Orillia Development Charges Background Study 2023

Orillia, Ontario · summary & facts

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Report Prepared by Hemson for the City of Orillia Development Charges Background Study October 31st, 2023 1000 - 30 St. Patrick Street, Toronto, ON M5T 3A3 416 593 5090 | [email protected] | www.hemson.com Contents Executive Summary 1 1. Introduction 9 2. A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits 12 A. City-Wide Development Charges are Calculated 12 B. Key Steps in Determining Development Charges for Future Development-Related Projects 14 3. Development Forecast 20 A. Residential Growth Forecast 20 B. Non-Residential Growth Forecast 21 4. Summary of Historic Capital Service Levels 23 5. The Development-Related Capital Program 26 A. A Development-Related Capital Program is Provided for Council's Approval 26 B. The Development-Related Capital Program for General Services 27 C. Development-Related Capital Program for Engineered Services 30 6. Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA 34 A. Unadjusted Development Charge Calculation for General Services 34 B. Unadjusted Development Charge Calculation for Engineered Services 37 C. Adjusted Residential and Non-Residential Development Charges 39 D. Comparison of 2022 Newly Calculated Development Charges With Charges Currently In Force in Orillia 42 7. Long-Term Capital and Operating Costs 45 A. Net Operating Costs for the City's Services Estimated to Increase over the Forecast Period 45 B. Long-Term Capital Financing from Non-Development Charge Sources Totals $177.16 Million 45 8. Asset Management Plan 48 A. Annual Capital Provisions will Reach $8.46 Million by 2031 48 9. Development Charges Administration 51 A. Development Charge Administration 51 B. Consideration for Area-Related Services 51 C. Local Service Definitions 52 D. Changes Arising From the More Homes Built Faster Act Bill 23 55 List of Appendices Appendix A: Development Forecast 59 Appendix B: General Services Technical Appendix 80 Appendix B.1: Library Services 86 Appendix B.2: Fire Services 95 Appendix B.3: Indoor Recreation 105 Appendix B.4: Park Development, Facilities, and Fleet 112 Appendix B.5: Services Related to a Highway: Public Works 129 Appendix B.6: Transit 142 Appendix B.7: Waste Diversion Services 149 Appendix B.8: Paramedic Services 156 Appendix B.9: Long Term Care 169 Appendix C: Engineering Infrastructure Technical Appendix 177 Appendix C.1 Services Related to a Highway: Roads & Related 179 Appendix C.2 Wastewater 188 Appendix C.3 Water 196 Appendix C.4 Stormwater 204 Appendix D: Reserve Fund Balances 213 Appendix E: Cost of Growth Analysis 216 Appendix F: By-law 225 Executive Summary | 1 Executive Summary Hemson Consulting Ltd. was retained by the City of Orillia to complete a Development Charges (DC) Background Study. This Background Study provides the basis and background to update the City's development charges to accurately reflect the servicing needs of new development in the City. A. Study Consistent with Development Charges Legislation - The City of Orillia 2022 Development Charges Background Study is presented as part of the process to lead to the approval of a new DC by- law in compliance with the DCA. The study is prepared in accordance with the DCA and associated regulations, including amendments that came into force through the More Homes, More Choice Act, the COVID- 19 Economic Recovery Act, and the More Homes Built Faster Act (Bill 23). - The City needs to continue implementing development charges to help fund capital projects related to development throughout Orillia so that development continues to be serviced in a fiscally responsible manner. The calculated changes to the development charges rates are required in order to reflect the revised costs associated with the infrastructure requirements. - The DCA and O. Reg. 82/98 require that a Development Charges Background Study be prepared in which development charges are determined with reference to: - A forecast of the amount, type and location of residential and non- residential development anticipated in the City; - The average capital service levels provided in the City over the ten year period immediately preceding the preparation of the background study; Executive Summary | 2 - A review of future capital projects, including an analysis of gross expenditures, funding sources, and net expenditures incurred or to be incurred by the City to provide for the expected development, including the determination of the DC eligible and non-DC-eligible components of the capital projects; and - This report identifies the development-related capital costs which are attributable to development that is forecast to occur in the City. The costs are apportioned to types of development (residential, non- residential) in a manner that reflects the increase in the need for each service attributable to each type of development. B. All Services with Development-Related Costs Included in the Analysis - The following services have been included in the development charge analysis: - Library - Fire Protection - Indoor Recreation - Parks - Transit - Waste Diversion - Paramedic Services - Long Term Care - Service-Related to a Highway - Public Works Buildings & Fleet - Roads and Related - Wastewater - Water Services - Storm Water Management - Development charges for all services are calculated on a City-wide basis. Executive Summary | 3 C. Development Forecast - The development forecast is based on the recent 2021 and 2016 Censuses and Orillia's 2020 Land Needs Assessment. - The capital infrastructure planning period for general services and roads is based on a ten-year planning horizon 2022 to 2031. The planning period for the engineered services (save for roads) is from 2022 to 2041. - The City is forecast to add approximately 2,740 new households in the ten-year planning period from 2022 to 2031. This household estimate can accommodate 6,266 persons. The planning period for the engineered services will see an addition of 5,250 households which can accommodate population growth of 11,650 persons. - The employment forecast for the City is forecast to add approximately 2,310 (along with an additional 110 work from home/no fixed address employees) employees in the ten-year planning period. This results in the addition of 144,650 square metres of new non-residential building space from 2022 to 2031. For the long-term planning period, approximately 4,641 employees will be accommodated in 287,800 square metres of new non-residential building space. - The following is a summary of the projected growth for the City: Executive Summary | 4 Summary of Residential and Non-Residential Development Forecast D. The City has an Extensive Development-Related Capital Program for the Provision of Eligible Services - Municipal staff, in collaboration with Hemson Consulting, have developed a development-related capital program setting out projects that are required to service the anticipated development. - The development-related capital programs are based on a ten-year planning period from 2022 to 2031 for the general services and Services Related to a Highway and the long-term planning period 2022 to 2041 for the other engineered services. 2021 Estimate Residential Occupied Dwellings 14,480 2,740 17,220 5,250 19,730 Population Census Population 35,320 5,340 40,660 9,870 45,190 Population Growth In New Dwelling Units 6,266 11,650 Non-Residential Total Employment 18,650 2,310 20,960 4,640 23,290 Population-Related 9,440 1,760 11,200 3,410 12,850 Employment Land 6,590 440 7,030 880 7,470 Major Office 2,620 110 2,730 350 2,970 Non-Residential Building Space (sq.m.) 144,650 287,800 Growth Total at 2031 Growth Total at 2041 Growth Forecast General Services and Roads Planning Period 2022 - 2031 Engineered Services Planning Period 2022 - 2041 Executive Summary | 5 General Services - The gross cost of the City's development-related capital program for general services amounts to $361.32 million and provides for a wide range of infrastructure additions. Of the $361.32 million, approximately $32.39 million has been identified as eligible for recovery through development charges over the 2022-2031 planning period. - In total, approximately $191.12 million has been identified as subsidies or grants that the City will anticipate receiving to fund development-related projects. - Non-development charges funding for replacement portions of the capital program and for portions of development-related capital projects that benefit existing development have been identified. Replacement or benefit to existing shares amount to $104.06 million. - A share of the capital program is for portions of projects that relate to development in the post-2031 period (which will be considered for recovery in future development charges studies subject to service level considerations). In total, about $31.40 million falls within this definition. - Available DC reserve funds, in the amount of $554,600 have been identified in each capital program to fund development-related infrastructure. - Details regarding the capital programs for general services are provided in Appendix B of this report. Engineered Services - The total gross cost for engineered services is $244.13 million. This provides for various projects for roads and related, sanitary sewerage, waterworks, and storm water management services. Executive Summary | 6 - In total, $18.37 million has been identified as other funding that the City will utilize to fund the capital program. - A share of the engineering capital program has been deemed to benefit the existing community. This share totals to approximately $73.10 million and has been netted off of the total gross cost of the program. Another share, funds that are available in the DC reserves of $1.49 million, is applied to fund the program. Finally, a share of the capital program is deemed to benefit growth beyond 2031 for roads and 2041 for wastewater, water and storm water, and thus, $89.81 million is removed from the DC calculations. - The total costs eligible for DC recovery in the 2022 to 2041 period for wastewater, water, and storm water is reduced to $39.45 million. The total costs eligible for DC recovery in the 2022 to 2031 period for roads is reduced to $21.91 million. Details of the engineered services capital program and development charges calculations can be found in Appendix C. E. Development Charges are Calculated with Reference to the DCA - Development charges rates have been established under the parameters and limitations of the DCA. This study provides the rationale and basis for the calculated rates. - Recent legislative changes, including amendments that came into force through the More Homes, More Choice Act, the COVID-19 Economic Recovery Act, and the More Homes Built Faster Act (Bill 23), have been fully accounted for in this study. - A City-wide uniform cost approach is used to calculate development charges for the eligible services. Uniform residential and non-residential charges are levied throughout the City. Executive Summary | 7 - The calculated charges are the maximum charges the City may adopt. Lower charges can be approved; however, this will require a reduction in the capital plan and reduced service levels or financing from other sources, most likely property taxes. - The fully calculated residential charges are