Table 2-5: Roads - Average Surface Condition Rating and Associated Condition States by Surface Type Surface Type Average Surface Condition Rating[1] Condition State Asphalt 8.1 Good Surface Treated 6.6 Good Average (Paved) 7.1 Good Gravel 5.8 Fair Average (Overall) 6.3 Good [1]Weighted average utilizing the surface area of road segments as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-8 The distribution (surface area) of the Township's roads by condition state and surface type is illustrated in Figure 2-4 and the distribution (surface area) of the Township's roads by condition rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-5. Figure 2-4: Roads - Distribution (by surface area) of Roads by Condition State and Surface Type 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Gravel Surface Treated Asphalt Percentage of Surface Area (m2) Surface Type Very Good Good Fair Poor Figure 2-5: Roads - Distribution (by surface area) of Roads by Condition Rating Range 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Surface Area (m2) Condition Rating Range In accordance with Ontario Regulation 104/97: Standards for Bridges (O. Reg. 104/97), the Township completes biennial inspections of its bridges based on the Ontario Structure Inspection Manual (OSIM). To provide an overall measure of condition, Bridge Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-9 Condition Index (BCI) ratings are calculated by assigning weighted values to the condition of various structural (e.g., deck, foundation, superstructure, substructure, girders/beams, bearings, etc.) and non-structural elements (e.g., sidewalks, curbs, handrails, barriers, signage, etc.). BCI ratings are typically represented on a scale of 0 to 100, with 100 being a bridge in new or as-new condition. To better communicate the condition of the Township's structures, BCI ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states as summarized in Table 2-6. Table 2-6: Structures - Definition of Qualitative Condition States BCI Rating Range Condition State Description 70 ≤ BCI ≤ 100 Good Repair and/or rehabilitation activities are typically not required to be completed within the next five years. Routine maintenance activities (e.g., sweeping, cleaning, washing, etc.) are still recommended. 50 ≤ BCI < 70 Fair Repair and/or rehabilitation activities are typically required to be completed within the next five years. Structures in this condition state are ideal candidates for scheduling major lifecycle activities as further deterioration in condition often leads to uneconomical increases in repair and/or rehabilitation costs. 0 ≤ BCI < 50 Poor Repair and/or rehabilitation activities are typically required to be completed within the next year. However, if it is determined that replacing the structure would be a more viable, practical, or economical solution, the structure can be identified for continued monitoring and scheduled for replacement within the short-to-medium term. Based on its 2024 OSIM Inspection Report, the Township's structures have an average BCI rating of 75.9, indicating that, on average, structures are in a 'Good' condition state. Table 2-7 summarizes the average BCI rating and associated condition states of the Township's structures. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-10 Table 2-7: Structures - Average BCI Ratings and Condition States by Structure Type Structure Type Average BCI Rating[1] Condition State Bridges 77.9 Good Culverts 74.4 Good Total 75.9 Good The distribution (replacement cost) of the Township's structures by condition state and structure type is illustrated in Figure 2-6 and by BCI rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-7. Figure 2-6: Structures - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by Condition State and Structure Type 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Bridges Culverts Percentage of Replacement Cost Structure Type Good Fair Poor Unknown [1]Weighted average utilizing the replacement cost of structures as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-11 Figure 2-7: Structures - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by BCI Rating Range 3 bridges 2 culverts 1 culvert 4 culverts 3 culverts 1 culvert 1 bridge 4 culverts 1 bridge 2 culverts 1 bridge 2 culverts 1 bridge $0.0M $0.5M $1.0M $1.5M $2.0M $2.5M $3.0M Replacement Cost BCI Rating Range Similar to its roads, the Township periodically completes condition assessments on its sidewalks and assigns each assessed sidewalk segment a condition rating using a 10- point rating scale based on the frequency and severity of observed defects. To better communicate the condition of the Township's sidewalks, condition ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states as summarized in Table 2-8. Table 2-8: Sidewalks - Definition of Qualitative Condition States Condition Rating Condition State 8 < Rating ≤ 10 Excellent 7 < Rating ≤ 8 Very Good 5 < Rating ≤ 7 Good 4 < Rating ≤ 5 Fair 2 < Rating ≤ 4 Poor 1 < Rating ≤ 2 Very Poor Rating = 1 Failed The Township most recently assessed the condition of its sidewalks as part of its 2024 Road Needs Study. Based on the results of this assessment, the Township's sidewalks Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-12 were assessed to have an average condition rating of 6.6[1]. This would indicate that the Township's sidewalks were in an overall 'Good' condition state (on average) at the time of the assessment, with some general defects such as scaling, spalling, and hairline-to- medium sized cracking observed. The distribution (length) of the Township's sidewalks by condition rating is illustrated in Figure 2-8. Figure 2-8: Sidewalks - Distribution (by length) of Assets by Condition Rating Range 0.0 km 1.0 km 2.0 km 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Length of Sidewalks (km) Condition Rating Range Lastly, the condition of the Township's guiderails and streetlights has not been directly assessed through physical condition assessments. For the purposes of this asset management plan, condition ratings have been assigned to these assets based on their ages relative to their respective useful service life expectancies (i.e., based on the percentage of useful service life consumed (ULC%)). A brand-new asset would have a ULC% of 0%, indicating that none of the asset's life expectancy has been utilized. Conversely, an asset that has reached the end of its life expectancy would have a ULC% of 100%. It is possible for assets to have a ULC% greater than 100%, which occurs if the asset has exceeded its typical life expectancy but continues to be in service. This is not necessarily a cause for concern; however, it must be recognized that assets near or beyond their typical useful service life expectancy are likely to require [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of each sidewalk segment as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-13 replacement or rehabilitation in the near term, may exhibit reduced reliability, and may have increasing repair and maintenance costs. To better communicate the condition of assets, ULC% ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states, as summarized in Table 2-9. The scale is set to show that if assets are replaced at the end of their expected useful service life, they would be in a "Fair" condition state. For assets that remain in service beyond their useful service life expectancies (i.e., ULC% > 100%), their probabilities of failure are assumed to have increased to a point where these assets would be characterized as being in a "Poor" or "Very Poor" condition state. Table 2-9: Definition of Condition States based on ULC% Ranges ULC% Condition State 0% ≤ ULC% ≤ 45% Very Good 45% < ULC% ≤ 90% Good 90% < ULC% ≤ 100% Fair 100% < ULC% ≤ 125% Poor 125% < ULC% Very Poor The Township's guiderails and streetlights have an average ULC% of 100.0%, indicating that they are currently in a 'Fair' condition state, on average. Table 2-10 summarizes the average ULC% and associated condition states of these assets by asset type. Table 2-10: Streetlights and Guiderails - Average ULC% and Condition States by Asset Type Asset Type Average ULC%[1] Condition State Guiderails 131.9% Very Poor Streetlights 68.8% Good Average 100.0%[2] Fair [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of each guiderail and the replacement cost of each streetlight as weights. [2]Weighted average utilizing the total replacement cost of each asset type as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-14 It is noted that an age-based condition assessment (as presented above) may not always be an accurate proxy for the condition of guiderails, as they can be maintained in adequate condition for an extended period through the completion of maintenance and repair activities, which are typically conducted in coordination with planned road work. The distribution (length) of the Township's guiderails by ULC% rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-9. Figure 2-9: Guiderails - Distribution (by length) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range 0.0 km 0.5 km 1.0 km 1.5 km 2.0 km 2.5 km 3.0 km 3.5 km 4.0 km 4.5 km 5.0 km Length of Guiderails (km) ULC% Rating Range The distribution (replacement cost) of the Township's streetlights by ULC% rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-10. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-15 Figure 2-10: Streetlights - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range $0K $75K $150K $225K $300K $375K $450K Replacement Cost ULC% Rating Range 2.1.3 Levels of Service The levels of service currently provided by the Township's transportation assets are, in part, a result of the state of local infrastructure presented above. The levels of service framework presented in this subsection identifies both the levels of service that assets are currently providing as well as the proposed levels of service (i.e., target performance) that the Township is striving towards. The levels of service frameworks presented in this asset management plan were developed by identifying service aspects that would be of interest to end users (and more broadly, the general public) and in consideration of available data. The Township's levels of service frameworks are organized in tables, which are structured as follows: - The 'Service Attribute' column in Table 2-11 indicates the high-level attribute being addressed; - The 'Community Levels of Service' column in Table 2-11 explains the Township's intent in plain language and provides additional information about the service being provided; - The 'Performance Measure' column in Table 2-12 describes the performance measure(s) connected to the identified service attribute; Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-16 - The 'Current Performance' column in Table 2-12 identifies the current level of service with respect to each performance measure based on the best available data; and - The 'Target Performance' column in Table 2-12 identifies the proposed level of service with respect to each performance measure. Table 2-11: Transportation Assets - Community Levels of Service Service Attribute Community Levels of Service Scope The Township's transportation assets enable the safe and efficient movement of people and goods within the Township and provide connectivity to regional roads. In addition to passenger vehicles, the Township's transportation assets also support commercial truck traffic, movement of agricultural equipment, and reliable emergency vehicle access to all areas of the Township. The broader transportation network also supports active transportation modes such as walking and cycling. Quality The Township strives to maintain its transportation assets at a level that supports the safe and efficient passage of vehicular and pedestrian traffic. To aid in interpreting the condition of transportation assets, descriptions of different condition states are summarized in Section 2.1.2. General descriptions of how each condition state affects the use of assets is also provided in therein. Table 2-12: Transportation Assets - Technical Levels of Service Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance Scope Number of lane-kilometres of arterial roads as a proportion of square kilometres of land area of the Township. Not Applicable[1] Not Applicable Number of lane-kilometres of collector roads as a proportion of square kilometres of land area of the Township. 0.23 km/km² 0.23 km/km² [1]The Township does not currently own and maintain any arterial roads within its road network. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-17 Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance Number of lane-kilometres of local roads as a proportion of square kilometres of land area of the Township. 0.55 km/km² 0.55 km/km² Percentage of bridges in the Township with loading or dimensional restrictions. 0% 0% Percentage (by length) of roads with an asphalt surface. 12% 12% Percentage (by length) of roads with surface treatment. 30% 41%[1] Percentage (by length) of roads with a gravel surface. 58% 47%[1] Quality For paved roads in the municipality, the average Pavement Condition Index value. 71[2] Maximize For unpaved roads in the Township, the average surface condition. Fair Good to Fair For bridges in the Township, the average bridge condition index value. 78 Maximize For structural culverts in the Township, the average bridge condition index value. 74 Maximize Average condition rating (and condition state) of sidewalks. 6.6 (Good) Maximize Percentage (by length) of sidewalks in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 93% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of streetlights in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 90% Maximize [1]The Township plans to convert approximately 26.7 km of its gravel roads to surface treatment over the next 10 years. [2]As mentioned in Section 2.1.2, the Township assesses the condition of its road segments utilizing a 10- point rating scale as summarized in Table 2-4. The average surface condition rating of paved roads has been multiplied by a factor of 10 to provide an estimate of the average pavement condition index value, which is typically reported on a scale of 0 to 100. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-18 2.2 Tax-funded Facilities 2.2.1 State of Local Infrastructure The Township owns and manages 27 facilities that support the provision of the various municipal services that are funded by the general tax levy. The inventory includes administrative facilities (municipal office, medical centre, and library at Keystone complex), fire stations (Shedden and Talbotville fire stations), public works facilities (e.g., Public Works garage, salt and sand storage building, etc.), and recreation facilities (e.g., Keystone complex, park pavilions, concession booths, etc.). The estimated current replacement cost of Township's facilities is $23.8 million. Public works facilities represent the largest share of replacement cost at $6.9 million (29%), followed by recreation facilities at $6.6 million (28%), fire stations at $5.9 million (25%), and lastly, administrative facilities at $4.3 million (18%). The average age of the Township's facilities is 16.5 years. Table 2-13 summarizes the quantity, gross floor area, average age, and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's facilities by service area. This information is further illustrated in Figure 2-11. Table 2-13: Facilities - Quantity, Gross Floor Area, Average Age, and Replacement Cost by Service Area Service Area Quantity Gross Floor Area Average Age[1] Current Replacement Cost Administration 3 facilities 11,300 ft2 32.6 years $4,299,000 Fire Services 2 facilities 14,500 ft2 7.8 years $5,943,000 Public Works 5 facilities 35,000 ft2 11.4 years $6,905,000 Recreation & Culture 17 facilities 26,900 ft2 20.8 years $6,621,000 Total 27 facilities 87,600 ft2 16.5 years $23,768,000 [1]Weighted average utilizing the gross floor area of each facility as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-19 Figure 2-11: Facilities - Gross Floor Area, Average Age, and Replacement Cost by Service Area Gross Floor Area Average Age Current Replacement Cost 32.6 years 7.8 years 11.4 years 20.8 years Administration Fire Public Works Recreation and Culture Administration, $4.3M, 18% Fire, $5.9M, 25% Public Works, $6.9M, 29% Recreation and Culture, $6.6M, 28% $23.8 million Administration (11,260 sq.ft) Fire (14,500 sq.ft) Public Works (34,950 sq.ft) Recreation and Culture (26,900 sq.ft) 87,600 square feet Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-20 2.2.2 Condition The condition of the Township's facilities has not been formally assessed through physical condition assessments. For the purposes of this asset management plan, condition ratings have been assigned to the various building elements comprising each facility based on each element's age relative to its respective useful service life (i.e. based on the percentage of useful service life consumed (ULC%))[1]. Please refer to Section 2.1.2 for further information on this condition assessment methodology. Calculated ULC% ratings of each facility's respective building elements were subsequently averaged to provide a high-level indicator of each facility's overall condition. To better communicate the condition of facilities, these average ULC% ratings were segmented into qualitative condition states as summarized previously in Table 2-9. The average ULC% of the Township's facilities is 30.1%, indicating that, on average, building elements are currently in a 'Very Good' condition state. Table 2-14 summarizes the average ULC% and associated condition states of the facilities by service area. Table 2-14: Facilities - Average ULC% and Condition States by Service Area Service Area Average ULC%[2] Condition State Administration 37.7% Very Good Fire Services 22.9% Very Good Public Works 22.3% Very Good Recreation and Culture 41.0% Very Good Average 30.1% Very Good The distribution (gross floor area) of the Township's facilities by condition state and service area is illustrated in Figure 2-12 and by ULC% rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-13. [1]It is noted that the inventory of building elements comprising each facility is based on the Township's Citywide database. Consequently, any building elements not inventoried in the Township's Citywide database are excluded from the condition assessment presented herein. [2]Weighted average using replacement cost of each asset as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-21 Figure 2-12: Facilities - Distribution (by gross floor area) of Assets by Condition State and Service Area 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Administration Fire Public Works Recreation and Culture Percentage of Gross Floor Area Service Area Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor Figure 2-13: Facilities - Distribution (by gross floor area) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range 3 facilities 2 facilities 1 facility 2 facilities 1 facility 1 facility 1 facility 3 facilities 1 facility 2 facilities 1 facility 1 facility 1 facility 0 sq.ft 4,000 sq.ft 8,000 sq.ft 12,000 sq.ft 16,000 sq.ft 20,000 sq.ft 24,000 sq.ft Gross Floor Area ULC% Rating Range 2.2.3 Levels of Service This subsection presents the Township's levels of service framework for facilities. Table 2-15 presents the Service Attributes and Community Levels of Service while Table 2-16 presents the Technical Levels of Service (i.e., performance measures). Please refer to section 2.1.3 for further details on the Township's levels of service framework. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-22 Table 2-15: Facilities - Community Levels of Service Service Attribute Community Levels of Service Capacity The Township strives to align the capacity of its facilities with the service demands of its community. Quality The Township strives to maintain its facilities in adequate condition to continue effectively supporting the provision of municipal services. Table 2-16: Facilities - Technical Levels of Service Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance Capacity Gross floor area (square footage) of administrative facilities per 100 residents. 205 ft2 / 100 residents[1] 177 ft2 / 100 residents[1] Gross floor area (square footage) of fire stations per 100 residents. 263 ft2 / 100 residents[1] 228 ft2 / 100 residents[1] Gross floor area (square footage) of public works facilities per kilometre of roads. 147 ft2 / kilometre 147 ft2 / kilometre Gross floor area (square footage) of recreation facilities per 100 residents. 489 ft2 / 100 residents[1] 422 ft2 / 100 residents[1] Quality Percentage (by gross floor area) of administrative facilities in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize Percentage (by gross floor area) of fire stations in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize Percentage (by gross floor area) of public works facilities in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize Percentage (by gross floor area) of recreation facilities in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize [1]Based on population projections provided in the Township's 2020 Development Charges Background Study. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-23 2.3 Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment 2.3.1 State of Local Infrastructure The Township's inventory of fleet and equipment assets comprises vehicles ranging from light-duty pickup trucks to larger vehicles such as plow trucks, graders, and fire fleet assets such as tankers and pumpers. The inventory also includes various pieces of equipment that support public works operations, administrative functions, and fire- fighting activities. The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's fleet and equipment assets is $10.8 million. Public works fleet assets represent the largest share of replacement cost at $5.9 million (55%), followed by fire fleet assets at $2.7 million (25%), fire-fighting equipment at $1.1 million (11%), public works equipment at $688,000 (6%), general administrative equipment (including IT assets) at $292,000 (3%), and lastly, vehicles belonging to Building and Community Services (BCS) at $91,000 (1%). The average age of the Township's fleet and equipment assets is 6.9 years. Table 2-17 summarizes the average age and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's fleet and equipment assets by asset type. This information is further illustrated in Figure 2-14. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-24 Table 2-17: Fleet and Equipment - Average Age and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Asset Type Examples Average Age[1] Current Replacement Cost Fire Equipment Radios, SCBAs, bunker gear etc. 4.8 years $1,136,000 Fire Vehicles Pumpers, tankers, rescue vehicles, etc. 9.3 years $2,659,000 Public Works Equipment Generators, mowers, cardlock fuel system, etc. 18.7 years $688,000 Public Works Fleet Plows, pickup trucks, loaders, backhoes, etc. 4.9 years $5,946,000 Administrative Equipment IT hardware, office furniture, etc. 7.6 years $292,000 Building and Community Services Vehicles Pickup trucks (2) 3.0 years $91,000 Total 6.9 years $10,812,000 Figure 2-14: Fleet and Equipment - Average Age and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Average Age Current Replacement Cost 4.8 years 9.3 years 18.7 years 4.9 years 7.6 years 3.0 years Fire Equipment Fire Vehicles Public Works Equipment Public Works Fleet Administrative Equipment BCS Fleet Fire Equipment, $1.1M, 11% Fire Vehicles, $2.7M, 25% Public Works Equipment, $688k, 6% Public Works Fleet, $5.9M, 55% Administrative Equipment, $292k, 3% BCS Fleet, $91k, 1% $10.8 million 2.3.2 Condition The condition of the Township's fleet and equipment assets has not been directly assessed through physical condition assessments. For the purposes of this asset management plan, condition ratings have been assigned to assets based on age [1]Weighted average utilizing the replacement cost of each asset as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-25 relative to useful service life (i.e. based on the percentage of useful service life consumed (ULC%)). To better communicate the condition of these assets, ULC% ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states as summarized previously in Table 2-9. Please refer to Section 2.1.2 for further information on this condition assessment methodology. The Township's fleet and equipment assets have an average ULC% of 48.3%, indicating that, on average, assets are currently in a 'Good' condition state. Table 2-18 summarizes the average ULC% and associated condition states of the fleet and equipment assets by asset type. Table 2-18: Fleet and Equipment - Average ULC% and Condition States by Asset Type Asset Type Average ULC%[1] Condition State Fire Equipment 49.2% Good Fire Vehicles 47.8% Good Public Works Equipment 123.4% Poor Public Works Fleet 36.3% Very Good Administrative Equipment 118.9% Poor Building and Community Services Vehicles 42.9% Very Good Average 48.3% Good The distribution (replacement cost) of the Township's fleet and equipment assets by condition state and asset type is illustrated in Figure 2-15 and by ULC% rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-16. [1]Weighted average using replacement cost of each asset as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-26 Figure 2-15: Fleet and Equipment Assets - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by Condition State and Asset Type 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Fire Equipment Fire Vehicles Public Works Equipment Public Works Fleet Administrative Equipment BCS Fleet Percentage of Replacement Cost Asset Type Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor Figure 2-16: Fleet and Equipment Assets - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range $0.0M $0.2M $0.4M $0.6M $0.8M $1.0M $1.2M $1.4M $1.6M Replacement Cost ULC% Rating 2.3.3 Levels of Service This subsection presents the Township's levels of service framework for fleet and equipment assets. Table 2-19 presents the Service Attributes and Community Levels of Service, while Table 2-20 presents the Technical Levels of Service (i.e., performance Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-27 measures). Please refer to section 2.1.3 for further details on the Township's levels of service framework. Table 2-19: Fleet and Equipment - Community Levels of Service Service Attribute Community Levels of Service Reliability The Township strives to minimize the number and impact of unplanned repair/maintenance activities performed on its fleet and equipment assets. Table 2-20: Fleet and Equipment - Technical Levels of Service Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance Reliability Percentage (by replacement cost) of fire-fighting equipment in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 95% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of fire fleet assets in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 87% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of public works equipment assets in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 24% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of public works fleet assets in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 97% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of general administrative equipment assets in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 68% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of Building and Community Services vehicles in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-28 2.4 Parks and Recreation 2.4.1 State of Local Infrastructure The Township owns and manages a variety of parks and recreation assets comprising ball diamonds and sport courts, lighting and fencing assets, play equipment, parking lots, and other miscellaneous equipment assets such as picnic tables, chairs, audio/video equipment, kitchen appliances, etc. The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's parks and recreation assets is $2.2 million. Lighting and fencing assets represent the largest share of this replacement cost at $881,000 (41%), followed by play equipment at $539,000 (25%), ball diamonds and sport courts at $313,000 (14%), miscellaneous equipment assets at $308,000 (14%), and lastly, parking lots at $132,000 (6%). The average age of the Township's parks and recreation assets is approximately 9.8 years. Table 2-21 summarizes the average age and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's parks and recreation assets by asset type and this information is further illustrated in Figure 2-17. Table 2-21: Parks and Recreation - Average Age and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Asset Type Average Age[1] Current Replacement Cost Ball Diamonds and Sport Courts 10.8 years $313,000 Lighting and Fencing 9.5 years $881,000 Play Equipment 9.4 years $539,000 Parking Lots 7.4 years $132,000 Misc. Equipment 11.5 years $308,000 Total 9.8 years $2,173,000 [1]Weighted average utilizing the replacement cost of each asset as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-29 Figure 2-17: Parks and Recreation - Average Age and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Average Age Current Replacement Cost 10.8 years 9.5 years 9.4 years 7.4 years 11.5 years Ball Diamonds and Sport Courts Lighting and Fencing Play Equipment Parking Lots Misc. Equipment Ball Diamonds and Sport Courts, $313k, 14% Lighting and Fencing, $881k, 41% Play Equipment, $539k, 25% Parking Lots, $132k, 6% Misc. Equipment, $308k, 14% $2.2 million 2.4.2 Condition The condition of the Township's parks and recreation assets has not been directly assessed through physical condition assessments. For the purposes of this asset management plan, condition ratings have been assigned to assets based on age relative to useful service life (i.e. based on the percentage of useful service life consumed (ULC%)). To better communicate the condition of these assets, ULC% ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states as summarized previously in Table 2-9. Please refer to Section 2.1.2 for further information on this condition assessment methodology. The Township's parks and recreation assets have an average ULC% of 69.5%, indicating that, on average, assets are currently in a 'Good' condition state. Table 2-22 summarizes the average ULC% and associated condition states of the parks and recreation assets. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-30 Table 2-22: Parks and Recreation - Average ULC% and Condition State by Asset Type Asset Type Average ULC%[1] Condition State Ball Diamonds and Sport Courts 62.0% Good Lighting and Fencing 59.9% Good Play Equipment 62.5% Good Parking Lots 74.1% Good Misc. Equipment 114.8% Poor Average 69.5% Good The distribution (replacement cost) of the Township's parks and recreation assets by condition state and asset type is illustrated in Figure 2-18 and by ULC% rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-19. Figure 2-18: Parks and Recreation - Distribution (replacement cost) of Assets by Condition State and Asset Type 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Ball Diamonds and Sport Courts Lighting and Fencing Play Equipment Parking Lots Misc. Equipment Percentage of Replacement Cost Asset Type Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor [1]Weighted average using replacement cost of each asset as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-31 Figure 2-19: Parks and Recreation - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range $0K $50K $100K $150K $200K $250K $300K $350K $400K Replacement Cost ULC% Range 2.4.3 Levels of Service This subsection presents the Township's levels of service frameworks for its parks and recreation assets. Table 2-23 presents the Service Attributes and Community Levels of Service, while Table 2-24 presents the Technical Levels of Service (i.e., performance measures). Please refer to section 2.1.3 for further details on the Township's levels of service framework. Table 2-23: Parks and Recreation - Community Levels of Service Service Attribute Community Levels of Service Reliability The Township strives to maintain its parks and recreation assets in adequate condition to continue providing a satisfactory user experience. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-32 Table 2-24: Parks and Recreation - Technical Levels of Service Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance Reliability Percentage (by replacement cost) of ball diamonds and sport courts in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 80% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of lighting and fencing assets in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 82% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of play equipment assets in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 79% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of parking lots in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 62% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of miscellaneous equipment assets in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 80% Maximize 2.5 Stormwater 2.5.1 State of Local Infrastructure The Township's stormwater system supports the management of stormwater runoff, provides flood protection, manages the rate of groundwater discharge while helping to recharge groundwater reserves, and helps stop contaminants from entering the water supply. The system is supported by 8.6 km of stormwater mains and numerous catch basins and manholes. The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's stormwater system assets is $8.6 million. Stormwater mains represent the largest share of the replacement cost at $8.1 million (95%), followed by catch basins at $259,000 (3%), and manholes at $176,000 (2%). The average age of the Township's stormwater system assets is 2.1 years. Table 2-21 summarizes the average age and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's stormwater system assets by asset type and this information is further illustrated in Figure 2-17. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-33 Table 2-25: Stormwater - Average Age and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Asset Type Average Age[1] Current Replacement Cost Catch Basins 2.4 years $259,000 Manholes 2.3 years $176,000 Stormwater Mains 2.0 years[2] $8,127,000 Total 2.1 years[3] $8,562,000 Figure 2-20: Stormwater - Average Age and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Average Age Current Replacement Cost 2.4 years 2.3 years 2.0 years Catchbasins Manholes Stormwater Mains Catchbasins, $259k, 3% Manholes, $176k, 2% Stormwater Mains, $8.1M, 95% $8.6 million 2.5.2 Condition The condition of the Township's stormwater system assets has not been directly assessed through physical condition assessments. For the purposes of this asset management plan, condition ratings have been assigned to assets based on age relative to useful service life (i.e. based on the percentage of useful service life consumed (ULC%)). To better communicate the condition of these assets, ULC% ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states as summarized previously [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of stormwater mains and replacement cost of other assets as weights. [2]It is noted that the ages of approximately 75% (by length) of the Township's stormwater mains are not readily available. As such, these assets are excluded from the calculation of average age presented herein. [3]Weighted average utilizing the total replacement cost of each asset type as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-34 in Table 2-9. Please refer to Section 2.1.2 for further information on this condition assessment methodology. The Township's stormwater assets have an average ULC% of 2.7%, indicating that, on average, assets are in a 'Very Good' condition state. Table 2-26 summarizes the average ULC% and associated condition states of stormwater assets. Table 2-26: Stormwater - Average ULC% and Condition States by Asset Type Asset Type Average ULC%[1] Condition State Catch Basins 3.2% Very Good Manholes 3.1% Very Good Stormwater Mains 2.7%[2] Very Good Average 3.2%[3] Very Good The distribution (replacement cost) of the Township's stormwater assets by condition state and asset type is illustrated in Figure 2-21 and by ULC% rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-22. [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of stormwater mains and replacement cost of other assets as weights. [2]As noted earlier in Section 2.5.1, the ages of approximately 75% (by length) of the Township's stormwater mains are not readily available. As such, ULC% rating cannot be calculated for these assets at this time and these assets are excluded from the calculation of weighted average ULC%. [3]Weighted average utilizing the replacement cost of assets as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-35 Figure 2-21: Stormwater - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by Condition State and Asset Type 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Catchbasins Manholes Stormwater Mains Percentage of Replacement Cost Asset Type Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor Figure 2-22: Stormwater - Distribution (replacement cost) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range $0.0M $0.5M $1.0M $1.5M $2.0M $2.5M Replacement Cost ULC% Range 2.5.3 Levels of Service This section presents the Township's levels of service framework for stormwater assets. Table 2-27 presents the Service Attributes and Community Levels of Service, while Table 2-28 presents the Technical Levels of Service (i.e., performance measures). Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-36 Please refer to section 2.1.3 for further details on the Township's levels of service framework. Table 2-27: Stormwater - Community Levels of Service Service Attribute Community Levels of Service Scope The stormwater management system enables collection and retention of stormwater within the Township. Reliability The Township strives to maintain its stormwater system assets in adequate condition to reliably provide flood protection to properties and roads, manage the rate of groundwater discharge, and assist in reducing the level of contamination entering the natural environment. Table 2-28: Stormwater - Technical Levels of Service Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance Scope Percentage of properties in municipality resilient to a 100-year storm. 15% 15% Percentage of the municipal stormwater management system resilient to a 5-year storm. 48% 100% Reliability Percentage (by length) of stormwater mains in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100%[1] Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of catch basins in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of manholes in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize [1]As noted earlier in Section 2.5.2, an age-based condition assessment cannot be completed for approximately 75% (by length) of the Township's stormwater mains due to data limitations. As such, these assets have been excluded from the calculation of the current performance of this measure. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-37 2.6 Water 2.6.1 State of Local Infrastructure The Township's water distribution system provides potable water for residential and business consumption, fire suppression needs, and also for the Township's own maintenance operations and facilities. The system is supported by 245.9 km of watermains, a number of water meters, a pickup truck, and water facilities that support secondary disinfection and pressure boosting. It is noted that primary disinfection is undertaken by the Elgin Area Primary Water Supply system, which provides treated water to the Township's water distribution system. It is further noted that while the Township owns all water system assets and is responsible for funding their lifecycle requirements, the operation of the Township's water distribution system is contracted to the Ontario Clean Water Agency (OCWA). The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's water system assets is $85.2 million. Watermains represent the largest share of this replacement cost at $82.7 million (97%), followed by water meters at $1.3 million (2%), water facilities at $1.2 million (1%), and lastly, the pickup truck at $63,000 (0.1%). The average age of the Township's water system assets is 20.8 years. Table 2-29 summarizes the quantity, average age, and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's water system assets and this information is further illustrated in Figure 2-23. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-38 Table 2-29: Water - Quantity, Average Age, and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Asset Type Quantity Average Age[1] Current Replacement Cost Watermains 245.9 km 20.7 years $82,679,000 Water Meters 1,752 meters 14.4 years $1,314,000 Fleet Assets 1 pickup truck 2.0 years $63,000 Facilities 2 facilities 38.1 years $1,161,000 Total 20.8 years[2] $85,217,000 Figure 2-23: Water - Average Age and Replacement Cost by Asset Type Average Age Current Replacement Cost 20.7 years 14.4 years 2.0 years 38.1 years Watermains, $82.7M, 97% Water Meters, $1.3M, 2% Fleet Assets, $63k, 0.1% Facilities, $1.2M, 1% $85.2 million 20.7 years 14.4 years 2.0 years 38.1 years Watermains Water Meters Fleet Assets Facilities 2.6.2 Condition The condition of the Township's water system assets has not been directly assessed through physical condition assessments. For the purposes of this asset management plan, condition ratings have been assigned to assets based on age relative to useful service life (i.e. based on the percentage of useful service life consumed (ULC%)). To better communicate the condition of assets, ULC% ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states, as summarized previously in Table 2-9. Please refer to Section 2.1.2 for further information on this condition assessment methodology. [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of watermains and the replacement cost of other assets as weights. [2]Weighted average utilizing the total replacement cost of each asset type as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-39 The Township's water system assets have an average ULC% of 29.2%, indicating that, on average, assets are in a 'Very Good' condition state. Table 2-30 summarizes the average ULC% ratings and associated condition states of the Township's water system assets by asset type. Table 2-30: Water - Average ULC% and Condition States by Asset Type Asset Type Average ULC%[1] Condition State Watermains 27.6% Very Good Water Meters 71.8% Good Fleet Assets 28.6% Very Good Facilities 90.4% Fair Average 29.2%[2] Very Good The distribution (replacement cost) of the Township's water system assets by condition state and asset type is illustrated in Figure 2-24 and the distribution (length) of the Township's watermains by ULC% rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-25. Figure 2-24: Water - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by Condition State and Asset Type 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Watermains Water Meters Fleet Assets Facilities Percentage of Replacement Cost Asset Type Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of water mains and the replacement cost of other assets as weights. [2]Weighted average utilizing the total replacement cost of each asset type as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-40 Figure 2-25: Watermains - Distribution (by length) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range 0 km 10 km 20 km 30 km 40 km 50 km 60 km 70 km 80 km 90 km Length of Watermains (km) ULC% Range 2.6.3 Levels of Service This subsection presents the Township's levels of service frameworks for its water assets. Table 2-31 presents the Service Attributes and Community Levels of Service while Table 2-32 presents the Technical Levels of Service (i.e., performance measures). Please refer to section 2.1.3 for further details on the Township's levels of service framework. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-41 Table 2-31: Water - Community Levels of Service Service Attribute Community Levels of Service Scope The Township's water distribution system provides potable water for residential and business consumption, as well as for the Township's own maintenance and fire-fighting operations and its facilities. The system provides fire flow to most connected properties. Reliability The Township manages its water distribution system with the goal of reliably delivering clean drinking water while also minimizing service interruptions and occurrences of adverse water quality events. Boil water advisories can be triggered by adverse water quality reports from routine water testing or from ad hoc tests done after events that may have allowed contaminants into the system (e.g., watermain breaks). Service interruptions can be caused by routine municipal work, including watermain replacements, water system repairs, service connection repairs, and maintenance of water system facilities. Table 2-32: Water - Technical Levels of Service Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance Scope Percentage of properties connected to the municipal water systems. 90%[1] 90% Percentage of properties where fire flow is available. 69%[2] 69% Reliability The number of connection-days per year where a boil water advisory notice is in place compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal water systems. 3.96 connection days / connection[3] 0 connection days / connection [1]Based on the best available data, 1,850 properties out of a total of 2,059 properties in the Township are connected to the municipal water system. [2]It is noted that watermain segments under 150 mm (6 inch) diameter, representing approximately 24% of the Township's watermain network, do not have fire hydrants installed. As such, it is estimated that an equivalent percentage of connected properties (24% or approx. 439 properties) do not have fire flow available. [3]The Township issued one boil water advisory (BWA) in 2025, which was caused by a watermain break. The BWA lasted approximately four days, and all connected properties were affected. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-42 Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance The number of connection-days per year lost due to water main breaks compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal water systems. 0.33 connection days / connection[1] 0 connection days / connection Percentage (by length) of watermains in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize 2.7 Wastewater 2.7.1 State of Local Infrastructure The Township's wastewater collection and treatment system services primarily residential customers but also some light commercial and industrial customers in the settlement area of Talbotville. The system is supported by 2.4 km of wastewater mains and a wastewater treatment plant. It is noted that, similar to the water distribution system, while the Township owns all wastewater system assets and is responsible for funding their lifecycle requirements, the operation of the system is contracted to the Ontario Clean Water Agency (OCWA). The estimated current replacement cost of the Township's wastewater system is $12.1 million, with wastewater mains accounting for 53% of this replacement cost (i.e., $6.4 million) and the wastewater treatment plant accounting for the remaining 47% (i.e., $5.7 million). The average age of the Township's wastewater system assets is 19.2 years. Table 2-33 summarizes the average age and estimated current replacement cost of the Township's wastewater system assets and this information is further illustrated in Figure 2-26. [1]The Township experienced one watermain break in 2025, which affected all connected properties and lasted a total of eight hours. It is noted that not all properties were impacted for the entire eight-hour duration, as the break was isolated during the course of repairs. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-43 Table 2-33: Wastewater - Average Age, and Replacement Cost Asset Type Average Age[1] Current Replacement Cost Wastewater Mains 30.5 years $6,425,000 Wastewater Treatment Plant 6.5 years $5,699,000 Total 19.2 years[2] $12,124,000 Figure 2-26: Wastewater - Average Age, and Replacement Cost Average Age Current Replacement Cost 30.5 years 6.5 years Wastewater Mains Wastewater Treatment Plant Wastewater Mains, $6.4M, 53% Wastewater Treatment Plant, $5.7M, 47% $12.1 million 30.5 years 6.5 years Wastewater Mains Wastewater Treatment Plant 2.7.2 Condition The condition of the Township's wastewater system assets has not been directly assessed through physical condition assessments. For the purposes of this asset management plan, condition ratings have been assigned to assets based on age relative to useful service life (i.e. based on the percentage of useful service life consumed (ULC%)). To better communicate the condition of assets, ULC% ratings have been segmented into qualitative condition states, as summarized previously in Table 2-9. Please refer to Section 2.1.2 for further information on this condition assessment methodology. The Township's wastewater system assets have an average ULC% of 28.1, indicating that, on average, assets are in a 'Very Good' condition state. Table 2-34 summarizes [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of wastewater mains and replacement cost of wastewater treatment plant components as weights. [2]Weighted average utilizing the total replacement cost of each asset type as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-44 the average ULC% ratings and associated condition states of the Township's wastewater system assets by asset type. Table 2-34: Wastewater - Average ULC% and Condition States by Asset Type Asset Type Average ULC%[1] Condition State Wastewater Mains 40.7% Very Good Wastewater Treatment Plant 14.0% Very Good Average 28.1%[2] Very Good The distribution (replacement cost) of the Township's wastewater assets by condition state and asset type is illustrated in Figure 2-27. Figure 2-27: Wastewater Assets - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by Condition State and Asset Type 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Wastewater Mains Wastewater Treatment Plant Percentage of Replacement Cost Asset Type Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor The distribution of the Township's wastewater mains and wastewater treatment plant components by ULC% rating range is illustrated in Figure 2-28 and Figure 2-29, respectively. [1]Weighted average utilizing the length of wastewater mains and the replacement cost of wastewater treatment plant components as weights. [2]Weighted average utilizing the total replacement cost of each asset type as weights. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-45 Figure 2-28: Wastewater Mains - Distribution (by length) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range 0.0 km 0.2 km 0.4 km 0.6 km 0.8 km 1.0 km 1.2 km 1.4 km 1.6 km 1.8 km Length of Wastewater Mains (km) ULC% Rating Range Figure 2-29: Wastewater Treatment Plant - Distribution (by replacement cost) of Assets by ULC% Rating Range $0.0M $0.5M $1.0M $1.5M $2.0M $2.5M $3.0M $3.5M $4.0M $4.5M $5.0M Replacement Cost ULC% Rating Range 2.7.3 Levels of Service This subsection presents the Township's levels of service frameworks for wastewater assets. Table 2-35 Table 2-35 presents the Service Attributes and Community Levels of Service while Table 2-36 presents the Technical Levels of Service (i.e., performance measures). Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-46 Please refer to section 2.1.3 for further details on the Township's levels of service framework. Table 2-35: Wastewater - Community Levels of Service Service Attribute Community Levels of Service Scope The Township's wastewater collection and treatment system services primarily residential customers and some light commercial and industrial customers in the settlement area of Talbotville. The Township anticipates additional wastewater system demand in the settlement areas of Shedden and Fingal in the short-to-medium term. The Township plans to address this demand by constructing a new wastewater treatment plant in Shedden within the next five years. Reliability The Township's wastewater collection system is separated, meaning that sanitary and stormwater flows are carried in different mains to different destinations. At times, however, infiltration or inflow of both groundwater and stormwater can enter the wastewater collection system through numerous sources such as cracks in pipes, weeping tile connections, cross connections, catch basins, etc. The Township currently has sufficient wastewater treatment capacity to address the potential minor inflow and infiltration of groundwater and stormwater into its wastewater collection network. Effluent discharge is typically defined as water pollution and can be caused by outflows from wastewater treatment facilities. Effluent discharges have documented compliance limits for criteria related to flow rates, suspended solids, Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), phosphorous, ammonia, and E. coli. The Township's wastewater treatment facility is operated in accordance with the Environmental Compliance Approval (ECA) issued by the Ministry of Environment, Conservation and Parks. A description of the effluent that is discharged from the wastewater treatment facility is provided in ECA No. 4845-ARSJ4R, issued January 11, 2023. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-47 Table 2-36: Wastewater - Technical Levels of Service Service Attribute Performance Measure Current Performance Target Performance Scope Percentage of properties connected to the municipal wastewater system. 27%[1] 27% Reliability The number of events per year where combined sewer flow in the municipal wastewater system exceeds system capacity compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal wastewater system. Not Applicable[2] Not Applicable The number of connection-days per year due to wastewater backups compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal wastewater system. 0 connection days / connection 0 connection days / connection The number of effluent violations per year due to wastewater discharge compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal wastewater system. 0 violations / connection 2 0 violations / connection Percentage (by length) of wastewater mains in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize Percentage (by replacement cost) of wastewater treatment plant components in a 'Fair' or better condition state. 100% Maximize 2.8 Population and Employment Growth Based on its 2020 Development Charges Background Study, the Township's population is expected to increase at a rate of approximately 1.47% annually, growing to approximately 6,850 residents by mid-2040. Furthermore, the same study also projects [1]Based on the best available data, 555 properties out of a total of 2,059 properties in the Township are connected to the municipal wastewater system. [2]The Township's does not own and maintain any combined sewers. Its wastewater and stormwater flows are carried in separate mains. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 2-48 employment within the Township to increase at a rate of approximately 1.49% annually, growing to approximately 2,400 employees by mid-2040. Continued population and employment growth will result in incremental service demands that are expected to impact levels of service. Service impacts resulting from growth have been incorporated into the proposed levels of service targets presented earlier in this chapter. The Township assesses these service impacts through master plans and development charges background studies and imposes development charges on new development to fund growth-related infrastructure expansion and upgrades. Utilizing development charges helps alleviate the financial burden these growth-related expenditures would otherwise place on existing taxpayers. As mentioned earlier in Section 2.7.3, the Township anticipates additional wastewater system demand in the settlement areas of Shedden and Fingal in the short-to-medium term due to growth. The Township plans to address this demand by constructing a new wastewater treatment plant in Shedden within the next five years. The estimated cost of this growth-related infrastructure investment has been incorporated into the forecasts of upcoming lifecycle activities for wastewater assets presented in Section 3.8 and the financial strategy for water and wastewater assets presented later in Section 4.3. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Chapter 3 Lifecycle Management Strategies Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-1 3. Lifecycle Management Strategies 3.1 Introduction The lifecycle management strategies in this asset management plan identify the lifecycle activities that would need to be undertaken to achieve and sustain the proposed levels of service presented in Chapter 2. Within the context of this asset management plan, lifecycle activities are the specified actions that can be performed on an asset in order to ensure it is performing adequately, and/or to extend its service life[ F1]. These actions can be carried out on a planned schedule in a prescriptive manner, or through a dynamic approach where the lifecycle activities are only carried out when specified conditions are met. In accordance with O. Reg. 588/17, the lifecycle activities and associated costs presented in this chapter consider the full lifecycle of assets. In general terms, an asset's lifecycle starts with its initial planning and acquisition (or construction), includes both the capital and significant operating/maintenance activities the asset is expected to undergo throughout its life, and ends with its eventual disposal. The lifecycle management strategies presented in this asset management plan have been developed with the aim of identifying the set of lifecycle activities that can be undertaken at the lowest cost to achieve and sustain target service levels. The following subsections summarize the ten-year forecasts of lifecycle activities and associated costs that would be required for the Township to provide the proposed levels of service. Brief descriptions of the methods and data sources utilized to develop the forecasts are also provided in the following subsections. It is noted that the ten-year forecasts of lifecycle expenditures presented in this chapter do not account for unforeseen circumstances that may introduce additional costs (e.g., natural disasters, etc.). There is a level of inherent uncertainty in lifecycle forecasts, reinforcing the need to review and update this asset management plan on a regular basis. [1]The full lifecycle of an asset includes activities such as initial planning and maintenance which are typically addressed through master planning studies and maintenance management, respectively. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-2 3.2 Transportation This section presents an estimate of costs associated with providing the proposed levels of service for the Township's transportation assets presented earlier in Section 2.1.3. In general terms, the proposed levels of service involve maintaining road surfaces in adequate quality to provide a satisfactory user experience, maintaining structures in adequate condition to enable the safe and efficient passage of vehicular and pedestrian traffic, maintaining culverts in adequate condition to efficiently convey hydraulic flows while safely supporting overlying traffic loads, and maintaining road-related assets so that they can effectively support the broader transportation network. The lifecycle expenditure forecast for the Township's paved roads was derived based on the recommendations contained in its 2024 Road Needs Study, which were further refined through staff consultations. The Township's 2024 Road Needs Study identified upcoming lifecycle activities for its paved roads by considering several factors, including surface condition, structural adequacy of the underlying road base, maintenance demand, average daily traffic volumes, etc. Several lifecycle activities were considered as part of the road improvement strategy, including: - Micro-surfacing; - Resurfacing of surface treated roads (single surface treatment and double surface treatment with pulverization); - Resurfacing of asphalt roads (asphalt resurfacing, milling and asphalt resurfacing, asphalt resurfacing with pulverization, and cold in-place recycling and resurfacing); and - Full-depth reconstruction for both rural and urban roads. Additionally, gravel-to-paved surface road upgrades were also considered as part of the Township's 2024 Road Needs Study. Through consultations with Township staff, it was determined that the Township plans to upgrade approximately 26.7 km of gravel roads to surface treatment within the next 10 years. The lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this section includes the costs associated with these road surface upgrades. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-3 The Township expects to maintain its remaining gravel roads through the timely completion of regular maintenance activities (e.g., dust suppressant applications, periodic re-grading, periodic re-application of granular, etc.), which are funded through its annual operating budgets. These activities are expected to maintain the Township's gravel roadways in adequate condition over the long term, with no capital lifecycle expenditures expected over the 10-year forecast horizon of this asset management plan. As such, the annual cost of gravel road maintenance is excluded from the lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this section. The Township's 2024 Road Needs Study recommended an increase to its annual gravel road maintenance budget to enable the Township to improve the condition of its gravel road network. As such, the operating budget forecast presented later in Section 4.2.4 has been adjusted to incorporate these recommendations. Additional adjustments were made to account for the expected reduction in the quantity of gravel roads following the completion of the aforementioned gravel-to-paved surface road upgrades. The capital expenditure forecast for the Township's structures was derived based on the recommendations contained in its most recent (2024) OSIM inspection report, which seek to ensure the timely completion of maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement activities. Lastly, the Township undertakes the replacement or reconstruction of its road-related assets in coordination with planned road work. The lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this section includes an annual allowance to address the reconstruction/replacement requirements of road-related assets when road work is being completed. As such, the allowance varies annually based on the length of roads that are expected to be rehabilitated or reconstructed in that year. The 10-year lifecycle expenditure forecast for the Township's transportation network is illustrated in Figure 3-1 and provided in tabular form in Table 3-1. Average annual expenditures over the forecast period have been estimated at $2.3 million. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-4 Figure 3-1: Transportation Assets - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) $0.0M $1.0M $2.0M $3.0M $4.0M $5.0M $6.0M 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Roads Structures Road-related Assets Table 3-1: Transportation Assets - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) Asset Type 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Roads $ 4,421,000 $ 1,985,000 $ 1,822,000 $ 817,000 $ 888,000 $ 1,139,000 $ 1,250,000 $ 803,000 $ 1,589,000 $ 1,957,000 Structures $ 541,000 $ 627,000 $ 989,000 $ 154,000 $ 287,000 $ 204,000 $ 303,000 $ 57,000 $ 272,000 $ 316,000 Road-related Assets $ 719,000 $ 313,000 $ 418,000 $ 123,000 $ 47,000 $ 213,000 $ 321,000 $ 24,000 $ 289,000 $ 274,000 Total Capital Expenditures 5,681,000 $ 2,925,000 $ 3,229,000 $ 1,094,000 $ 1,222,000 $ 1,556,000 $ 1,874,000 $ 884,000 $ 2,150,000 $ 2,547,000 $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-5 3.3 Tax-funded Facilities This section presents an estimate of costs associated with providing the proposed levels of service for the Township's tax-funded facilities presented earlier in Section 2.2.3. In general terms, the proposed levels of service involve ensuring that the current capacity of facilities (i.e., gross floor area) is sufficient to meet the service demands of its community as well as ensuring that facilities are maintained in adequate condition to continue effectively supporting the provision of municipal services. The lifecycle expenditure forecast for the Township's facilities presented in this section includes the cost associated with the replacement of the various building elements comprising each facility based on current best estimates of their respective remaining useful service lives[1]. It is recommended that the Township consider completing Building Condition Assessments (BCAs) on its facilities in the near future to formally assess their upcoming lifecycle requirements. This would enable future iterations of this asset management plan to incorporate the updated lifecycle expenditure forecasts to refine the forecast presented in this section as well as the financial strategy presented later in Chapter 4. The 10-year lifecycle expenditure forecast for the Township's facilities is illustrated in Figure 3-2 and provided in tabular form in Table 3-2. Average annual expenditures over the forecast period have been estimated at $31,000. [1]It is noted that the inventory of building elements comprising each facility is based on the Township's Citywide database. Consequently, any building elements not inventoried in the Township's Citywide database are excluded from the lifecycle expenditure forecast presented herein. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-6 Figure 3-2: Facilities - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) $0K $20K $40K $60K $80K $100K $120K $140K $160K $180K $200K 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Administration Fire Public Works Recreation and Culture Table 3-2: Facilities - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) Service Area 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Administration - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Fire - $ 77,000 $ 24,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Public Works - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Recreation and Culture - $ - $ 16,000 $ - $ 186,000 $ - $ 8,000 $ - $ - $ - $ Total Capital Expenditures - $ 77,000 $ 40,000 $ - $ 186,000 $ - $ 8,000 $ - $ - $ - $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-7 3.4 Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment This section presents an estimate of costs associated with providing the proposed levels of service for the Township's fleet and equipment assets presented earlier in Section 2.3.3. In general terms, the proposed levels of service for fleet and equipment assets involve maintaining assets in adequate condition to continue performing as expected and reliably support the provision of municipal services. The Township will accomplish this by undertaking timely replacements of ageing and poorly performing assets and through the completion of regular maintenance activities. The lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this section includes the costs associated with the replacement of assets based on current best estimates of their useful service lives. The 10-year lifecycle expenditure forecast for the Township's fleet and equipment assets is illustrated in Figure 3-3 and provided in tabular form in Table 3-3. Average annual expenditures over the forecast period have been estimated at $834,000. The current backlog of the Township's fleet and equipment assets has been estimated to be approximately $1.4 million. This represents the estimated replacement value of all fleet and equipment assets that are currently in service beyond their expected useful service lives. The current backlog is forecasted to be addressed gradually over the next five years (i.e., from 2026 to 2030). Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-8 Figure 3-3: Fleet and Equipment - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) $0.0M $0.5M $1.0M $1.5M $2.0M $2.5M $3.0M 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Current Backlog Annual Capital Expenditures Table 3-3: Fleet and Equipment - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Fire Equipment 13,000 $ 75,000 $ 36,000 $ 67,000 $ 267,000 $ 111,000 $ 70,000 $ 96,000 $ 71,000 $ 588,000 $ Fire Vehicles - $ - $ 71,000 $ - $ - $ 457,000 $ - $ - $ - $ 603,000 $ Public Works Equipment - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 27,000 $ - $ 3,000 $ 106,000 $ 275,000 $ Public Works Fleet - $ 640,000 $ 597,000 $ 25,000 $ 343,000 $ 303,000 $ 270,000 $ 31,000 $ 291,000 $ 989,000 $ Administrative Equipment 21,000 $ 16,000 $ 25,000 $ 5,000 $ 136,000 $ 11,000 $ 16,000 $ 38,000 $ 5,000 $ 150,000 $ BCS Fleet - $ - $ - $ 91,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Annual Allowance to Address Current Backlog 280,000 $ 280,000 $ 280,000 $ 280,000 $ 280,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Total Capital Expenditures 314,000 $ 1,011,000 $ 1,009,000 $ 468,000 $ 1,026,000 $ 909,000 $ 356,000 $ 168,000 $ 473,000 $ 2,605,000 $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-9 3.5 Parks and Recreation This section presents an estimate of costs associated with providing the proposed levels of service for the Township's parks and recreation assets presented earlier in Section 2.4.3. Similar to fleet and equipment assets, the proposed levels of service for the parks and recreation assets aim to maintain assets in adequate condition to continue providing a satisfactory user experience. The Township will accomplish this by undertaking timely replacements of ageing and poorly performing assets and through the completion of regular maintenance activities. The lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this subsection includes the costs associated with the replacement of these assets based on current estimates of their remaining service lives. The 10-year lifecycle expenditure forecast for the Township's parks and recreation assets is illustrated in Figure 3-4 and provided in tabular form in Table 3-4. Average annual expenditures over the forecast period have been estimated at $147,000. The current backlog of the Township's parks and recreation assets has been estimated to be approximately $400,000. This represents the estimated replacement value of all parks and recreation assets that are currently in service beyond their expected useful service lives. The current backlog is forecasted to be addressed gradually over the next five years (i.e., from 2026 to 2030). Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-10 Figure 3-4: Parks and Recreation - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) $0K $50K $100K $150K $200K $250K $300K 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Current Backlog Annual Capital Expenditures Table 3-4: Parks and Recreation - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Ball Diamonds and Sport Courts 7,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 29,000 $ 63,000 $ - $ - $ Lighting and Fencing - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 197,000 $ - $ 26,000 $ 12,000 $ Play Equipment - $ - $ 90,000 $ - $ - $ 81,000 $ - $ - $ - $ 133,000 $ Parking Lots 13,000 $ 13,000 $ 13,000 $ 13,000 $ 13,000 $ 13,000 $ 13,000 $ 13,000 $ 13,000 $ 13,000 $ Misc. Equipment 7,000 $ 98,000 $ 82,000 $ 7,000 $ 27,000 $ 13,000 $ - $ 11,000 $ - $ 60,000 $ Annual Allowance to Address Current Backlog 80,000 $ 80,000 $ 80,000 $ 80,000 $ 80,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Total Capital Expenditures 107,000 $ 191,000 $ 265,000 $ 100,000 $ 120,000 $ 107,000 $ 239,000 $ 87,000 $ 39,000 $ 218,000 $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-11 3.6 Stormwater This section presents an estimate of costs associated with achieving the proposed levels of service for the Township's stormwater system assets presented earlier in Section 2.4.3. In general terms, the proposed levels of service for the Township's stormwater system assets involve maintaining assets in adequate condition to reliably provide flood protection, manage the rate of groundwater discharge, and assist in reducing the level of contamination entering the natural environment. The Township will accomplish this by ensuring the timely replacement of ageing and poorly performing assets and through the completion of regular maintenance activities. It is noted, however, that based on their current age profiles, the Township's stormwater system assets are not expected to require any capital lifecycle activities over the 10- year forecast horizon of this asset management plan. 3.7 Water This section presents an estimate of costs associated with providing the proposed levels of service for the Township's water system assets presented earlier in Section 2.6.3. In general terms, the proposed levels of service for the Township's water system assets include maintaining assets in adequate condition to reliably support the provision of safe drinking water while minimizing service interruptions and occurrences of adverse water quality events. The Township will accomplish this by ensuring the timely replacement of ageing and poorly performing assets and through the completion of regular maintenance activities. As noted earlier in Section 2.6.1, the operation of the Township's water distribution system is contracted to OCWA, which also identifies upcoming lifecycle expenditure requirements for the Township's water facilities[1]. As such, the lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this section for water facilities is based on OCWA's most recent [1]The forecast of upcoming lifecycle requirements for the Township's water facilities is provided as part of OCWA's annual major maintenance forecast. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-12 (2025) forecast. The lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this subsection for other water system assets (i.e., watermains, water meters, and fleet assets) includes the costs associated with the replacement of assets based on current estimates of their remaining service lives. The 10-year lifecycle expenditure forecast for the Township's water system assets is summarized in Figure 3-5 and provided in tabular form in Table 3-5. Average annual expenditures over the forecast period have been estimated at approximately $116,000. The current backlog of the Township's water system assets comprises water meters that are currently in service beyond their expected useful service lives and has been estimated to be approximately $635,000[1]. The current backlog is forecasted to be addressed gradually over the next 10 years (i.e., from 2026 to 2035). [1]It is noted that 846 water meters, representing approximately 48% of the Township's total quantity of water meters, are currently in service beyond their useful life expectancies. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-13 Figure 3-5: Water - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) $0K $50K $100K $150K $200K $250K 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Current Backlog Watermains Water Meters Fleet Assets Facilities Table 3-5: Water - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Watermains $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Water Meters $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 7,000 $ - $ 45,000 $ 68,000 Fleet Assets $ - $ - $ - $ 100,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Facilities $ 36,000 $ 23,000 $ 36,000 $ 33,000 $ 26,000 $ 31,000 $ 31,000 $ 31,000 $ 31,000 $ 31,000 Annual Allowance to Address Current Backlog $ 63,500 $ 63,500 $ 63,500 $ 63,500 $ 63,500 $ 63,500 $ 63,500 $ 63,500 $ 63,500 $ 63,500 Total Capital Expenditures 99,500 $ 86,500 $ 99,500 $ 196,500 $ 89,500 $ 94,500 $ 101,500 $ 94,500 $ 139,500 $ 162,500 $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-14 3.8 Wastewater This section presents an estimate of costs associated with providing the proposed levels of service for the Township's wastewater system assets presented earlier in Section 2.7.3. In general terms, the proposed levels of service for the Township's wastewater system assets include maintaining assets in adequate condition to reliably support the efficient collection and treatment of sanitary flows, minimizing occurrences of wastewater backups due to failure of municipal infrastructure, and minimizing occurrences of effluent violations. The Township will accomplish this by ensuring the timely replacement of ageing and poorly performing assets and through the completion of regular maintenance activities. As noted earlier in Section 2.7.1, the operation of the Township's wastewater collection and treatment system is contracted to OCWA, which also identifies upcoming lifecycle expenditure requirements for the Talbotville Wastewater Treatment Plant[1]. As such, the lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this section for this treatment facility is based on OCWA's most recent (2025) forecast. The lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this subsection for wastewater mains includes the costs associated with the replacement of main segments based on current estimates of their remaining service lives. It is noted, however, that based on their current age profile, none of the Township's wastewater mains are expected to require replacement over the 10-year forecast horizon of this asset management plan. As noted earlier in Section 2.7.3, the Township anticipates additional wastewater system demand in the settlement areas of Shedden and Fingal in the near term and plans to address this by constructing a new wastewater treatment plant in Shedden. The lifecycle expenditure forecast presented in this section includes the cost associated with the construction of this treatment plant, which is currently planned to occur in two phases over 2026 and 2027. This cost estimate was prepared as part of the Township's 2025 One Water Rate Study, completed by WT Infrastructure, which also estimated [1]The forecast of upcoming lifecycle requirements for the Talbotville Wastewater Treatment Plant is provided as part of OCWA's annual major maintenance forecast. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-15 future lifecycle expenditure requirements for the plant. These future lifecycle expenditure requirements are also included in the forecast presented herein. The 10-year lifecycle expenditure forecast for the Township's wastewater system assets is summarized in Figure 3-6 and provided in tabular form in Table 3-6. Average annual expenditures over the forecast period have been estimated at approximately $4.0 million. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 3-16 Figure 3-6: Wastewater - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) $0.0M $5.0M $10.0M $15.0M $20.0M $25.0M 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Wastewater Mains Talbotville WWTP Shedden WWTP Table 3-6: Wastewater - Lifecycle Expenditure Forecast (2025$) Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Wastewater Mains $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Talbotville WWTP $ 134,000 $ 119,000 $ 127,000 $ 119,000 $ 124,000 $ 125,000 $ 125,000 $ 125,000 $ 125,000 $ 125,000 Shedden WWTP $ 20,533,000 $ 16,936,000 $ 82,000 $ 92,000 $ 82,000 $ 82,000 $ 82,000 $ 82,000 $ 92,000 $ 365,000 Total Capital Expenditures 20,667,000 $ 17,055,000 $ 209,000 $ 211,000 $ 206,000 $ 207,000 $ 207,000 $ 207,000 $ 217,000 $ 490,000 $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Chapter 4 Financial Strategy Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-1 4. Financial Strategy 4.1 Introduction The financial strategy that supports this asset management plan is designed to fulfill the following key objectives: - Identify the sources and levels of capital financing available to undertake the lifecycle activities presented previously in Chapter 3, which respond to the Township's proposed levels of service outlined earlier in Chapter 2; and - Develop a strategy to achieve financial sustainability and intergenerational equity as it relates to the Township's infrastructure assets over the long term. In support of these objectives, a comprehensive financial strategy model was developed utilizing the Township's financial data, which included: - 2025 operating budget; - 2025 capital budget; - Reserve and reserve fund continuity schedules; and - Debt continuity schedules. Subsequent sections of this chapter identify how the Township will fund the forecasts of lifecycle activities presented in Chapter 3. This chapter also identifies the level of sustainable funding that should be provided to assets on an annual basis to maintain the proposed levels of service over the long term (i.e., the annual lifecycle funding target). Relative to the funding target, the Township's current annual infrastructure funding gap is identified based on the level of capital funding that was included in the Township's 2025 budget. Lastly, this chapter also identifies the financial impacts of gradually eliminating the current annual infrastructure funding gap on both the Township's financial position as well as on taxpayers and ratepayers. The following sections of this chapter related to the Township's tax-funded assets examine the financial outlook and impact on taxpayers associated with the following two scenarios: - Scenario 1: Eliminating the current annual infrastructure funding gap over a 10- year period (i.e., by 2035); and Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-2 - Scenario 2: Eliminating the current annual infrastructure funding gap over a 15- year period (i.e., by 2040). It is noted that the financial strategies presented herein are suggested approaches which should be examined and re-evaluated as part of the annual budgeting process to ensure continual alignment with the Township's changing financial position and evolving asset management environment. 4.2 Assets Funded by the General Tax Levy 4.2.1 Annual Capital Expenditure Forecast This section summarizes the expenditures associated with undertaking the lifecycle activities identified earlier in Chapter 3 for the Township's infrastructure assets that are funded through its general tax levy (i.e., transportation assets, tax-funded facilities, fleet and equipment assets, and parks and recreation assets). Capital expenditures over the 10-year forecast horizon are expected to total $33.3 million, an average of $3.33 million annually, in current (2025) dollars (i.e., uninflated). Inflation on capital costs has been estimated based on the historical 20-year annual average rate of inflation as witnessed in the Statistics Canada Non-residential Building Construction Price Index and is expected to be approximately 4.50% annually. Once inflationary impacts are incorporated, lifecycle expenditures over the next 10 years are expected to total $42.0 million. Figure 4-1 presents the inflated capital expenditure forecast for the Township's tax- funded assets and this information is provided in tabular form in Table 4-1. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-3 Figure 4-1: Tax-funded Assets - Overall Capital Expenditure Forecast (Inflated) $0M $1M $2M $3M $4M $5M $6M $7M $8M $9M 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Parks & Recreation Tax-funded Fleet & Equipment Structures Tax-funded Facilities Roads & road-related Assets Table 4-1: Tax-funded Assets - Overall Capital Expenditure Forecast (Inflated) Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Capital Expenditures for Roads & Road-related Assets 5,372,000 $ 2,510,000 $ 2,557,000 $ 1,121,000 $ 1,165,000 $ 1,761,000 $ 2,139,000 $ 1,177,000 $ 2,792,000 $ 3,466,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Structures 565,000 $ 685,000 $ 1,129,000 $ 184,000 $ 358,000 $ 266,000 $ 412,000 $ 81,000 $ 404,000 $ 491,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Tax-funded Facilities - $ 84,000 $ 46,000 $ - $ 232,000 $ - $ 11,000 $ - $ - $ - $ Capital Expenditures for Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment Assets 328,000 $ 1,104,000 $ 1,152,000 $ 558,000 $ 1,279,000 $ 1,184,000 $ 485,000 $ 239,000 $ 703,000 $ 4,047,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Parks and Recreation Assets 112,000 $ 209,000 $ 302,000 $ 119,000 $ 150,000 $ 139,000 $ 325,000 $ 124,000 $ 58,000 $ 339,000 $ Total Annual Capital Expenditures 6,377,000 $ 4,592,000 $ 5,186,000 $ 1,982,000 $ 3,184,000 $ 3,350,000 $ 3,372,000 $ 1,621,000 $ 3,957,000 $ 8,343,000 $ Capital Expenditures Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-4 4.2.2 Annual Capital Financing Forecast This section summarizes the recommended strategy to finance the capital expenditures identified in Section 4.2.1. Lifecycle expenditures are expected to be financed from the following sources: - Annual Ontario Community Infrastructure Fund (OCIF) formula-based funding. It is noted that the Ministry of Infrastructure announced a temporary increase to province-wide OCIF support in 2022, effectively doubling investment in Ontario's infrastructure for a five-year period ending in 2027. Correspondingly, it is assumed that the Township's annual OCIF funding will be reduced by 50% beginning in 2027, declining from approximately $265,000 in 2026 to approximately $132,500 in 2027 and held constant thereafter. It is further noted that the Ministry of Infrastructure recently shifted from using historical costs to using replacement costs in the formula used for calculating annual OCIF funding allocations. As a result of this formula change, the Township's OCIF allocation may continue to change in the coming years. The amount of OCIF funding will need to be monitored by Township staff and, if a significant variance occurs relative to the estimate provided in this asset management plan, the financial strategy may need to be updated; - Annual Canada Community-Building Fund (CCBF) funding. CCBF funding is expected to be a stable and long-term funding source for eligible capital projects. Annual funding estimates are based on the Township's allocations for 2026 to 2028, with 4% increases for every two-year period thereafter. As such, the Township's annual CCBF funding is expected to increase from approximately $159,000 in 2026 to approximately $193,000 by 2035; - Funds projected to be available in capital reserves and reserve funds. To manage risks associated with unexpected capital expenditures that may arise, the financial strategy maintains a minimum balance in capital reserve and reserve funds. The minimum balance was set at 10% of average annual capital expenditures over the forecast period, approximately $420,000; and - Proceeds from external debt financing. The financial strategy for Scenario 1 proposes approximately $414,000 in additional debt financing to fund forecasted capital expenditures, while the financial strategy for Scenario 2 proposes $1.07 million in additional debt. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-5 Table 4-2 summarizes the capital financing forecast for the Township's tax-funded infrastructure assets under Scenario 1, while Table 4-3 summarizes the same under Scenario 2. Table 4-2: Scenario 1 - Capital Financing by Source (2026-2035) Capital Financing Source Total Capital Financing Transfer Payment Revenues (i.e., OCIF + CCBF) $3,212,000 Contributions from Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds $38,338,000 Proceeds from External Debt Financing $414,000 Total $41,964,000 Table 4-3: Scenario 2 - Capital Financing by Source (2026-2035) Capital Financing Source Total Capital Financing Transfer Payment Revenues (i.e., OCIF + CCBF) $3,212,000 Contributions from Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds $37,678,000 Proceeds from External Debt Financing $1,074,000 Total $41,964,000 4.2.3 Current Annual Lifecycle Funding Target & Infrastructure Funding Gap An annual lifecycle funding target represents the level of funding that would be required annually to fully finance a lifecycle management strategy over the long term. By planning to achieve this annual funding level, the Township would theoretically be able to fully fund capital works as they arise. In practice, however, capital expenditures are characterized by peaks and valleys and often fluctuate year-to-year based on the lifecycle activities being undertaken. By planning to achieve the lifecycle fundin g target over the long term, the periods of relatively low capital needs would allow for the building up of lifecycle reserve funds that could be drawn upon in times of relatively high capital needs. Table 4-4 summarizes the modelling approaches that have been utilized to derive the annual lifecycle funding target for tax-funded assets. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-6 Table 4-4: Modelling Approaches Utilized to Determine Annual Lifecycle Funding Targets by Asset Category Asset Category Modelling Approach Transportation Roads: Based on lifecycle management strategy recommended in 2024 Road Needs Study and 2022 Asset Management Plan. Bridges & Culverts: Annual reinvestment rate equal to 1.70% of current replacement cost Road-related Assets: Useful life analysis (i.e., determined by dividing the current replacement cost of each asset by its expected useful service life) Facilities Annual reinvestment rate equal to 2.1% of current replacement cost Fleet and Equipment Useful life analysis (i.e., determined by dividing the current replacement cost of each asset by its expected useful service life) Parks and Recreation The annual lifecycle funding target for the Township's tax-funded assets is $5.77 million (in 2025 dollars). A breakdown of the lifecycle funding target by asset category for illustrated in Figure 4-2 and provided in tabular form in Table 4-5. Figure 4-2: Tax-funded Assets - Annual Lifecycle Funding Target (2025$) by Asset Category Transportation, $4.25M, 74% Tax-funded Facilities, $499k, 9% Tax-funded Fleet & Equipment, $874k, 15% Parks & Recreation, $143k, 2% $5.77 million Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-7 Table 4-5: Tax-funded Assets - Annual Lifecycle Funding Target (2025$) by Asset Category Asset Category Annual Lifecycle Funding Target (2025$) Transportation $4,253,000 Tax-funded Facilities $499,000 Tax-funded Fleet & Equipment $874,000 Land Improvements $143,000 Total $5,769,000 Relative to this annual lifecycle funding target, the Township allocated approximately $3.70 million in its 2025 budget towards capital-related needs for tax-funded assets. This allocation comprised approximately $3.24 million in contributions to capital reserves and reserve funds and approximately $453,000 in ongoing transfer payment revenues (i.e., OCIF and CCBF). A breakdown of the capital funding budgeted in the Township's 2025 Council-approved budget for tax-supported assets is illustrated in Figure 4-3 and provided in tabular form in Table 4-6. Figure 4-3: Tax-funded Assets - Capital Funding Included in 2025 Budget Transfer Payment Revenues (OCIF + CCBF), $453K, 12% Transfer to Capital Reserves, $3.24M, 88% $3.70 million Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-8 Table 4-6: Tax-funded Assets - Capital Funding Allocated in 2025 Budget Capital Funding Source Capital Funding Budgeted in 2025 Transfer Payment Revenues (OCIF & CCBF) $453,000 Contributions to Capital Reserves & Reserve Funds $3,244,000 Total $3,697,000 The difference between the annual lifecycle funding target and the currently budgeted capital funding represents the Township's annual infrastructure funding gap for its tax- funded assets. Based on this analysis, the Township is facing a tax-based annual infrastructure funding gap of $2.07 million. 4.2.4 Overall Financial Forecast and Estimated Impact on Tax Levy 4.2.4.1 Scenario 1: 10-year AMP Phase-in Period This section presents the overall impacts on the Township's financial position of gradually eliminating the funding gap by 2035. As noted earlier in Section 4.2.2, the capital financing forecast proposes additional debt financing of approximately $414,000 over the forecast period under Scenario 1. Furthermore, annual repayments on external debt (i.e., principal and interest payments) utilized to fund the tax-supported portion of construction costs of the new public works facility are expected to commence in 2026. As such, annual repayments on external debt are expected to rise from approximately $368,000 in 2026 to approximately $406,000 by 2035. The Township is expected to have approximately $5.3 million in its capital reserves and reserve funds at the end of 2025. By 2035, that balance is expected to grow to approximately $20.9 million. A detailed continuity schedule of capital reserves and reserve funds can be found in Appendix A. It is noted that the Township's tax levy is expected to decrease from 2025 to 2026 due to an anticipated reduction in the assessed value of a major commercial property, pending the outcome of an ongoing property assessment appeal. Following this decrease, in order to fund the recommended lifecycle management strategy and gradually eliminate the infrastructure funding gap by 2035, the Township's tax levy Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-9 would need to increase by 8.85% annually from 2027 to 2035. The tax levy is forecasted to rise from the current level of approximately $7.2 million in 2025 to approximately $14.0 million by 2035. The taxation impacts identified above include inflationary adjustments to the Township's operating costs and revenues as identified in its 2025 budget (i.e., general operating inflation of 2.22% annually). Figure 4-4 illustrates the overall financial forecast for the Township under Scenario 1. Full details of the financial strategy are provided in Appendix A. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-10 Figure 4-4: Scenario 1 - Overall Financial Forecast (Inflated) $0M $5M $10M $15M $20M $25M 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Year-end balance in capital reserves Capital Expenditures Debt Payments Net Operating Expenditures Tax Levy Debt Proceeds Transfer Payments (OCIF + CCBF) Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-11 4.2.4.2 Scenario 2: 15-year AMP Phase-in Period This section presents the overall impacts on the Township's financial position of gradually eliminating the funding gap by 2040. As noted earlier in Section 4.2.2, the capital financing forecast proposes additional debt financing of approximately $1.07 million over the forecast period under Scenario 2. Furthermore, as noted earlier in Section 4.2.4.1, annual repayments on external debt (i.e., principal and interest payments) utilized to fund the tax-supported portion of construction costs of the new public works facility are expected to commence in 2026. As such, annual repayments on external debt are expected to rise from approximately $368,000 in 2026 to approximately $467,000 by 2035. As noted earlier in Section 4.2.4.1, the Township is expected to have approximately $5.3 million in its capital reserves and reserve funds at the end of 2025. By 2035, that balance is expected to grow to approximately $12.0 million in this scenario. A detailed continuity schedule of capital reserves and reserve funds can be found in Appendix B. As noted earlier in Section 4.2.4.1, the Township's tax levy is expected to decrease from 2025 to 2026 due to an anticipated reduction in the assessed value of a major commercial property, pending the outcome of an ongoing property assessment appeal. Following this decrease, in order to fund the recommended lifecycle management strategy and gradually eliminate the infrastructure funding gap by 2040, the Township's tax levy would need to increase by 7.25% annually from 2027 to 2040. The tax levy is forecasted to rise from the current level of approximately $7.2 million in 2025 to approximately $12.1 million by 2035, and further rise to approximately $17.1 million by 2040. The taxation impacts identified above include inflationary adjustments to the Township's operating costs and revenues as identified in its 2025 budget (i.e., general operating inflation of 2.22% annually). Figure 4-5 illustrates the overall financial forecast for the Township under Scenario 2. Full details of the financial strategy are provided in Appendix B. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-12 Figure 4-5: Scenario 2 - Overall Financial Forecast (Inflated) $0M $2M $4M $6M $8M $10M $12M $14M $16M $18M 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Year-end balance in capital reserves Capital Expenditures Debt Payments Net Operating Expenditures Tax Levy Debt Proceeds Transfer Payments (OCIF + CCBF) Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-13 4.2.5 Estimated Impact on Tax Bills (2026-2035) 4.2.5.1 Scenario 1: 10-year AMP Phase-in Period This section presents the estimated impact resulting from Scenario 1 on the annual tax bill of a typical single-family detached house in the Township with a current value assessment of $282,000[1]. As noted in Section 4.2.4.1, the Township would need to increase its tax levy from approximately $7.2 million in 2025 to approximately $14.0 million by 2035. Layering on assessment increases resulting from new assessment growth, assumed to be 1.39% annually over the forecast period, the impact on the municipal portion of individual property tax bills would be increases of 7.35% annually from 2026 to 2035. A typical single-family detached house in the Township with a current value assessment of $282,000 would see the municipal portion of its tax bill rise from approximately $1,648 as of 2025 to approximately $3,352 by 2035. Figure 4-6 illustrates the estimated impact on the municipal portion of the tax bill for a typical single-family detached house with a current value assessment of $282,000 under Scenario 1. [1]Current Value Assessment is determined by MPAC for taxation purposes and is not reflective of average market value. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-14 Figure 4-6: Scenario 1 - Estimated Impact on the Municipal Portion of the Tax Bill for Typical Single-family Detached House Assessed at $282,000 (2025-2035) +$121.23 (7.35%) +$130.15 (7.35%) +$139.72 (7.35%) +$150. (7.35%) +$161.03 (7.35%) +$172.87 (7.35%) +$185.59 (7.35%) +$199.24 (7.35%) +$213.89 (7.35%) +$229.62 (7.35%) $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Addition to Tax Bill Required to Immediately Eliminate Annual Infrastructure Funding Gap (Township Portion) Tax Bill Allocation for Capital-related Costs (Township Portion) Tax Bill Allocation for Net Operating Costs (Township Portion) Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-15 4.2.5.2 Scenario 2: 15-year AMP Phase-in Period This section presents the estimated impact resulting from Scenario 2 on the annual tax bill of a typical single-family detached house in the Township with a current value assessment of $282,000[1]. As noted in Section 4.2.4.2, the Township would need to increase its tax levy from approximately $7.2 million in 2025 to approximately $17.1 million by 2040. Layering on assessment increases resulting from new assessment growth, assumed to be 1.39% annually over the forecast period, the impact on the municipal portion of individual property tax bills would be increases of 5.78% annually from 2026 to 2040. A typical single-family detached house in the Township with a current value assessment of $282,000 would see the municipal portion of its tax bill rise from approximately $1,648 as of 2025 to approximately $2,891 by 2035, and further increase to approximately $3,828 by 2040. Figure 4-7 illustrates the estimated impact on the municipal portion of the tax bill for a typical single-family detached house with a current value assessment of $282,000 under Scenario 2. [1]Current Value Assessment is determined by MPAC for taxation purposes and is not reflective of average market value. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-16 Figure 4-7: Scenario 2 - Estimated Impact on the Municipal Portion of the Tax Bill for Typical Single-family Detached House Assessed at $282,000 (2025-2035) +$95.24 (5.78%) +$100.74 (5.78%) +$106.56 (5.78%) +$112.71 (5.78%) +$119.23 (5.78%) +$126.12 (5.78%) +$133.4 (5.78%) +$141.11 (5.78%) +$149.26 (5.78%) +$157.89 (5.78%) $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Addition to Tax Bill Required to Immediately Eliminate Annual Infrastructure Funding Gap (Township Portion) Tax Bill Allocation for Capital-related Costs (Township Portion) Tax Bill Allocation for Net Operating Costs (Township Portion) Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-17 4.3 Assets Funded by Water and Wastewater Rates 4.3.1 Annual Capital Expenditure Forecast This section summarizes the expenditures associated with undertaking the lifecycle activities identified earlier in Chapter 3 for the Township's water and wastewater assets. Capital expenditures over the 10-year forecast horizon are expected to total $40.8 million, an average of $4.1 million annually, in current (2025) dollars (i.e., uninflated). Inflation on capital costs has been estimated based on the historical 20-year annual average rate of inflation as witnessed in the Statistics Canada Non-residential Building Construction Price Index and is expected to be approximately 4.50% annually. Once inflationary impacts are incorporated, lifecycle expenditures over the next 10 years are expected to total $44.4 million. Figure 4-8 presents the inflated capital expenditure forecast for the Township's water and wastewater assets and this information is provided in tabular form in Table 4-7. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-18 Figure 4-8: Water & Wastewater - Overall Capital Expenditure Forecast (Inflated) $0M $5M $10M $15M $20M $25M 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Shedden WWTP Construction Wastewater Water Table 4-7: Water & Wastewater - Overall Capital Expenditure Forecast (Inflated) Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Capital Expenditures for Water Assets 104,000 $ 94,000 $ 114,000 $ 234,000 $ 112,000 $ 123,000 $ 138,000 $ 134,000 $ 207,000 $ 252,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Wastewater Assets 140,000 $ 130,000 $ 239,000 $ 252,000 $ 257,000 $ 270,000 $ 282,000 $ 294,000 $ 323,000 $ 761,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Shedden WWTP Construction - Phase 1 21,458,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Capital Expenditures for Shedden WWTP Construction - Phase 2 - $ 18,496,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Total Annual Capital Expenditures 21,702,000 $ 18,720,000 $ 353,000 $ 486,000 $ 369,000 $ 393,000 $ 420,000 $ 428,000 $ 530,000 $ 1,013,000 $ Capital Expenditures Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-19 4.3.2 Annual Capital Financing Forecast This section summarizes the recommended strategy to finance the capital expenditures identified in Section 4.3.1. Lifecycle expenditures are expected to be financed from the following sources: - Funds projected to be available in capital reserves and reserve funds. To manage risks associated with unexpected capital expenditures that may arise, the financial strategy maintains a minimum balance in capital reserve and reserve funds. The minimum balance was set at 10% of average annual capital expenditures over the forecast period, approximately $444,000; - Grant funding received from the Housing-Enabling Water Systems Fund (HEWSF) for the construction of the Shedden Wastewater Treatment Plant. As per HEWSF's cost-sharing rules, it is expected that 73% of the overall construction costs for this project will be funded through the grant. In total, approximately $29.2 million in HEWSF grant funding is expected to be received for this project; and - Revenues from future connection fees. The Township anticipates funding the remaining 27% of costs associated with the construction of the Shedden Wastewater Treatment Plant through future connection fee revenues. In total, approximately $10.8 million in future connection fee revenues is expected to be required to fund this project. As noted above, the Township expects to fund 27% of the Shedden Wastewater Treatment Plant's construction costs from future connection fee revenues. Depending on the timing of construction-related payments (i.e., progress payments) relative to connection fee revenues, the Township may need to temporarily finance construction costs from other internal sources (e.g., existing reserves and reserve funds) or external borrowing. These cashflow matters have not been considered in the financial strategy presented herein. Table 4-8 summarizes the capital financing forecast for the Township's water and wastewater assets. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-20 Table 4-8: Water and Wastewater - Capital Financing by Source (2026-2035) Capital Financing Source Total Capital Financing Contributions from Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds $4,460,000 Housing-Enabling Water Systems Fund Grant $29,166,000 Connection Fee Revenues $10,788,000 Total $44,414,000 4.3.3 Current Annual Lifecycle Funding Target & Infrastructure Funding Gap The current annual lifecycle funding target for the Township's water and wastewater assets is $1.44 million (in 2025 dollars). As noted earlier in Section 2.7.3 and Section 3.8, the Township anticipates additional growth-related wastewater system demand in the settlement areas of Shedden and Fingal in the near term and plans to address this by constructing a new wastewater treatment plant in Shedden. The construction of this plant is currently planned to occur in two phases over 2026 and 2027. Following the construction of this plant, the annual lifecycle funding target for the water and wastewater assets is estimated to rise by $868,000 to $2.31 million (in 2025 dollars). Please refer to Section 4.2.3 for further information on annual lifecycle funding targets. Table 4-9 summarizes the modelling approaches that have been utilized to derive the annual lifecycle funding target for water and wastewater assets. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-21 Table 4-9: Modelling Approaches Utilized to Determine Annual Lifecycle Funding Targets by Asset Category Asset Category Modelling Approach Water Watermains: Useful life analysis (i.e., determined by dividing the current replacement cost of each watermain segment by a 75-year expected useful service life) Water Treatment Facilities: Useful life analysis (i.e., determined by dividing the current replacement cost of various building elements and treatment components by their respective useful service life expectancies) Other Assets: Useful life analysis (i.e., determined by dividing the current replacement cost of assets by their respective useful service life expectancies) Wastewater Wastewater Mains: Useful life analysis (i.e., determined by dividing the current replacement cost of each wastewater main segment by a 75-year expected useful service life) Talbotville WWTP: Useful life analysis (i.e., determined by dividing the current replacement cost of various building elements and treatment components by their respective useful service life expectancies) Shedden WWTP: Estimated based on the annual lifecycle funding target for the Talbotville WWTP, considering relative increases to plant size/capacity A breakdown of the lifecycle funding target by asset category is illustrated in Figure 4-9 and provided in tabular form in Table 4-10. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-22 Figure 4-9: Water and Wastewater - Annual Lifecycle Funding Target (2025$) by Asset Category Water, $1.22M, 53% Wastewater, $218k, 9% Shedden WWTP, $868k, 38% $2.31 million Table 4-10: Water and Wastewater - Annual Lifecycle Funding Target (2025$) by Asset Category Asset Category Annual Lifecycle Funding Target (2025$) Water $1,221,000 Wastewater $218,000 Shedden Wastewater Treatment Plant $868,000 Total $2,307,000 The Township allocated approximately $458,000 million towards capital-related needs in its 2025 budget for water and wastewater assets, which comprised contributions made into the Township's water and wastewater rate-funded capital reserves and reserve funds. The difference between the annual lifecycle funding target and the currently budgeted capital funding represents the Township's annual infrastructure funding gap for its water and wastewater assets. Based on this analysis, the Township is currently facing a water and wastewater rate- based annual infrastructure funding gap of approximately $981,000 (in 2025 dollars). Once the annual lifecycle funding needs of the Shedden WWTP are incorporated into the funding target, the annual infrastructure funding gap rises to approximately $1.85 million (in 2025 dollars). Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-23 4.3.4 Overall Financial Forecast and Estimated Impact on Tax Levy This section presents the overall impacts on the Township's financial position of gradually eliminating the $1.85 million funding gap by 2035. The capital financing forecast for water and wastewater assets does not require any additional debt financing over the 10-year forecast period. Furthermore, annual repayments on external debt (i.e., principal and interest payments) utilized to fund the water and wastewater portion of construction costs of the new public works facility are expected to commence in 2026. As such, annual repayments on external debt are expected to remain stable at approximately $62,000 for the next 10 years. As noted previously in Section 4.3.2, there may be some debt financing required for the Shedden WWTP. However, this has not been included in the financial strategy presented herein. The Township is expected to have approximately $5.2 million in its water and wastewater rate-funded capital reserves and reserve funds at the end of 2025. By 2035, this balance is expected to grow to approximately $16.6 million. A detailed continuity schedule of water and wastewater rate-funded capital reserves/reserve funds can be found in Appendix B In order to fund the recommended lifecycle management strategy and eliminate the infrastructure funding gap for water and wastewater assets, the Township's water and wastewater rate revenues would need to increase by 10.62% annually from 2026 to 2035[1]. Rate revenues are forecasted to rise from the current level of approximately $2.7 million to approximately $7.4 million by 2035. The identified rate-revenue impacts include inflationary adjustments to the Township's operating costs and revenues as identified in its 2025 budget (i.e., general operating inflation of 2.22% annually). Figure 4-10 illustrates the overall financial forecast for the Township's rate-funded assets, with full details of the Financial Strategy provided in Appendix B. [1]Please note that this may not necessarily lead to an equivalent increase in the water and wastewater rates that are charged to users. The Township's water and wastewater rates are determined as part of its annual budgeting process and are dependent on other factors (such as the total number of customers and metered consumption), which are outside the scope of the analysis presented herein. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-24 Figure 4-10: Water & Wastewater - Overall Financial Forecast (Inflated) $0M $5M $10M $15M $20M $25M $30M 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Year-end balance in capital reserves Capital Expenditures Debt Payments Net Operating Expenditures Debt Proceeds HEWSF Grant Connection Fees Rate Revenue Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 4-25 4.4 Assets Funded by Stormwater Rates The Township implemented stormwater rates in July 2025 to provide a dedicated funding source for stormwater management services. Stormwater rates have been set as per the recommendations provided in the Township's 2024 One Water Rate Study[1], with the intent to, over time, fully fund the cost of providing stormwater management services from stormwater rate revenues. Due to the recency of the implementation of stormwater rates within the Township, there is currently insufficient data to develop an accurate and robust financial strategy for stormwater assets. In order to support the development of such a financial strategy in future iterations of this asset management plan, it is recommended that the Township: - Refine and update its current inventory of stormwater assets; and - Update stormwater revenue and operating cost projections based on data collected from the on-going implementation phase. [1]The Township's 2024 One Water Rate Study was completed by WT Infrastructure. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Chapter 5 Recommendations and Next Steps Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 5-1 5. Recommendations and Next Steps 5.1 Recommendations The following recommendations are provided for the Township's consideration: - That the Township of Southwold Asset Management Plan be received and approved by Council based on one of the following financial strategy scenarios for tax-funded assets: o Scenario 1: Eliminating the current annual infrastructure funding gap over a 10-year period (i.e., by 2035); or o Scenario 2: Eliminating the current annual infrastructure funding gap over a 15-year period (i.e., by 2040) - That consideration be made as part of the annual budgeting process to ensure sufficient capital funding is available to implement the asset management plan. As noted earlier in Section 4.4, due to the recency of the implementation of stormwater rates within the Township, there is currently insufficient data to develop an accurate and robust financial strategy for stormwater assets. As such, it is further recommended that the Township continue its data collection efforts from the on-going implementation phase to: - Refine and update its current inventory of stormwater assets; and - Update its stormwater revenue and operating cost projections. 5.2 Next Steps Following the approval of this asset management plan by Council, the Township's asset management journey will transition from developing the plan to its operationalization. The Township will need to establish processes and implement systems to keep asset information (e.g., condition, replacement costs, etc.) updated and relevant, so that it can be relied on to identify capital priorities and inform the annual budget process. To ensure ongoing compliance with O. Reg. 588/17, the Township will need to start conducting annual reviews of the progress being made towards implementing the asset Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE 5-2 management plan, with the first review required to be conducted prior to July 1, 2027. The annual reviews must identify any factors preventing progress towards full implementation and outline a strategy to address those impeding factors. Following the completion of this asset management plan, the Township should shift its focus to developing the format and content of these annual reviews to enable informed decision - making by Council and staff. Furthermore, O. Reg. 588/17 requires updates to this asset management plan to be conducted at a minimum every five years. To maximize the reliability of the updated analyses, the Township should proactively plan to conduct updates of background studies and underlying asset data in a timely manner prior to undertaking an update of this asset management plan. The Township should also plan to proactively update the underlying data utilized to inform the current performance of the included level of service measures on a regular basis. Tracking the current performance of included measures over time relative to their targeted performance provides a key measure of success in fully implementing the asset management plan. Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-1 Appendix A Financial Strategy Tables for Tax-funded Assets Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-2 Table A-1: Tax-supported Capital Budget Forecast for Scenario 1 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Capital Expenditures for Roads & Road-related Assets 5,372,000 $ 2,510,000 $ 2,557,000 $ 1,121,000 $ 1,165,000 $ 1,761,000 $ 2,139,000 $ 1,177,000 $ 2,792,000 $ 3,466,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Structures 565,000 $ 685,000 $ 1,129,000 $ 184,000 $ 358,000 $ 266,000 $ 412,000 $ 81,000 $ 404,000 $ 491,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Tax-funded Facilities - $ 84,000 $ 46,000 $ - $ 232,000 $ - $ 11,000 $ - $ - $ - $ Capital Expenditures for Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment Assets 328,000 $ 1,104,000 $ 1,152,000 $ 558,000 $ 1,279,000 $ 1,184,000 $ 485,000 $ 239,000 $ 703,000 $ 4,047,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Parks and Recreation Assets 112,000 $ 209,000 $ 302,000 $ 119,000 $ 150,000 $ 139,000 $ 325,000 $ 124,000 $ 58,000 $ 339,000 $ Total Annual Capital Expenditures 6,377,000 $ 4,592,000 $ 5,186,000 $ 1,982,000 $ 3,184,000 $ 3,350,000 $ 3,372,000 $ 1,621,000 $ 3,957,000 $ 8,343,000 $ Transfer Payment Revenues (OCIF + CCBF) 424,000 $ 298,000 $ 298,000 $ 304,000 $ 304,000 $ 311,000 $ 311,000 $ 318,000 $ 318,000 $ 326,000 $ Debt Proceeds - $ - $ 414,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Contribution from Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds 5,953,000 $ 4,294,000 $ 4,474,000 $ 1,678,000 $ 2,880,000 $ 3,039,000 $ 3,061,000 $ 1,303,000 $ 3,639,000 $ 8,017,000 $ Total Annual Capital Financing 6,377,000 $ 4,592,000 $ 5,186,000 $ 1,982,000 $ 3,184,000 $ 3,350,000 $ 3,372,000 $ 1,621,000 $ 3,957,000 $ 8,343,000 $ Capital Expenditures Capital Financing Table A-2: Tax-supported Schedule of Debt Payments for Scenario 1 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Year Principal Borrowed 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 2026 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2027 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2028 414,000 $ 38,000 $ 38,000 $ 38,000 $ 38,000 $ 38,000 $ 38,000 $ 38,000 $ 2029 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2030 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2031 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2032 - $ - $ - $ - $ 2033 - $ - $ - $ 2034 - $ - $ 2035 - $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ Existing Total Annual Debt Repayments Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-3 Table A-3: Tax-supported Schedule of Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds Continuity for Scenario 1 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Opening Balance 5,252,000 $ 2,212,000 $ 1,186,000 $ 420,000 $ 2,903,000 $ 4,791,000 $ 7,169,000 $ 10,240,000 $ 15,863,000 $ 20,064,000 $ Add: Transfer from Operating 2,745,000 $ 3,155,000 $ 3,606,000 $ 4,065,000 $ 4,611,000 $ 5,210,000 $ 5,865,000 $ 6,583,000 $ 7,368,000 $ 8,229,000 $ Add: Interest Earned 168,000 $ 113,000 $ 102,000 $ 96,000 $ 157,000 $ 207,000 $ 267,000 $ 343,000 $ 472,000 $ 572,000 $ Less: Transfer to Fund Capital Expenditures 5,953,000 $ 4,294,000 $ 4,474,000 $ 1,678,000 $ 2,880,000 $ 3,039,000 $ 3,061,000 $ 1,303,000 $ 3,639,000 $ 8,017,000 $ Closing Balance 2,212,000 $ 1,186,000 $ 420,000 $ 2,903,000 $ 4,791,000 $ 7,169,000 $ 10,240,000 $ 15,863,000 $ 20,064,000 $ 20,848,000 $ Minimum Reserve Balance Theshold (10% of avg. inflated CAPEX) 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-4 Table A-4: Tax-supported Operating Budget Forecast for Scenario 1 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Council 132,000 $ 135,000 $ 138,000 $ 141,000 $ 144,000 $ 147,000 $ 150,000 $ 153,000 $ 156,000 $ 159,000 $ Administration 892,000 $ 912,000 $ 932,000 $ 953,000 $ 974,000 $ 996,000 $ 1,018,000 $ 1,041,000 $ 1,064,000 $ 1,088,000 $ Police 736,000 $ 752,000 $ 769,000 $ 786,000 $ 803,000 $ 821,000 $ 839,000 $ 858,000 $ 877,000 $ 896,000 $ Conservation Authority 118,000 $ 121,000 $ 124,000 $ 127,000 $ 130,000 $ 133,000 $ 136,000 $ 139,000 $ 142,000 $ 145,000 $ By-law, Canine, Livestock 59,000 $ 60,000 $ 61,000 $ 62,000 $ 63,000 $ 64,000 $ 65,000 $ 66,000 $ 67,000 $ 68,000 $ Waste Management 384,000 $ 393,000 $ 402,000 $ 411,000 $ 420,000 $ 429,000 $ 439,000 $ 449,000 $ 459,000 $ 469,000 $ Cemeteries 23,000 $ 24,000 $ 25,000 $ 26,000 $ 27,000 $ 28,000 $ 29,000 $ 30,000 $ 31,000 $ 32,000 $ Fire Department 874,000 $ 893,000 $ 913,000 $ 933,000 $ 954,000 $ 975,000 $ 997,000 $ 1,019,000 $ 1,042,000 $ 1,065,000 $ Building 377,000 $ 385,000 $ 394,000 $ 403,000 $ 412,000 $ 421,000 $ 430,000 $ 440,000 $ 450,000 $ 460,000 $ Municipal Property 138,000 $ 141,000 $ 144,000 $ 147,000 $ 150,000 $ 153,000 $ 156,000 $ 159,000 $ 163,000 $ 167,000 $ Keystone 129,000 $ 132,000 $ 135,000 $ 138,000 $ 141,000 $ 144,000 $ 147,000 $ 150,000 $ 153,000 $ 156,000 $ Parks 308,000 $ 315,000 $ 322,000 $ 329,000 $ 336,000 $ 343,000 $ 351,000 $ 359,000 $ 367,000 $ 375,000 $ Roads (not including loosetop maintenance) 2,135,000 $ 2,182,000 $ 2,230,000 $ 2,279,000 $ 2,330,000 $ 2,382,000 $ 2,435,000 $ 2,489,000 $ 2,544,000 $ 2,600,000 $ Loosetop Maintenance 502,000 $ 563,000 $ 632,000 $ 709,000 $ 796,000 $ 893,000 $ 1,002,000 $ 1,124,000 $ 1,262,000 $ 1,416,000 $ Planning 325,000 $ 332,000 $ 339,000 $ 347,000 $ 355,000 $ 363,000 $ 371,000 $ 379,000 $ 387,000 $ 396,000 $ Drainage 174,000 $ 178,000 $ 182,000 $ 186,000 $ 190,000 $ 194,000 $ 198,000 $ 202,000 $ 206,000 $ 211,000 $ Fee Waivers/Grants 35,000 $ 36,000 $ 37,000 $ 38,000 $ 39,000 $ 40,000 $ 41,000 $ 42,000 $ 43,000 $ 44,000 $ Transfer to Operating Reserve 77,000 $ 79,000 $ 81,000 $ 83,000 $ 85,000 $ 87,000 $ 89,000 $ 91,000 $ 93,000 $ 95,000 $ Adjustment for Equipment Internal Charges 355,000 -$ 360,000 -$ 365,000 -$ 370,000 -$ 375,000 -$ 380,000 -$ 385,000 -$ 390,000 -$ 395,000 -$ 400,000 -$ Sub-total: Operating Expenditures 7,063,000 $ 7,273,000 $ 7,495,000 $ 7,728,000 $ 7,974,000 $ 8,233,000 $ 8,508,000 $ 8,800,000 $ 9,111,000 $ 9,442,000 $ Transfer to Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds 2,745,000 $ 3,155,000 $ 3,606,000 $ 4,065,000 $ 4,611,000 $ 5,210,000 $ 5,865,000 $ 6,583,000 $ 7,368,000 $ 8,229,000 $ Debt Repayment 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ 406,000 $ Sub-total: Capital-related Expenditures 3,113,000 $ 3,523,000 $ 3,974,000 $ 4,471,000 $ 5,017,000 $ 5,616,000 $ 6,271,000 $ 6,989,000 $ 7,774,000 $ 8,635,000 $ Total Annual Expenditures 10,176,000 $ 10,796,000 $ 11,469,000 $ 12,199,000 $ 12,991,000 $ 13,849,000 $ 14,779,000 $ 15,789,000 $ 16,885,000 $ 18,077,000 $ Tax Levy 6,531,000 $ 7,108,000 $ 7,737,000 $ 8,422,000 $ 9,167,000 $ 9,978,000 $ 10,860,000 $ 11,821,000 $ 12,867,000 $ 14,005,000 $ Administration 97,000 $ 99,000 $ 101,000 $ 103,000 $ 105,000 $ 107,000 $ 109,000 $ 111,000 $ 113,000 $ 116,000 $ Waste Management 71,000 $ 73,000 $ 75,000 $ 77,000 $ 79,000 $ 81,000 $ 83,000 $ 85,000 $ 87,000 $ 89,000 $ Fire Department 234,000 $ 239,000 $ 244,000 $ 249,000 $ 255,000 $ 261,000 $ 267,000 $ 273,000 $ 279,000 $ 285,000 $ Building 377,000 $ 385,000 $ 394,000 $ 403,000 $ 412,000 $ 421,000 $ 430,000 $ 440,000 $ 450,000 $ 460,000 $ Municipal Property 100,000 $ 102,000 $ 104,000 $ 106,000 $ 108,000 $ 110,000 $ 112,000 $ 114,000 $ 117,000 $ 120,000 $ Keystone 44,000 $ 45,000 $ 46,000 $ 47,000 $ 48,000 $ 49,000 $ 50,000 $ 51,000 $ 52,000 $ 53,000 $ Parks 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ Roads 421,000 $ 431,000 $ 441,000 $ 450,000 $ 460,000 $ 470,000 $ 481,000 $ 492,000 $ 502,000 $ 515,000 $ Planning 195,000 $ 199,000 $ 203,000 $ 208,000 $ 213,000 $ 218,000 $ 223,000 $ 228,000 $ 233,000 $ 238,000 $ Drainage 99,000 $ 101,000 $ 103,000 $ 105,000 $ 107,000 $ 109,000 $ 111,000 $ 113,000 $ 116,000 $ 119,000 $ Interest Income 153,000 $ 156,000 $ 159,000 $ 163,000 $ 167,000 $ 171,000 $ 175,000 $ 179,000 $ 183,000 $ 187,000 $ PILs 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ Penalty & Interest 77,000 $ 79,000 $ 81,000 $ 83,000 $ 85,000 $ 87,000 $ 89,000 $ 91,000 $ 93,000 $ 95,000 $ Supplemental Taxation 87,000 $ 89,000 $ 91,000 $ 93,000 $ 95,000 $ 97,000 $ 99,000 $ 101,000 $ 103,000 $ 105,000 $ OMPF 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ Total Annual Revenues 10,176,000 $ 10,796,000 $ 11,469,000 $ 12,199,000 $ 12,991,000 $ 13,849,000 $ 14,779,000 $ 15,789,000 $ 16,885,000 $ 18,077,000 $ Operating Revenues Operating Expenditures Capital-related Expenditures Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-5 Table A-5: Tax Levy Forecast for Scenario 1 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Prior-year Tax Levy 7,153,000 $ 6,531,000 $ 7,108,000 $ 7,737,000 $ 8,422,000 $ 9,167,000 $ 9,978,000 $ 10,860,000 $ 11,821,000 $ 12,867,000 $ Add: Tax Revenues from Incremental Assessment Growth 1,070,000 -$ 91,000 $ 99,000 $ 108,000 $ 117,000 $ 127,000 $ 139,000 $ 151,000 $ 164,000 $ 179,000 $ Add: Tax Revenues from Existing Assessment Base 448,000 $ 486,000 $ 530,000 $ 577,000 $ 628,000 $ 684,000 $ 743,000 $ 810,000 $ 882,000 $ 959,000 $ Total Tax Levy 6,531,000 $ 7,108,000 $ 7,737,000 $ 8,422,000 $ 9,167,000 $ 9,978,000 $ 10,860,000 $ 11,821,000 $ 12,867,000 $ 14,005,000 $ Tax Levy Increase % -8.71% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% 8.85% Tax Rate Increase % 7.35% 7.35% 7.35% 7.35% 7.35% 7.35% 7.35% 7.35% 7.35% Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-6 Table A-6: Tax-supported Capital Budget Forecast for Scenario 2 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Capital Expenditures for Roads & Road-related Assets 5,372,000 $ 2,510,000 $ 2,557,000 $ 1,121,000 $ 1,165,000 $ 1,761,000 $ 2,139,000 $ 1,177,000 $ 2,792,000 $ 3,466,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Structures 565,000 $ 685,000 $ 1,129,000 $ 184,000 $ 358,000 $ 266,000 $ 412,000 $ 81,000 $ 404,000 $ 491,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Tax-funded Facilities - $ 84,000 $ 46,000 $ - $ 232,000 $ - $ 11,000 $ - $ - $ - $ Capital Expenditures for Tax-funded Fleet and Equipment Assets 328,000 $ 1,104,000 $ 1,152,000 $ 558,000 $ 1,279,000 $ 1,184,000 $ 485,000 $ 239,000 $ 703,000 $ 4,047,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Parks and Recreation Assets 112,000 $ 209,000 $ 302,000 $ 119,000 $ 150,000 $ 139,000 $ 325,000 $ 124,000 $ 58,000 $ 339,000 $ Total Annual Capital Expenditures 6,377,000 $ 4,592,000 $ 5,186,000 $ 1,982,000 $ 3,184,000 $ 3,350,000 $ 3,372,000 $ 1,621,000 $ 3,957,000 $ 8,343,000 $ Transfer Payment Revenues (OCIF + CCBF) 424,000 $ 298,000 $ 298,000 $ 304,000 $ 304,000 $ 311,000 $ 311,000 $ 318,000 $ 318,000 $ 326,000 $ Debt Proceeds - $ - $ 1,074,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Contribution from Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds 5,953,000 $ 4,294,000 $ 3,814,000 $ 1,678,000 $ 2,880,000 $ 3,039,000 $ 3,061,000 $ 1,303,000 $ 3,639,000 $ 8,017,000 $ Total Annual Capital Financing 6,377,000 $ 4,592,000 $ 5,186,000 $ 1,982,000 $ 3,184,000 $ 3,350,000 $ 3,372,000 $ 1,621,000 $ 3,957,000 $ 8,343,000 $ Capital Expenditures Capital Financing Table A-7: Tax-supported Schedule of Debt Payments for Scenario 2 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Year Principal Borrowed 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 2026 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2027 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2028 1,074,000 $ 99,000 $ 99,000 $ 99,000 $ 99,000 $ 99,000 $ 99,000 $ 99,000 $ 2029 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2030 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2031 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2032 - $ - $ - $ - $ 2033 - $ - $ - $ 2034 - $ - $ 2035 - $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ Existing Total Annual Debt Repayments Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-7 Table A-8: Tax-supported Schedule of Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds Continuity for Scenario 2 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Opening Balance 5,252,000 $ 2,115,000 $ 875,000 $ 420,000 $ 2,348,000 $ 3,495,000 $ 4,920,000 $ 6,794,000 $ 10,940,000 $ 13,343,000 $ Add: Transfer from Operating 2,649,000 $ 2,948,000 $ 3,270,000 $ 3,520,000 $ 3,897,000 $ 4,302,000 $ 4,735,000 $ 5,202,000 $ 5,703,000 $ 6,241,000 $ Add: Interest Earned 167,000 $ 106,000 $ 89,000 $ 86,000 $ 130,000 $ 162,000 $ 200,000 $ 247,000 $ 339,000 $ 398,000 $ Less: Transfer to Fund Capital Expenditures 5,953,000 $ 4,294,000 $ 3,814,000 $ 1,678,000 $ 2,880,000 $ 3,039,000 $ 3,061,000 $ 1,303,000 $ 3,639,000 $ 8,017,000 $ Closing Balance 2,115,000 $ 875,000 $ 420,000 $ 2,348,000 $ 3,495,000 $ 4,920,000 $ 6,794,000 $ 10,940,000 $ 13,343,000 $ 11,965,000 $ Minimum Reserve Balance Theshold (10% of avg. inflated CAPEX) 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ 420,000 $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-8 Table A-9: Tax-supported Operating Budget Forecast for Scenario 2 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Council 132,000 $ 135,000 $ 138,000 $ 141,000 $ 144,000 $ 147,000 $ 150,000 $ 153,000 $ 156,000 $ 159,000 $ Administration 892,000 $ 912,000 $ 932,000 $ 953,000 $ 974,000 $ 996,000 $ 1,018,000 $ 1,041,000 $ 1,064,000 $ 1,088,000 $ Police 736,000 $ 752,000 $ 769,000 $ 786,000 $ 803,000 $ 821,000 $ 839,000 $ 858,000 $ 877,000 $ 896,000 $ Conservation Authority 118,000 $ 121,000 $ 124,000 $ 127,000 $ 130,000 $ 133,000 $ 136,000 $ 139,000 $ 142,000 $ 145,000 $ By-law, Canine, Livestock 59,000 $ 60,000 $ 61,000 $ 62,000 $ 63,000 $ 64,000 $ 65,000 $ 66,000 $ 67,000 $ 68,000 $ Waste Management 384,000 $ 393,000 $ 402,000 $ 411,000 $ 420,000 $ 429,000 $ 439,000 $ 449,000 $ 459,000 $ 469,000 $ Cemeteries 23,000 $ 24,000 $ 25,000 $ 26,000 $ 27,000 $ 28,000 $ 29,000 $ 30,000 $ 31,000 $ 32,000 $ Fire Department 874,000 $ 893,000 $ 913,000 $ 933,000 $ 954,000 $ 975,000 $ 997,000 $ 1,019,000 $ 1,042,000 $ 1,065,000 $ Building 377,000 $ 385,000 $ 394,000 $ 403,000 $ 412,000 $ 421,000 $ 430,000 $ 440,000 $ 450,000 $ 460,000 $ Municipal Property 138,000 $ 141,000 $ 144,000 $ 147,000 $ 150,000 $ 153,000 $ 156,000 $ 159,000 $ 163,000 $ 167,000 $ Keystone 129,000 $ 132,000 $ 135,000 $ 138,000 $ 141,000 $ 144,000 $ 147,000 $ 150,000 $ 153,000 $ 156,000 $ Parks 308,000 $ 315,000 $ 322,000 $ 329,000 $ 336,000 $ 343,000 $ 351,000 $ 359,000 $ 367,000 $ 375,000 $ Roads (not including loosetop maintenance) 2,135,000 $ 2,182,000 $ 2,230,000 $ 2,279,000 $ 2,330,000 $ 2,382,000 $ 2,435,000 $ 2,489,000 $ 2,544,000 $ 2,600,000 $ Loosetop Maintenance 502,000 $ 563,000 $ 632,000 $ 709,000 $ 796,000 $ 893,000 $ 1,002,000 $ 1,124,000 $ 1,262,000 $ 1,416,000 $ Planning 325,000 $ 332,000 $ 339,000 $ 347,000 $ 355,000 $ 363,000 $ 371,000 $ 379,000 $ 387,000 $ 396,000 $ Drainage 174,000 $ 178,000 $ 182,000 $ 186,000 $ 190,000 $ 194,000 $ 198,000 $ 202,000 $ 206,000 $ 211,000 $ Fee Waivers/Grants 35,000 $ 36,000 $ 37,000 $ 38,000 $ 39,000 $ 40,000 $ 41,000 $ 42,000 $ 43,000 $ 44,000 $ Transfer to Operating Reserve 77,000 $ 79,000 $ 81,000 $ 83,000 $ 85,000 $ 87,000 $ 89,000 $ 91,000 $ 93,000 $ 95,000 $ Adjustment for Equipment Internal Charges (Transfer to Reserve) 355,000 -$ 360,000 -$ 365,000 -$ 370,000 -$ 375,000 -$ 380,000 -$ 385,000 -$ 390,000 -$ 395,000 -$ 400,000 -$ Sub-total: Operating Expenditures 7,063,000 $ 7,273,000 $ 7,495,000 $ 7,728,000 $ 7,974,000 $ 8,233,000 $ 8,508,000 $ 8,800,000 $ 9,111,000 $ 9,442,000 $ Transfer to Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds 2,649,000 $ 2,948,000 $ 3,270,000 $ 3,520,000 $ 3,897,000 $ 4,302,000 $ 4,735,000 $ 5,202,000 $ 5,703,000 $ 6,241,000 $ Debt Repayment 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 368,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ 467,000 $ Sub-total: Capital-related Expenditures 3,017,000 $ 3,316,000 $ 3,638,000 $ 3,987,000 $ 4,364,000 $ 4,769,000 $ 5,202,000 $ 5,669,000 $ 6,170,000 $ 6,708,000 $ Total Annual Expenditures 10,080,000 $ 10,589,000 $ 11,133,000 $ 11,715,000 $ 12,338,000 $ 13,002,000 $ 13,710,000 $ 14,469,000 $ 15,281,000 $ 16,150,000 $ Tax Levy 6,435,000 $ 6,901,000 $ 7,401,000 $ 7,938,000 $ 8,513,000 $ 9,130,000 $ 9,792,000 $ 10,501,000 $ 11,262,000 $ 12,078,000 $ Administration 97,000 $ 99,000 $ 101,000 $ 103,000 $ 105,000 $ 107,000 $ 109,000 $ 111,000 $ 113,000 $ 116,000 $ Waste Management 71,000 $ 73,000 $ 75,000 $ 77,000 $ 79,000 $ 81,000 $ 83,000 $ 85,000 $ 87,000 $ 89,000 $ Fire Department 234,000 $ 239,000 $ 244,000 $ 249,000 $ 255,000 $ 261,000 $ 267,000 $ 273,000 $ 279,000 $ 285,000 $ Building 377,000 $ 385,000 $ 394,000 $ 403,000 $ 412,000 $ 421,000 $ 430,000 $ 440,000 $ 450,000 $ 460,000 $ Municipal Property 100,000 $ 102,000 $ 104,000 $ 106,000 $ 108,000 $ 110,000 $ 112,000 $ 114,000 $ 117,000 $ 120,000 $ Keystone 44,000 $ 45,000 $ 46,000 $ 47,000 $ 48,000 $ 49,000 $ 50,000 $ 51,000 $ 52,000 $ 53,000 $ Parks 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ 21,000 $ Roads 421,000 $ 431,000 $ 441,000 $ 450,000 $ 461,000 $ 471,000 $ 480,000 $ 492,000 $ 503,000 $ 515,000 $ Planning 195,000 $ 199,000 $ 203,000 $ 208,000 $ 213,000 $ 218,000 $ 223,000 $ 228,000 $ 233,000 $ 238,000 $ Drainage 99,000 $ 101,000 $ 103,000 $ 105,000 $ 107,000 $ 109,000 $ 111,000 $ 113,000 $ 116,000 $ 119,000 $ Interest Income 153,000 $ 156,000 $ 159,000 $ 163,000 $ 167,000 $ 171,000 $ 175,000 $ 179,000 $ 183,000 $ 187,000 $ PILs 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ 1,168,000 $ Penalty & Interest 77,000 $ 79,000 $ 81,000 $ 83,000 $ 85,000 $ 87,000 $ 89,000 $ 91,000 $ 93,000 $ 95,000 $ Supplemental Taxation 87,000 $ 89,000 $ 91,000 $ 93,000 $ 95,000 $ 97,000 $ 99,000 $ 101,000 $ 103,000 $ 105,000 $ OMPF 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ 501,000 $ Total Annual Revenues 10,080,000 $ 10,589,000 $ 11,133,000 $ 11,715,000 $ 12,338,000 $ 13,002,000 $ 13,710,000 $ 14,469,000 $ 15,281,000 $ 16,150,000 $ Operating Revenues Operating Expenditures Capital-related Expenditures Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE A-9 Table A-10: Tax Levy Forecast for Scenario 2 (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Prior-year Tax Levy 7,153,000 $ 6,435,000 $ 6,901,000 $ 7,401,000 $ 7,938,000 $ 8,513,000 $ 9,130,000 $ 9,792,000 $ 10,501,000 $ 11,262,000 $ Add: Tax Revenues from Incremental Assessment Growth 1,070,000 -$ 89,000 $ 96,000 $ 103,000 $ 110,000 $ 118,000 $ 127,000 $ 136,000 $ 146,000 $ 156,000 $ Add: Tax Revenues from Existing Assessment Base 352,000 $ 377,000 $ 404,000 $ 434,000 $ 465,000 $ 499,000 $ 535,000 $ 573,000 $ 615,000 $ 660,000 $ Total Tax Levy 6,435,000 $ 6,901,000 $ 7,401,000 $ 7,938,000 $ 8,513,000 $ 9,130,000 $ 9,792,000 $ 10,501,000 $ 11,262,000 $ 12,078,000 $ Tax Levy Increase % -10.05% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% 7.25% Tax Rate Increase % 5.78% 5.78% 5.78% 5.78% 5.78% 5.78% 5.78% 5.78% 5.78% Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE B-1 Appendix B Financial Strategy Tables for Water and Wastewater Assets Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE B-2 Table B-1: Water and Wastewater Capital Budget Forecast (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Capital Expenditures for Water Assets 104,000 $ 94,000 $ 114,000 $ 234,000 $ 112,000 $ 123,000 $ 138,000 $ 134,000 $ 207,000 $ 252,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Wastewater Assets 140,000 $ 130,000 $ 239,000 $ 252,000 $ 257,000 $ 270,000 $ 282,000 $ 294,000 $ 323,000 $ 761,000 $ Capital Expenditures for Shedden WWTP Construction - Phase 1 21,458,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Capital Expenditures for Shedden WWTP Construction - Phase 2 - $ 18,496,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Total Annual Capital Expenditures 21,702,000 $ 18,720,000 $ 353,000 $ 486,000 $ 369,000 $ 393,000 $ 420,000 $ 428,000 $ 530,000 $ 1,013,000 $ Contribution from Connection Fees 5,794,000 $ 4,994,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ HEWSF Grant 15,664,000 $ 13,502,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ Contribution from Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds 244,000 $ 224,000 $ 353,000 $ 486,000 $ 369,000 $ 393,000 $ 420,000 $ 428,000 $ 530,000 $ 1,013,000 $ Total Annual Capital Financing 21,702,000 $ 18,720,000 $ 353,000 $ 486,000 $ 369,000 $ 393,000 $ 420,000 $ 428,000 $ 530,000 $ 1,013,000 $ Capital Expenditures Capital Financing Table B-2: Water and Wastewater Schedule of Debt Payments (Inflated) Township of Southwold Year Principal Borrowed 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 2026 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2027 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2028 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2029 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2030 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2031 - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2032 - $ - $ - $ - $ 2033 - $ - $ - $ 2034 - $ - $ 2035 - $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ Existing Total Annual Debt Repayments Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE B-3 Table B-3: Water and Wastewater Schedule of Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds Continuity (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Opening Balance 5,159,000 $ 5,105,000 $ 5,188,000 $ 5,255,000 $ 5,511,000 $ 6,251,000 $ 7,391,000 $ 8,982,000 $ 11,112,000 $ 13,755,000 $ Add: Transfer from Operating 85,000 $ 202,000 $ 309,000 $ 624,000 $ 980,000 $ 1,380,000 $ 1,827,000 $ 2,332,000 $ 2,893,000 $ 3,524,000 $ Add: Interest Earned 105,000 $ 105,000 $ 111,000 $ 118,000 $ 129,000 $ 153,000 $ 184,000 $ 226,000 $ 280,000 $ 346,000 $ Less: Transfer to Fund Capital Expenditures and Operating Expenditu 244,000 $ 224,000 $ 353,000 $ 486,000 $ 369,000 $ 393,000 $ 420,000 $ 428,000 $ 530,000 $ 1,013,000 $ Closing Balance 5,105,000 $ 5,188,000 $ 5,255,000 $ 5,511,000 $ 6,251,000 $ 7,391,000 $ 8,982,000 $ 11,112,000 $ 13,755,000 $ 16,612,000 $ Minimum Reserve Balance Theshold (10% of avg. inflated CAPEX) 444,000 $ 444,000 $ 444,000 $ 444,000 $ 444,000 $ 444,000 $ 444,000 $ 444,000 $ 444,000 $ 444,000 $ Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. PAGE B-4 Table B-4: Water and Wastewater Operating Budget Forecast (Inflated) Township of Southwold Description 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Water 2,187,000 $ 2,236,000 $ 2,285,000 $ 2,336,000 $ 2,388,000 $ 2,441,000 $ 2,495,000 $ 2,550,000 $ 2,607,000 $ 2,664,000 $ Wastewater 646,000 $ 660,000 $ 675,000 $ 690,000 $ 705,000 $ 721,000 $ 737,000 $ 753,000 $ 770,000 $ 787,000 $ Shedden Wastewater System 377,000 $ 523,000 $ 712,000 $ 728,000 $ 744,000 $ 761,000 $ 778,000 $ 795,000 $ 813,000 $ 831,000 $ Sub-total: Operating Expenditures 3,210,000 $ 3,419,000 $ 3,672,000 $ 3,754,000 $ 3,837,000 $ 3,923,000 $ 4,010,000 $ 4,098,000 $ 4,190,000 $ 4,282,000 $ Transfer to Capital Reserves and Reserve Funds 85,000 $ 202,000 $ 309,000 $ 624,000 $ 980,000 $ 1,380,000 $ 1,827,000 $ 2,332,000 $ 2,893,000 $ 3,524,000 $ Debt Repayment 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ 62,000 $ Sub-total: Capital-related Expenditures 147,000 $ 264,000 $ 371,000 $ 686,000 $ 1,042,000 $ 1,442,000 $ 1,889,000 $ 2,394,000 $ 2,955,000 $ 3,586,000 $ Total Annual Expenditures 3,357,000 $ 3,683,000 $ 4,043,000 $ 4,440,000 $ 4,879,000 $ 5,365,000 $ 5,899,000 $ 6,492,000 $ 7,145,000 $ 7,868,000 $ Water and Wastewater Rate Revenue 2,994,000 $ 3,312,000 $ 3,664,000 $ 4,053,000 $ 4,483,000 $ 4,959,000 $ 5,486,000 $ 6,068,000 $ 6,712,000 $ 7,425,000 $ Other Revenue - Water 263,000 $ 269,000 $ 274,000 $ 280,000 $ 287,000 $ 294,000 $ 299,000 $ 307,000 $ 314,000 $ 321,000 $ Other Revenue - Wastewater 100,000 $ 102,000 $ 105,000 $ 107,000 $ 109,000 $ 112,000 $ 114,000 $ 117,000 $ 119,000 $ 122,000 $ Total Annual Revenues 3,357,000 $ 3,683,000 $ 4,043,000 $ 4,440,000 $ 4,879,000 $ 5,365,000 $ 5,899,000 $ 6,492,000 $ 7,145,000 $ 7,868,000 $ Operating Revenues Operating Expenditures Capital-related Expenditures