recommended to vary by unit type, reflecting the difference in occupancy patterns expected in various unit types and the associated differences in demand that would be placed on City services. F. Newly Calculated DC Rates Compared to Current Rates - The fully calculated residential charge for a single or semi-detached unit in Orillia is $26,586, which represents an increase of 4.7 per cent from the City's current charge of $25,397 (indexed to February 1, 2023, at 15.6%, as the City's DC By-law provides for annual indexing). - The calculated non-residential charge of $108.25 per square metre of gross floor area an increase of 5.1% from the City's current non- residential charge of $103.02 per square metre. - The charges for each unit type are summarize in the table below. Municipal-wide Development Charges - Residential and Non- Residential Charges TOTAL CHARGE PER UNIT $26,586 $24,821 $20,856 $14,601 $108.25 (1) Based on Persons Per Unit Of: 2.55 2.38 2.00 1.40 Single & Semi-Detached Non-Residential Apartments 2 Bedrooms + Residential Charge By Unit Type Adjusted Charge per Square Metre Other Multiples Apartments Bachelor & 1 Bedroom Executive Summary | 8 G. Development Charges By-Law Practices and Collection Policies - It is recommended that existing practices regarding collection of development charges and by-law administration continue to the extent possible. - As required under the DCA, the City should codify any rules regarding application of the by-laws and any exemptions within the development charges by-laws proposed for adoption. - It is recommended that Council adopt the development-related capital program included in this background study, subject to annual review through the City's normal capital budget process. H. DC By-law to be Released Under Separate Cover - The City's proposed DC by-law will be made available under separate cover a minimum of two weeks in advance of the statutory public meeting to be held on January 16, 2022. Introduction | 9 1. Introduction This City of Orillia Development Charges (DC) Background Study is presented as part of a process to lead to the approval of a new development charge by-law in compliance with the Development Charges Act, 1997 (DCA). The DCA and O. Reg. 82/98 require that a DC background study be prepared in which development charges are determined with reference to: - The average capital service levels provided in the City over the fifteen- year period immediately preceding the preparation of the background study; - A review of future capital projects, including an analysis of gross expenditures, funding sources, and net expenditures incurred, or to be incurred, by the City or its local boards to provide for the expected development, including the determination of the eligible and ineligible components of the capital projects; and, - An examination of the long-term capital and operating costs for the capital infrastructure required for each service to which the development charges by-laws would relate. This study presents the results of the review which determines the development-related net capital costs which are attributable to development that is forecast to occur in the City. These development-related net capital costs are then apportioned among various types of development (residential; non-residential) in a manner that reflects the increase in the need for each service attributable to each type of development. The study arrives, therefore, at calculated development charges for various types of development. Introduction | 10 The DCA provides for a period of public review and comment regarding the calculated development charges. Following completion of this process, in accordance with the DCA, Council's review of this study, comments received regarding this study or other information brought to its attention about the calculated charges, it is intended that Council will pass a new development charges by-law for the City. The remainder of this study sets out the information and analysis upon which the calculated development charges are based. Section 2 designates the services for which the development charges are calculated and the areas within the City to which the development charges will apply. It also briefly reviews the methodology that has been used in this background study. Section 3 presents a summary of the residential and non-residential development which is forecast to occur within the City over the 2022-2031 period and to 2041. Section 4 summarizes the historic fifteen-year average service levels that have been attained in the City which form the basis for the development charge calculations. In Section 5, the development-related capital programs that have been developed by various City departments are reviewed. Section 6 summarizes the calculation of applicable development charges and the resulting calculated development charges by land use and by unit type. Section 7 provides an examination of the long-term capital and operating costs for each service included in the development charge calculation. Introduction | 11 Section 8 summarizes the asset management plan component of the study including required provisions for future replacement of assets included in the growth related capital plan. Section 9 provides a review of development charges administrative matters. A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits | 12 2. A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits Several key steps are required in calculating a development charge. However, specific circumstances arise in each municipality which must be reflected in the calculation. In this study, we have tailored our approach to the City of Orillia's unique circumstances. The approach to the calculated development charges is focused on providing a reasonable alignment of development-related costs with the development that necessitates them. This study calculates charges on a City-wide basis which is consistent with the City of Orillia's 2022 Development Charges Study. Despite the fact that development charges are calculated on a City-wide basis, legislation allows a City to exempt or reduce rates for specific geographic areas. However, legislation prevents lost revenue, due to exemptions or reductions, from being made up through increasing charges on other areas. A. City-Wide Development Charges are Calculated Orillia provides a range of services to its community and has a sizeable inventory of facilities, land, infrastructure, vehicles and equipment. The DCA provides the City with flexibility when defining services that will be included in the development charge by-law, provided that the other provisions of the Act and Regulations are met. The DCA also permits the City to designate, in its by-laws, the areas within which the development charges shall be imposed. The charges may apply to all lands in the City or to other designated development areas as specified in the by-law. In accordance with the recent changes to s.10 (2) of the DCA, a development charge background study must give consideration for "the use of more than one development charge by-law to reflect different needs for A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits | 13 services in different areas". Following consultation with City staff, and in review of the City's relevant master planning documents, it was determined that a municipal-wide approach continues to be most appropriate for the nature of the works and services provided in Orillia, and as such, only a City- wide charge has been proposed. For all of the development charge eligible services that the City provides, the full range of capital facilities, land, equipment and infrastructure is available throughout the City. All residents therefore have access to all facilities. A widely accepted method for recovering the development-related capital costs for such services is to apportion them over all new development anticipated in the City. The following services are included in the City-wide development charge calculation: - Library - Fire Protection - Indoor Recreation - Parks - Transit - Waste Diversion - Paramedic Services - Long Term Care - Service-Related to a Highway - Public Works Buildings & Fleet - Roads and Related - Wastewater - Water Services - Storm Water Management A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits | 14 Police services is not included in the calculation of development charges as there is no growth related capital program associated to police services in the planning period. These services form a reasonable basis in which to plan and administer the City-wide development charges. It is noted that the analysis of each of these services examines the individual capital facilities and equipment that make them up. For example, the Fire Services category includes fire stations and associated land, vehicles, furniture and equipment. The resulting development charge for all of the above services would be imposed uniformly against all new development everywhere in the City. B. Key Steps in Determining Development Charges for Future Development-Related Projects Several key steps are required in calculating development charges for future development-related projects. These are summarized in Figure 1 and discussed further in the following sections. A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits | 15 Figure 1 Development Charge Calculation A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits | 16 i. Development Forecast The first step in the methodology requires a development forecast to be prepared for the ten-year study period, 2022-2031, for general services and Services Related to a Highway, and growth to 2041 for all other engineered services. For the residential portion of the forecast both the census population growth and population growth in new units is estimated. Net population growth determines the need for additional facilities and provides the foundation for the development-related capital program. The non-residential portion of the forecast estimates the gross floor area (GFA) of building space to be developed over the ten-year period, 2022- 2031, and to 2031. The forecast of GFA is based on the employment forecast for the City. Factors for floor space per worker by category are used to convert the employment forecast into gross floor areas for the purposes of the development charges study. ii. Service Categories and Historic Service Levels The DCA provides that the increase in the need for service attributable to anticipated development: ... must not include an increase that would result in the level of service exceeding the average level of that service provided in the Municipality over the 15-year period immediately preceding the preparation of the background study...(s. 5. (1) 4.) Historic fifteen-year average service levels thus form the basis for development charges. A review of the City's capital service levels for buildings, land, vehicles, and so on has therefore been prepared as a reference for the calculation so that the portion of future capital projects that may be included in the development charge can be determined. The A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits | 17 historic service levels used in this study have been calculated based on the period 2007 - 2021. In the case of Transit Ridership, the need for service is to be based on the future planned level of service. For the purposes of this study, the Transit capital program is considered to be the future planned level of service. iii. Development-Related Capital Program and Analysis of DC Eligible Costs to be Recovered Through Development Charges A development-related capital program has been prepared by the City's departments as part of the present study. The program identifies development-related projects and their gross and net municipal costs, after allowing for capital grants, subsidies or other recoveries as required by the Act (DCA, s. 5. (2)). The capital program provides another cornerstone upon which development charges are based. The DCA requires that the increase in the need for service attributable to the anticipated development may include an increase: ... only if the council of the Municipality has indicated that it intends to ensure that such an increase in need will be met. (s. 5. (1) 3.) In conjunction with DCA, s. 5. (1) 4. referenced above, these sections have the effect of requiring that the development charge be calculated on the lesser of the historic fifteen-year average service levels or the service levels embodied in future plans of the City. The development-related capital program prepared for this study ensures that development charges are only imposed to help pay for projects that have been or are intended to be purchased or built in order to accommodate future anticipated development. It is not sufficient in the calculation of development charges merely to have had the service in the past. There must also be a demonstrated commitment to continue to emplace facilities or infrastructure in the future. In this regard, O. Reg. 82/98, s. 3 states that: A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits | 18 For the purposes of paragraph 3 of subsection 5 (1) of the Act, the council of a Municipality has indicated that it intends to ensure that an increase in the need for service will be met if the increase in service forms part of an official plan, capital forecast or similar expression of the intention of the council and the plan, forecast or similar expression of the intention of the council has been approved by the council. For some projects in the development-related capital program, a portion of the project may confer benefits to existing residents. As required by the DCA, s. 5. (1) 6., these portions of projects and their associated net costs are the funding responsibility of the City from non-development charges sources. The amount of municipal funding for such non-DC-eligible shares of projects is also identified as part of the preparation of the development- related capital program. There is also a requirement in the DCA to reduce the applicable development charge by the amount of any "uncommitted excess capacity" that is available for a service. Such capacity is available to partially meet the future servicing requirements. Adjustments are made in the analysis to meet this requirement of the DCA. iv. Attribution to Types of Development The next step in the determination of development charges is the allocation of the development-related net capital costs between the residential and the non-residential sectors. In the City of Orillia, the allocation for general and engineered services is based on the consideration of projected changes in population and employment over the planning periods. The exceptions are for the services of library, recreation, parks development, facilities and fleet facilities, waste diversion services, and long-term care. The development- related costs for these services have been allocated 100 per cent to residential growth. A City-Wide Methodology Aligns Development-Related Costs and Benefits | 19 The residential component of the development charge is applied to different housing types based on average occupancy factors. The non-residential component is applied on the basis of gross building space in square metres for non-residential development. v. Final Adjustment The final determination of the development charge results from adjustments made to development-related DC eligible costs for each service and sector resulting from the application of any unallocated growth-related reserve fund balances that are available to finance the development-related capital costs in the capital program. A cash flow analysis is also undertaken to account for the timing of projects and receipt of development charges. Interest earnings or borrowing costs are therefore accounted for in the calculation as allowed under the DCA. Development Forecast | 20 3. Development Forecast This section summarizes the growth forecast used to calculate the development charges for the City of Orillia. Appendix A contains additional material related to the growth forecast. The growth forecast used in this Development Charges Background Study is consistent with recent population and dwelling unit information from the recent 2021 Census. A. Residential Growth Forecast Table 1 provides a summary of the residential forecast for two planning periods: a ten-year planning period, 2022 to 2031, and a twenty-year planning horizon of 2022 to 2041. The ten-year planning period is used throughout this study for the general services and roads and the longer planning period is used for the other engineered services. Over the planning period from 2022 to 2031, the total number of new residential units will increase by 2,740, which translates into a population in new units of approximately 6,266 additional people. The population in new units was derived by using data from Statistics Canada analysing household sizes in recently constructed units. The forecast has projected growth in the 2022 to 2041 period to accommodate 11,650 persons in 5,250 new housing units. The 2031 Census population is forecast to reach 40,660. It should be noted that all population figures used in the DC Study are Census population figures, net of undercount. The DC Study relies on the Census data without the undercount as it is consistent with the Census household data set. Both population and household figures are utilized in this DC Study so it is critical that a common and consistent data set is used. A summary of the residential growth forecast can be found in Table 1. Development Forecast | 21 B. Non-Residential Growth Forecast The non-residential forecast is based upon the Growth Plan. The forecast employment for the City of Orillia is based on two major land use planning types: employment land, and population-related (which includes retail and institutional employment). Major office is included as a category, however no major office development is expected in the forecast period. The non-residential portion of the forecast estimates the amount of building space to be developed in the City over the ten and twenty-year planning periods. The forecast is based on the projected increase in employment levels and the anticipated amount of new building space required accommodating them. The ten-year forecast projects an increase of 2,310 employees which can be accommodated in 144,650 square metres of new non-residential building space. For the planning period to 2031, the City will see a growth of 4,641 new employees and roughly 287,800 square metres of new non-residential building floor area. A summary of the non-residential growth forecast can be found in Table 1. This table give s a summary of the development forecast fo r 2022-2031 pla nnin g period . Development Forecast | 22 Summary of Historic Capital Service Levels | 23 4. Summary of Historic Capital Service Levels The DCA and O. Reg. 82/98 require that the development charges be set at a level no higher than the average service level provided in the City over the ten-year period immediately preceding the preparation of the background study, on a service-by-service basis. For non-engineered services, or general services, (library, fire protection, etc.) the legislative requirement is met by documenting historic service levels for the preceding ten years, in this case, for the period 2012 to 2021. Typically, service levels for general services are measured as a ratio of inputs per capita (or per capita and employment). O. Reg. 82/98 requires that when determining historical service levels both quantity and quality of service be taken into consideration. In most cases, the service levels are initially established in quantitative terms. For example, service levels for buildings are presented in terms of square feet per capita. The qualitative aspect is introduced by the consideration of the monetary value of the facility or service. In the case of buildings, for example, the cost would be shown in terms of dollars per square foot to replace or construct a facility of the same quality. This approach helps to ensure that the development-related capital facilities that are to be charged to new development reflect not only the quantity (number and size) but also the quality (value or replacement cost) of service provided historically by the City. Both the quantitative and qualitative aspects of service levels used in the present analysis are based on information provided by City staff based on historical records and their experience with costs to acquire or construct similar facilities, equipment and infrastructure. Summary of Historic Capital Service Levels | 24 In the case of Transit Ridership, the development charge calculation is based on the planned level of service. For the purposes of this study the ten-year Transit services capital program is considered the planned level of service. The current existing Transit inventory has been included (see Appendix B.6). Table 2 summarizes service levels for all City-wide general services included in the development charge calculation (excluding Transit). Appendix B provides detailed historical inventory data upon which the calculation of service levels is based for general services. This ta ble summarizes the average historical service levels over the past 15 years for each General Se rvice a nd Service s Related to a H ighway. Summary of Historic Capital Service Levels | 25 The Development-Related Capital Program | 26 5. The Development-Related Capital Program A. A Development-Related Capital Program is Provided for Council's Approval The DCA requires the Council of a Municipality to express its intent to provide future capital facilities at the level incorporated in the development charges calculation. As noted above in Section II, O. Reg. 82/98, s. 3 states that: For the purposes of paragraph 3 of subsection 5 (1) of the Act, the council of a Municipality has indicated that it intends to ensure that an increase in the need for service will be met if the increase in service forms part of an official plan, capital forecast or similar expression of the intention of the council and the plan, forecast or similar expression of the intention of the council has been approved by the council. Based on the growth forecasts summarized in Section III and detailed in Appendix A, City staff, in collaboration with the consultants, developed a development-related capital program setting out those projects that are required to service anticipated development. For all general services and Services Related to a Highway the capital program covers the ten-year period from 2022 to 2031. The development charge for engineered services (except Services Related to a Highway) is based on development expected in the City to 2041 which is in line with the City's Servicing Master Plans. One of the recommendations contained in this background study is for Council to adopt the development-related capital program derived for the purposes of the development charges calculation. It is assumed that future capital budgets and forecasts will continue to bring forward the The Development-Related Capital Program | 27 development-related projects contained herein that are consistent with the development occurring in the City. It is acknowledged that changes to the capital program presented here may occur through the City's normal capital budget process. B. The Development-Related Capital Program for General Services A summary of the growth-related capital forecast for general services is presented in Table 3. The table provides a separate total for services analysed over the ten year period, 2022-2031. Further details on the capital programs for each individual service category are available in Appendix B. The development-related capital program for general services estimates a total gross cost of $361.32 million. $191.12 million in grants and subsidies has been identified. Therefore, the net municipal cost of the capital program is approximately $168.41 million. This capital program incorporates those projects identified to be related to development anticipated in the next ten years. It is not implied that all of these costs are to be recovered from new development by way of development charges (see Section VI for the method and determination of net municipal costs attributable to development). Portions of this capital program may relate to providing servicing for development which has occurred prior to 2022 (for which development charge reserve fund balances exist), for replacement of existing capital facilities, or for development anticipated to occur beyond the 2022 - 2031 planning period. The capital program associated with the Library Service relates to the recovery of the existing negative DC reserve fund balance, and also additional growth-related collection materials. The total net municipal cost for this program totals to $2.12 million. This table g ives the develop ment related capi tal prog ram for each Gen eral Ser vice ove r t he ten-year plan ning p erio d. The Development Related Capital Program | 28 The Development-Related Capital Program | 29 The Fire Services has plans to construct a new fire station. Also included in the capital program is the recovery of the negative reserve fund balance, and also bunker gear for new fire fighters will be purchased in the ten-year planning period. The net municipal cost is therefore $10.67 million. $52.92 million is related to the provision of Indoor Recreation services, which is related to the new Orillia Recreation Facility currently under construction and purchasing new fitness equipment. The net municipal cost of the Parks capital program is approximately $25.90 million and that provides for additional parkland additions, new trails, fleet additions and also recovers for the negative reserve fund balance. The Services Related to a Highway: Public Works capital program provides for various additions to the fleet and the James Street Works Garage Addition. The net cost of the program is $24.35 million. The net municipal cost of the Transit Ridership capital program is $36.48 million and recovers for the negative reserve fund balance, the purchases of two buses, a new transit terminal and additional stops with shelters. The net municipal cost of the Waste Diversion capital program is $4.55 million and recovers for the negative reserve fund balance, the purchases of new facilities and land, and a new multi-function equipment. The County of Simcoe delivers Paramedic Services to its area municipalities and the separated Cities of Barrie and Orillia. The City of Orillia is required to contribute to capital costs incurred by this service based on their weighted taxable assessment, as such, the City's share of the program is 6 per cent. The program provides for the purchase of land, construction of stations and hubs, and additional emergency response vehicles. The gross cost of the program is $50.74 million, however, the City's net municipal cost is $2.91 million. The Development-Related Capital Program | 30 The County of Simcoe delivers Long Term Care to its area municipalities and the separated Cities of Barrie and Orillia. The City of Orillia is required to contribute to capital costs incurred by this service based on their weighted taxable assessment, as such, the City's share of the program is 10.84 per cent. The net municipal cost for this program amounts to $8.50 million, which does not include the affordable housing component. C. Development-Related Capital Program for Engineered Services Table 4 provides a summary of the 2022 - 2041 engineered services capital program. The capital program is comprised of roads and related, sanitary sewer, water service, and storm water management projects. The Services Related to a Highway: Roads projects are comprised of lane widenings, intersection signalization, sidewalks, and also the recovery of the roads DC negative reserve fund balance. The gross cost of the roads and related program is $38.90 million and $1.61 million in grants or subsidies are anticipated to help fund the capital program. The net municipal cost for roads is $37.29 million. The gross cost of the Wastewater capital program is $134.85 million and this provides for tertiary treatment, trunk sewer upgrades and expansions, pumping station upgrades and the recovery of the existing reserve fund deficit. There are $5.60 million in grants and subsidies anticipated for Wastewater meaning a net municipal cots of $129.25 million. The Water services capital program provides for storage capacity, watermain upgrades and oversizing, a booster station, loop and trunk transmission, and water system upgrades. The gross cost of this capital program is $38.88 million. There are an estimated $5.58 million in grants and subsidies for a net municipal cost $33.30 million. The Development-Related Capital Program | 31 The Storm Water Management capital program provides for the recovery of the existing reserve fund deficit, sanitary trunk sewer relocation and infrastructure upgrades. The gross cost of this capital program is $31.49 million. There are an estimated $5.58 million in grants and subsidies for a net municipal cost $25.91 million. The total gross cost of the engineered services capital program totals to $244.13 million. Grants, subsidies and other contributions of $18.37 million and benefit to existing shares of $73.10 million have been removed from the DC calculation. It is anticipated that $1.49 million is available in the water reserve to help fund the Water Services program. Finally, $89.81 million is deemed to benefit development beyond 2031 for roads and 2041 for other engineered services (i.e. - mostly related the wastewater treatment centre expansion, and the expansion to the water filtration plant) and as such, these costs have been removed from the DC rate calculation and will not be recovered through this DC By-law. The total remaining amount for all engineering services that is eligible for recovery through DCs is $61.36 million. These costs will be brought forth into the DC rate calculation. A summary of the growth-related capital forecast for engineered services is presented in Table 4. Further details on the capital programs for each individual service category are available in Appendix C. This ta ble give s th e de velo pmen t re late d ca pita l pr ogram for each Engineered Service over the ten-y ear (Road s) or tw enty-year (all ot her engi neered s ervice s) p lanning period. The Development Related Capital Program | 32 Cont inua tion of tabl e gi vein g th e de velo pmen t related capital progra m for each E nginee red S ervic e ove r the te n-year ( Road s) or twenty-year (all other engineered s ervi ces) pla nnin g pe riod . The Development Related Capital Program | 33 Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 34 6. Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA This section summarizes the calculation of development charges for each service category and the resulting total development charge by type of development. Furthermore, the calculation of the "unadjusted" per capita (residential) and per square metre (non-residential) is presented. Adjustments are made to these amounts resulting from a cash flow analysis that considers interest earnings and borrowing costs. For residential development, the adjusted total per capita amount is then converted to a variable charge by housing unit type using unit occupancy factors. For non-residential development, the calculated non-residential charges are based on gross floor area (GFA) of building space. It is noted that the calculation of the City-wide development charges does not include any provision for exemptions required under the DCA. Such legislated exemptions, or other exemptions or reductions which Council may choose to provide, will result in loss of development charge revenue for the affected types of development. Any such revenue loss may not be made up, however, by offsetting increases in other portions of the calculated charge. A. Unadjusted Development Charge Calculation for General Services A summary of the "unadjusted" residential and non-residential development charges for general services is presented in Table 5. Further details of the calculation for each individual City service category are available in Appendix B. This table provides a summary of unadjust ed re sidential and no n-residential development charg es with the capital program for Ge ner al Services . Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 35 Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 36 The capital program for general services incorporates those projects identified to be related to development anticipated in the next ten years and totals $168.41 million in net City costs. However, not all of the capital costs are to be recovered from new development by way of development charges. Table 5 shows that $104.06 million of the capital program relates to replacement of existing capital facilities or to shares of projects that provide benefit to the existing community. These portions of capital costs will likely be funded from property taxes, user fees or other non-development charge revenue sources. An additional share of $554,600 has been identified as DC reserve fund monies are available to fund growth-related projects. These funds have been earmarked for specific projects and they have each been identified in Appendix B. This portion has been netted out of the chargeable capital costs. Another share of the forecast, $31.40 million, is attributable to development beyond the planning period (which will be considered for recovery in future development charges studies, subject to service level considerations). The total costs eligible for recovery through development charges for general services is $32.39 million. This amount is allocated between the residential and non-residential sectors to derive the unadjusted development charges. Library service, recreation, parks, waste diversion, and long term care are all deemed to benefit residential development only, while the other services are allocated between both sectors based on shares of census population and employment growth. Approximately $29.58 million of the general services development charges recoverable amount is deemed to benefit residential development. When this amount is divided by the ten- year population growth in new units (6,266), an unadjusted charge of $4,721 per capita is derived. The non-residential share of the general services capital program totals $2.81 million and when this amount is divided by the Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 37 ten-year forecast of new non-residential space growth (144,650 square metres), an unadjusted charge of $19.47 per square metre is derived. B. Unadjusted Development Charge Calculation for Engineered Services Table 6 describes the calculation of unadjusted rates for engineered services. The engineered services capital program totals $225.76 million, of which $61.36 million, is identified to be related to development over the 2022-2031 period for roads and 2022-2041 period for the other services. The capital program eligible for recovery through development charges is allocated to the residential and non-residential sectors based on future shares of census population and employment growth. On this basis, the allocation to the residential and non-residential sectors is calculated at 73 per cent and 27 per cent for roads and 72 per cent and 28 per cent for other engineered services. The residential sector's share of the engineered services capital program is $44.22 million. This amount, divided by the population growth in new units to build-out is $4,977 per capita. The unadjusted non-residential DC was calculated by taking the non- residential share of the development-related capital program ($17.14 million) and dividing it by the growth in non-residential gross floor area to 2031 for roads and 2041 for other services. Non-residential unadjusted charges have been calculated at $79.85 per square metre. This table provides a summary of unadjusted resid ent ial and non-residential developme nt char ge s with the capital program for Engineered Serv ice s. Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 38 Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 39 C. Adjusted Residential and Non-Residential Development Charges Final adjustments to the "unadjusted" development charge rates summarized above are made through a cash flow analysis. The analysis, details of which are included in the Appendices, considers the borrowing cost and interest earnings associated with the timing of expenditures and development charge receipts for each service. Table 7 summarize the results of the adjustment for the residential development charge rates. The adjusted per capita rate increases from $9,697 to $10,428 after the cash flow analysis. Residential City-wide development charges are proposed to vary by dwelling unit type to reflect their different occupancy factors and resulting demand for services. The calculated residential development charges for all services are shown in Table 7. As shown in the table, the calculated residential charge ranges from $14,601 for a bachelor or one bedroom apartment to $26,586 for single and semi- detached unit. The calculated charge for large apartments is $20,856 and for multiple dwelling units is $24,821. The calculated non-residential development charges rates are presented in Table 8. The calculated unadjusted charge is $99.31 per square metre. The calculated cash-flow adjusted charge is $108.25. This table gives res iden tial dev elop ment cha rges per capi ta a nd f or e ach unit typ e br oken down by serv ice ar ea. Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 40 This table give non-r eside ntia l development char ges p er s quare metre broke n dow n by serv ice area. Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 41 Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 42 D. Comparison of 2022 Newly Calculated Development Charges With Charges Currently In Force in Orillia Tables 9 and 10 present a comparison of the newly calculated residential and non-residential development charges with the development charges rates as of February 1, 2023. As shown in Table 9, the residential development charge rate for a single- or semi-detached unit increased by $1,189 per unit, or 4.7 per cent. The calculated development charges rate for non-residential development is $108.25 higher by $5.23 than the current rate of $103.02. This ta ble compar es calc ulated deve lopment cha rge rates for si ngle detache d unit with the curren t de velopm ent ch arge rates br oken dow n by serv ice area. Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 43 This ta ble compar es the calculated non-residential development cha rge ra te per square me t wit h the curr ent development charg e rat es br oken down by service a rea. Development Charges are Calculated in Accordance with the DCA | 44 Long-Term Capital and Operating Costs | 45 7. Long-Term Capital and Operating Costs This section provides a brief examination of the long-term capital and operating costs for the capital facilities and infrastructure to be included in the development charges by-law. This examination is required as one of the features of the DCA. A. Net Operating Costs for the City's Services Estimated to Increase over the Forecast Period Table 11 summarizes the estimated increase in net operating costs that the City will experience for additions associated with the planned capital program. These estimates are based on average costs derived from a review of recent budgets and the FIR (additional details are included in Appendix E). As shown in Table 11, by 2031, the City's net operating costs for tax- supported services are estimated to increase by $6.19 million. The most significant portion of this increase relates to the construction of the new fire station and roads operations. Operating and maintenance costs will also increase as additions to the City's road network are undertaken. The development forecast provides for close to a 19 per cent increase in the number of households. It is anticipated that the assessment, and associated tax revenues, will adequately fund these increases without any major tax rate impacts. B. Long-Term Capital Financing from Non-Development Charge Sources Totals $177.16 Million Table 11 also summarizes the components of the development-related capital program that will require funding from non-development charges sources. Of the $393.04 million net capital program, about $177.16 million Long-Term Capital and Operating Costs | 46 will need to be financed from non-development charges sources over the next ten years. This is for shares of projects for non-growth shares of projects that provide benefit to the existing community. In addition, $121.21 million in interim financing may be required for projects related to growth in the post-period. It is likely that most of these monies could be recovered from future development charges as the by-laws are revisited at least every five years. This table highlights the DC-e ligible and non- DC elig ible capital program f or each service o ver the planning period. This table also co ntains the AMP provision to 2031 required for the DC-rela ted cap ital pr ogram and non-DC related capit al program. Long-Term Capital and Operating Costs | 47 Asset Management Plan | 48 8. Asset Management Plan The Development Charges Act now requires that municipalities complete an Asset Management Plan before the passing of a development charges by- law. A key function of the Asset Management Plan is to demonstrate that all assets proposed to be funded under the development charges by-law are financially sustainable over their full life cycle. Further details relating to the Asset Management Plan are discussed in Appendix F. A. Annual Capital Provisions will Reach $8.46 Million by 2031 Table 12 summarizes the annual capital provisions required to replace the capital infrastructure proposed to be funded under the development charges by-law. This estimate is based on information obtained through discussions with municipal staff regarding useful life assumptions and the capital cost of acquiring and/or emplacing each asset. Table 12 illustrates that, by 2031, the City will need to fund an additional $8.46 million per annum in order to properly fund the full life-cycle costs of the new City-wide soft and City-wide hard assets supported under this development charges by-law. The calculated annual funding provision should be considered within the context of the City's projected growth. Over the next ten years (to 2031) the City is projected to increase by approximately 2,740 households, which represents a 19 per cent increase over the existing base. In addition, the City will also add nearly 2,310 new employees that will result in approximately 144,650 square metres of additional non-residential building space. This growth will have the effect of increasing the overall assessment base and additional user fee and charges revenues to offset the capital asset Asset Management Plan | 49 provisions required to replace the infrastructure proposed to be funded under the development charges by-law. In addition, as part of the annual budget update the City also contributes to asset replacement reserves and spends on yearly asset replacement needs as needed. Through this annual exercise, staff identify the required funding and propose mitigating measures in order to ensure there are sufficient funds in reserves over the long term. Life-cycle funding methodologies are also reviewed in order to ensure that the City is continuing to implement financially sustainable practices for funding the eventual replacement of assets. The calculated annual provisions identified are considered to be financially sustainable as it is expected that the increased capital asset management requirements can be absorbed by the tax and user base over the long-term. This table give the net operating cost impacts a nd long-term cap ital impacts for t ax supported s ervices. Asset Management Plan | 50 Development Charges Administration | 51 9. Development Charges Administration A. Development Charge Administration Many of the administrative requirements of the DCA will be similar to those presently followed by the City in terms of collection practices. In this regard: - The proposed draft by-law (available under separate cover) sets out the rules to determine development charges applicable in any particular case. Rules for exemptions, potential reductions, and redevelopment of land are also outlined in the proposed draft by-law; - It is recommended that limited exemptions, other than those required in the DCA be formally adopted in the by-laws; and - It is recommended that Council adopt the development-related capital program included in this background study, subject to annual review through the City's normal capital budget process. B. Consideration for Area-Related Services In accordance with the recent changes to s.10(2) of the DCA, a development charge background study must give consideration for "the use of more than one development charge by-law to reflect different needs for services in different areas". Following consultation with City staff, and in review of the City's relevant master planning documents, it was determined that a municipal-wide approach continues to be most appropriate for the nature of the works and services provided in Orillia, and as such, only a City-wide charge has been proposed. For all of the development charge eligible services that the City provides, the full range of capital facilities, land, equipment and infrastructure is available throughout the City. All residents therefore have access to all facilities. A Development Charges Administration | 52 widely accepted method for recovering the development-related capital costs for such services is to apportion them over all new development anticipated in the City. The needs for servicing are outlined as follows: General Services - Services such as Library, Indoor Recreation, Parks and Social Housing are open and accessible to all residents in the City and are driven and planned for based on City-wide population growth. - For Fire, Services Related to a Highway: Public Works, Parking, Transit and Paramedic Services these services are provided to all residents and employees in the City and are driven and planned for based on City-wide population or population and employment growth. Engineered Services - Linear infrastructure services such as Services Related to a Highway: Public Roads & Related, Sewer, Water and Storm water are provided through a City-wide network and is planned based on City-wide population and employment growth. C. Local Service Definitions The following provides the definition of "local service" under the DCA for a number of services provided by the City of Orillia. The purpose in establishing these definitions is to determine the eligible capital costs for inclusion in the development charges calculation for the City. The functions or services deemed to be local in nature are not to be included in the determination of the development charges rates. The provision of local services is considered to be a direct developer responsibility under s.59 of the DCA and will (or may) be recovered under other agreement(s) with the Development Charges Administration | 53 landowner or developer. The issue of "local service" is being specifically considered for the services of: - Roads - Water Service - Sanitary Sewer - Storm Water Services - Parkland Development 1. Roads Local Roads: All roads and share of roads identified as local are to be treated as a local service under the DCA and the associated costs are not to be included in the development charges calculation. Road Oversizing: If a local road is oversized to accommodate additional traffic needs external to the subject lands, the oversized share of the roads is to be included in the development charges calculation. Note, oversizing of roads usually relates to collector roads, however it is possible that a share of an arterial road may be local and would be funded as a direct developer responsibility. It is noted that growth-related arterial roads requirements are generally fully funded from development charges. 2. Water and Sanitary Sewer - Major external trunk watermains and sanitary sewers, being those 400mm and larger, and major pumping stations are to be included within the DC. Oversizing within subdivisions to also be included in the DC 400mm and larger for watermains and sanitary sewers; Development Charges Administration | 54 - Connections to trunk mains and minor pumping stations to service specific areas to be direct developer responsibility as a local service provision (s.50 of DCA). Minor pumping stations are those that service a single subdivision, or that service adjacent or adjoining subdivisions. 3 Storm Water Management (SWM) Facilities - The costs of storm water management facilities internal to subdivision and related to a plan of subdivision are considered to be a local service under the DCA and the associated costs are not included in the development charges calculation. Local SWM facilities would typically include: - Storm water management facilities servicing local drainage areas; - Storm sewer oversizing associated with local drainage areas; - Storm sewer works on existing roads. 4. Parkland Development - For the purpose of parkland development, local services include the requirement for the owner to undertake preparation of the park plan, retaining necessary consultants to prepare design and grading plans for the park, prior to development. In addition, the owner is required to provide stripping and stockpiling, levelling, top soiling, seeding or sodding, storm water servicing (consistent with the plan), and provide services to the lot line. These requirements are part of the conditions of s.51 and 53 of the Planning Act agreements. The municipality also requires the owner to dedicate parkland or provide cash-in-lieu, consistent with the Planning Act provisions. All of these costs are deemed a direct responsibility of the developer and have not been included in the development charges calculation. - With respect to other parkland development costs, the municipality has included all other components of parkland development in the development charges calculation, including parking, park furniture, Development Charges Administration | 55 signage, landscaping and walkways/trails, in addition to the necessary fields, diamonds, playground equipment, lighting, irrigation and field houses. D. Changes Arising From the More Homes Built Faster Act Bill 23 As of November 28, 2022 there are several changes to the DCA due to the enactment and Royal Assent of Bill 23. A list of the changes that are now in force is provided below in Table 13. Table 13: Bill 23 - DCA Changes In Force as of November 28, 2022 Section Description Section 2(1) Exemptions for existing rental residential buildings and a range of residential units in existing and new houses. Section 2(4) Housing services are ineligible for DC funding (repeal of paragraph 17 of ss.2(4) of the DCA). Existing by-laws are deemed to be "amended" and no development charges can be collected for housing services from November 28, 2022 onward. Section 4.2 Exemptions for non-profit housing development. This does not apply with respect to a DC payable before November 28, 2022. Section 4.3 Exemption for inclusionary zoning residential units. This does not apply with respect to a DC payable before November 28, 2022. Section 5(1) Historical service level calculation period extended from 10 years to 15 years. Does not apply to by-laws in force prior to November 28, 2022. Development Charges Administration | 56 Section Description Section 5(4) Studies, including DC studies, are no longer a DC-eligible capital cost. Does not apply retroactively to by-laws that were in force prior to November 28, 2022. Section 5(6) and Section 5(7) DC by-laws passed on or after November 28, 2022 must be phased-in according to a prescribed schedule. The phase-in also applies retroactively to by-laws passed on or after January 1, 2022 as well as to the DCs "frozen" under s.26.2 of the DCA. Section 9(1) Maximum life of a DC by-law extended from 5 years to 10 years. This does not apply to by-laws in-force before November 28, 2022. Section 26.1 Deferral payments now apply to rental housing and institutional development. Interest on deferral payments is now capped at prime plus 1% in accordance with s.26.3. Section 26.2 DCs for rental housing development are now discounted based on the number of bedrooms proposed. Interest on DC freeze now capped at prime plus 1% in accordance with section 26.3. Section 26.3 Maximum interest rates are capped at prime plus 1%. This does not apply with respect to a DC that was payable before November 28, 2022. Section 35 Municipalities are now required to spend or allocate at least 60% of reserve balances each year for Water Supply, Wastewater, and services related to a highway beginning in 2023. Section 60(1)(s.4) Additional services for which municipalities are required to spend or allocate at least 60% of reserve fund balances may be prescribed through Regulations (none are proposed as of yet). Development Charges Administration | 57 Table 14 summarizes the DCA changes that will take effect at a date to be determined. It is noted that section 60(1)(l) of the DCA allows for future regulations to identify services for which land will be an ineligible capital cost. No regulations have been released in this regard. Table 14: Bill 23 - DCA Changes Not Currently In Force Section Description DCA, Section 4.1 Exemptions for affordable and attainable residential units. Note: Implementation is contingent on the Minister developing a definition of "attainable residential unit" as well as bulletins to establish eligibility and (possibly) standard forms of agreement to assist with administration. DCA, Section 44(4) Rules for front ending agreements as they relate to affordable and attainable residential units. DCA, Section 60(1)(d.2) and 9d.3) Prescribes developments and criteria related to attainable residential units (section 4.1). i. Recommendations - As required under the DCA, the City should codify any rules regarding application of the by-law and exemptions within the DC by-law proposed for adoption. - It is recommended that Council adopt the development-related capital forecast included in this Background Study, subject to annual review through the City's normal capital budget process. Development Charges Administration | 58 - It is recommended that limited exemptions, other than those required in the DCA, be formally adopted in the by-laws. - It is recommended that the City continue to include indexing provisions in the by-law so as to ensure that the DC rates incorporate inflationary increases over the by-law term. Appendix A Development Forecast Appendix A | 59 Development Forecast This appendix provides the details of the development forecast that was used to prepare the 2022 Development Charges Background Study for the City of Orillia. The forecast method and key assumptions are discussed and the results of the forecasts are presented in the following tables: Historical Development Table A-1 Historical Population, Household & Employment Summary Table A-2 Historical Annual Housing Completions (CMHC) Table A-3 Historical Occupied Households by Unit Type Table A-4 Historical Annual Growth in Occupied Households by Unit Type Table A-5 Historical Households by Period of Construction Table A-6 Historical Place of Work Employment Forecast Development Table A-7 Population & Dwelling Unit Forecast Summary Table A-8 Forecast of Dwelling Units by Unit Type Table A-9 Forecast of Household Growth by Unit Type Table A-10 Population Growth in New Households by Unit Type Table A-11 Forecast of Place of Work Employment Table A-12 Non-Residential Space Forecast The forecasts of population, households and employment are based on of the Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe and have been adjusted to reflect new information on population and occupied dwellings from the 2021 Census. A. Forecast and Key Assumptions The Development Charges Act requires the City to estimate "the anticipated amount, type and location of development" for which development charges Appendix A | 60 may be imposed. The forecast must cover both residential and non- residential development and be specific enough with regards to the quantum, type, location and timing of such development to allow the City to prepare a reasonable development-related capital program. A ten-year development forecast, from 2022 to 2031, has been used to calculate the development charges for the general services and services- elated to a highway (largely roads and related infrastructure) in the City. For the engineered services excluding Services Related to a Highway, which include Wastewater, water services and Storm Water management, a longer-range forecast, from 2022 to 2041 has been used. The forecasts of population and employment are consistent with the Province's growth allocation to the City of Orillia at 2031. Minor adjustments have been made to some of the census and occupied dwelling unit figures to reflect recent development activity and new information that affects the growth outlook to 2031. In particular, recent data from the 2021 Census has been used to update the 2021 population and occupied dwelling figures. 2021 Census population was 35,320 and 2021 occupied households was 14,480 as reported by Statistics Canada. B. Historical Development in the City Table A-1 shows that the rate of population growth in the City has fallen from a high of about 229 people per annum to about 125 people per annum between the 2011 and 2016 Census years. Since the 2016 Census, the population growth has increased to an average of about 662 people per annum. During the period 2006-2021, growth in occupied dwellings increased from 145 units per annum in 2007 to 206 units per annum by 2021. The City has experienced fluctuations in population, household and employment growth over the last fifteen years due to a number of factors. As shown in Table A-2, there was substantial development from 2016 to Appendix A | 61 2018 which was fuelled by the available supply of greenfield land and rapid economic growth. An average of 62 per cent of new units built per year were singles/semis as shown in Table A-3. As land supply diminished, residential development in the City began to slow. Historical growth and development figures presented in this appendix are based on Statistics Canada Census data, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data and the 2016 National Household Survey Special Run. A "Census-based" definition of population is used for the purposes of the development charges study. This definition does not include the Census net undercoverage which is typically included in the definition of "total" population. For development charges purposes, a ten-year historical period of 2011 to 2021 is used for calculating service levels. Population and occupied household figures have been updated to reflect the 2021 Census. Table A-4 summarizes all occupied households by unit type in the City of Orillia based on Census and CMHC data. Table A-4 illustrates the annual changes in growth of each type of unit since 2012. The overall market shares for single and semi-detached dwelling units has increased from a 51 per cent in 2012 to 66 per cent by 2021. Meanwhile, row and apartment dwelling units have decreased by 3% and 13% from 2012 to 2021, respectively. The City's population increased from approximately 30,260 people in 2006 to 35,320 in 2021. This represents an increase of approximately 3 per cent. The number of occupied dwelling units in the City also experienced an increase during the ten-year historical period, increasing from roughly 12,230 in 2007 to 13,480 occupied households in 2016, a 10 per cent increase. As shown in Table A-5, the difference between the rates of population and occupied dwelling unit growth is the result of a decline in the average number of persons residing in housing units. The overall average occupancy level in Orillia for single and semi-detached units is 2.45 persons per housing unit (PPU). Occupancy levels for recently Appendix A | 62 constructed units, between 2006 and 2016, are higher than the overall average and are used in the development charges calculation since it better reflects the number of people that are likely to reside in new developments. The average PPU of single and semi-detached units built in the City pre 2006 is 2.44. Average PPUs for recently constructed row housing and apartments (excluding duplexes) are 2.38 and 1.59, respectively. Table A-6 summarizes the growth in historical employment by place of work by Population-related, Employment Land, Work at Home/No Fixed, and Major Office Employment in the City of Orillia between 2011 and 2021. Historical employment figures are shown in Table A-6 and are based on Statistics Canada place of work data. Place of work data records where people work rather than the place of residence. The employment figures used for development charges calculations includes employees with no fixed place of work, but excludes work at home employment. The work at home/no fixed place of work category has increased from 730 employees in 2011 to about 820 employees in 2021. The City's employment land declined over the 2011 to 2016 period as a result of the global economic slowdown. Overall, the City's employment has increased over the last ten years from 17,300 in 2011 to 18,650 in 2021; this represents an increase of 7.8 per cent. C. Forecast Method and Results This section describes the method used to establish the development forecast for the periods of 2022 to 2031 and 2022 to 2041. Development charges are levied on residential development as a charge per new unit. Therefore, for the residential forecast, a projection of both the population growth1 as well as the population in new housing is required. Commonly referred to as "net population growth" in the context of development charges. Appendix A | 63 - The population growth determines the need for additional facilities and provides the foundation for the development-related capital program. - When calculating the development charge, however, the development- related net capital costs are spread over the total additional population that occupies new dwelling units. This population in new units represents the population from which development charges will be collected. Development charges are levied on non-residential development as a charge per unit of gross floor area (GFA). The non-residential forecast includes both a projection of employment growth as well as a projection of the floor space associated with employment growth in the City. i. Residential Forecast The residential development forecast incorporates anticipated growth in population and occupied dwelling units by type. As detailed in Table A-7, the City's Census population is forecast to grow from approximately 35,906 in 2022 to 40,660 in 2031 and 45,190 in 2041. The ten-year population growth from 2022 to 2031 of 5,340 persons represents an increase of approximately 15 per cent over the existing base. The longer-term increase of 9,870 persons to 2041 represents an increase of approximately 27 per cent. Over the ten-year planning period from 2022 to 2031, the number of occupied housing units is forecast to increase from 14,757 in 2022 to 17,220 in 2031. By 2041, this number is expected to reach 19,730 units. The overall ten-year growth of 2,740 units represents and increase of 18 per cent over the next ten years. The longer-term growth of 5,250 units represents a 35 per cent increase to 2041. A breakdown of anticipated housing in the City by unit type is shown in Table A-8. The housing forecast shows that the City's housing market will continue to be characterized by a preference for single and semi-detached Appendix A | 64 unit types, with an increasing share of the market being represented by higher density built forms (both row units and apartments). As demonstrated in Table A-9, over the ten-year period, the type of new housing in the City is forecast to be composed largely of single and semi- detached units (1,580), followed by rows (880) and apartments (330). Population growth in the new units is estimated by applying the following 2022 PPUs to the housing unit forecast: 2.55 for single and semi-detached units; 2.00 for rows; and 1.44 for apartments. These PPUs in new units are expected to decline slightly over time as the overall population ages. The forecast of population expected to reside in new housing units over the 2022 to 2031 period is 6,266 additional persons. Over the longer-term planning period, 11,650 additional persons are anticipated. This population growth by unit type is shown in Table A-10. ii. Non-Residential Forecast Table A-11 illustrates the forecast total employment growth in the City of Orillia by employment category to 2031. Non-residential development charges are calculated on a per unit of gross floor area (GFA) basis. Therefore, as required by the DCA, a forecast of future non-residential building space has also been developed. As with the residential forecast, the employment and GFA forecasts cover the ten-year period from 2022 to 2031 for general services and the longer-term period from 2022 to 2041 for engineered services (excluding Services Related to a Highway). As detailed in Table A-11 and A-12, three categories of employment are distinguished for the purposes of determining non-residential employment and floorspace growth: - Population-related Employment is employment that primarily serves the residential population and includes retail. The rate of growth of Appendix A | 65 this category is generally linked to the rate of population growth in the City. - Employment Land Employment refers to employment accommodated primarily in low-rise industrial-type buildings located within the City's business parks and industrial areas. - Major Office Employment refers to office type employment contained within freestanding buildings relating professional uses including but not limited to finance and insurance, scientific and technical, health care etc. An assumed floorspace per worker (FSW) for each category is applied to the employment forecast in order to estimate the amount of associated GFA. Work at Home/No Fixed is not included in the employment categories because there is no dedicated floorspace per worker. The following FSW assumptions are used: Population-related 55 m2 per employee Employment Land 100 m2 per employee Major Office 35 m2 per employee The non-residential floorspace forecast is summarized in Table A-12. The total floorspace growth is forecast at 144,650 square metres over the ten- year period and 287,800 square metres over the longer term to 2041. Most new employment is expected to be Population-related Employment to 2041 at 187,550 square meters of new floor area. iii. Consideration for Area-Rated Services In accordance with the recent changes to s.10(2) of the DCA, a development charge background study must give consideration for "the use of more than one development charge by-law to reflect different needs for services in different areas". Following consultation with City staff, and in review of the City's relevant master planning documents, it was determined that a Appendix A | 66 municipal-wide approach continues to be most appropriate for the nature of the works and services provided in Orillia, and as such, only a City-wide charge has been proposed. For all of the development charge eligible services that the City provides, the full range of capital facilities, land, equipment and infrastructure is available throughout the City. All residents therefore have access to all facilities. A widely accepted method for recovering the development-related capital costs for such services is to apportion them over all new development anticipated in the City. The table below provides a summary of the needs for servicing in different areas. City Services Considered Needs for Servicing in Different Areas General Services - Services such as Library, Indoor Recreation, Parks and Social Housing are open and accessible to all residents in the City and are driven and planned for based on City-wide population growth. - For Fire, Environmental Services & Operations, Parking, Transit and Paramedic Services these services are provided to all residents and employees in the City and are driven and planned for based on City-wide population or population and employment growth. Engineered Services - Linear infrastructure services such as Roads & Related, Sewer, Water and Storm water are provided through a City-wide network and is planned based on City-wide population and employment growth. Appendix A | 67 This t able p rovides a summ ary of histor ical p opulation, occupi ed househo lds, a nd employm ent by place of wor k be tween 2 006 an d 2021 . Also inclu ded are per sons per un it f igure s and t he a ctivit y ra te. Appendix A | 68 This table includes information on dat a taken Censu s Ca nada and C anada Mortgage and Hou sing Corpo ratio n (C MHC ) be twe en 2 012 an d 202 1. T he maj or ity of occu pie d hou seho lds ar e sin gle and semi -deta ched ho mes , fol lowe d by ro ws, t hen apa rtm en ts. Appendix A | 69 This table provides details on histori cal occupancy pat terns for perma nently occupi ed h ouseholds in th e Ci ty of Orilli a. Appendix A | 70 This table shows the Municipality's annual growth in oc cupied househ olds by unit t ype b etween 2012 a nd 2 021. Appendix A | 71 This table provides de tails on historic al househ olds by p eriod of construct ion betwe en pre 19 45 and 20 16. The t able hig hlights d welli ngs by unit type including singles and semis, rows, apartments, and duplexes Appendix A | 72 This table illust rates hist orical data relat ed to work em ployme nt from 2 011 to 2021. Types of w ork in clude popula tion-rel ated, employme nt lan d, w ork at home/ no fix ed p lace of wor k. Appendix A | 73 This t able s hows the popul ation and dwe lling unit forec ast between 2022 and 2041. Refe rencing Ori llia's Land Need s As sessmen t fr om 2021 , th e tab le i ncludes cen ses pop ulat ion, occu pied ho useh olds, a nd a verag e ho usehold siz es. Appendix A | 74 This table provides a forecast o f dw elling uni ts by type from 20 22 t o 2041 whi le hi ghli ghting the s hares by unit typ e. Appendix A | 75 This table shows t he f orecast of house hold gro wth b y un it t ype from 2 022 to 2 041 incl ud ing sing les and se mis, row s, a nd a pa rtme nts. Appendix A | 76 This table provide s a population growth in n ew h ouse ho lds by u nit type i nclu ding sin gles a nd s emis , ro ws, an d ap artm ents bet we en 2 022 and 2041 . Appendix A | 77 This table illust rates the employ ment foreca st by place o f work over the plann ing per iod fr om 2 022 to 2041. Types of work inclu de popul ation- related, empl oyme nt lan d, w ork at ho me/no fi xed pla ce of w ork. Appendix A | 78 This table shows the non-re sidential s pace forec ast f rom 2022 to 2041. The non -res identi al space is measure in sq ua red met res and inc ludes po pulatio n-re lated, employ me nt land , an d major offic e. Appendix A | 79 Appendix B General Services Technical Appendix Appendix B | 80 General Services Technical Appendix Introduction and Overview The following appendix provides the detailed analysis undertaken to establish the development charge rates for each of the general services in the City of Orillia. Ten general services have been analysed as part of the development charges study: Appendix B.1 Library Services Appendix B.2 Fire Services Appendix B.3 Indoor Recreation Appendix B.4 Parks Development, Facilities & Fleet Appendix B.5 Services Related to a Highway: Public Works Appendix B.6 Transit Appendix B.7 Waste Diversion Services Appendix B.8 Paramedic Services Appendix B.9 Long Term Care Every service, with the exception of Transit, contains a set of three tables. The tables provide the background data and analysis undertaken to arrive at the calculated development charge rates for that particular service. An overview of the content and purpose of each of the tables is given below. Table 1 Historic Service Levels Table 1 presents the data used to determine the fifteen-year historic service level. The DCA and O. Reg. 82/98 require that development charges be set at a level no higher than the average service level provided in the City. This Appendix B | 81 must be done over the fifteen-year period immediately preceding the preparation of the background study, on a service-by-service basis. For the purpose of this study, the historic inventory period has been defined as 2007 to 2021. O. Reg. 82/98 requires that when defining and determining historic service levels both the quantity and quality of service be taken into consideration. In most cases, the service levels are initially established in quantitative terms. For example, service levels for buildings are presented in terms of square feet. The qualitative aspect is introduced by considering the monetary value of the facility or service. In the case of buildings, for example, the cost would be shown in terms of cost per square foot to replace or construct a facility of the same quality. This approach helps to ensure that the growth-related capital facilities that are to be funded by new growth reflect not only the quantity (number and size) but also the quality (replacement value or cost) of service provided by the City in the past. Both the quantitative and qualitative aspects of service levels used in the current analysis are based on information provided by municipal staff. This information is generally based on historical records and experience with costs to acquire or construct similar facilities, equipment and infrastructure. The final page of Table 1 shows the calculation of the "maximum allowable", net of uncommitted excess capacity. The maximum allowable is defined as the fifteen-year historic service level (expressed as either $/capita or $/population & employment) multiplied by the forecast increase in net population growth, or net population and employment growth, over the planning period. The resulting figure is the value of capital infrastructure that must be constructed for that particular service so that the fifteen-year historic service level is maintained. There is also a requirement in the DCA to consider "excess capacity" within the City's existing infrastructure that may be available to partially meet the future servicing requirements. If Council has expressed its intent before or Appendix B | 82 at the time the capacity was created to recoup the cost of providing the capacity from new development, it is considered "committed excess capacity" under the DCA, and the associated capital cost is eligible for recovery. The development of the capital programs takes into consideration any available, or useable, servicing capacity with existing infrastructure. Should uncommitted excess capacity exist, it is determined whether or not this capacity will be available to service new development, and if so, deductions to maximum allowable funding envelope are required. Table 2 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charge The DCA requires that Council express its intent to provide future capital facilities to support future growth. Based on the growth forecasts presented in Appendix A, Hemson Consulting in collaboration with City staff has developed a development-related capital program which sets out the projects required to service anticipated growth for the ten-year period from 2022 to 2031. A replacement share occurs when a new facility will, at least in part, replace a facility that is demolished, redeployed or will otherwise not be available to serve its former function. The replacement share of the capital program is not deemed to be development-related and is therefore removed from the development charge calculation. The capital cost for replacement will require funding from non-development charge sources, typically property taxes or user fees. Although deemed development-related, not all of the net development- related capital program may be recoverable from development charges in the period from 2022 to 2031. For some of the services, a portion of the capital program will service growth that will not occur until after 2031. This Appendix B | 83 portion of the capital program is either deemed "pre-built" service capacity to be considered as committed excess capacity to be recovered under future development, or is a service level increase. The remaining portion of the net capital program represents the development-related cost that may be included in the development charge. In all cases, as required, this amount is equal to or less than the maximum allowable capital amount as calculated on the final page of Table 1. The result is the discounted development-related net capital cost that is eligible for recovery against growth over the period from 2022 to 2031. Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charge Rates The section below the capital program displays the calculation of the "unadjusted" development charge rates. The term "unadjusted" development charge is used to distinguish the charge that is calculated prior to cash flow financing considerations. The cash flow analysis is shown in Table 3. The first step when determining the unadjusted development charge rate is to allocate the growth-related net capital cost between the residential and non-residential sectors. For all general services with the exception of Library Service, Parks and Recreation, Waste Diversion Services, and Long-Term Care, the growth-related costs have been apportioned as 73 per cent residential and 27 per cent non-residential. This apportionment is based on the anticipated shares of census population and employment growth over the ten-year forecast period. The development-related costs associated with the Library Service, Parks and Recreation, Waste Diversion Services, and Long-Term Care have been allocated 100 per cent to the residential sector because the need for these services is generally driven by residential development. Appendix B | 84 The residential share of the 2022-2031 DC eligible costs are then divided by the forecast population growth in new units. This gives the unadjusted residential development charge per capita. The non-residential growth- related net capital costs are divided by the forecast increase in non- residential gross floor area (GFA). This yields a charge per square metre of new non-residential GFA. Table 3 Cash Flow Analysis A cash flow analysis is also undertaken to account for the timing of projects and receipt of development charges. Interest earnings or borrowing costs are, therefore, accounted for in the calculation as allowed under the DCA. Based on the growth forecast, the analysis calculates the development charges rate that is required to finance the net development-related capital spending plan including provisions for any borrowing costs or interest earnings on the reserve funds. The cash flow analysis is designed so that the closing cash balance at the end of the planning period is as close to nil as possible. In order to determine appropriate development charges rates reflecting borrowing and earnings necessary to support the net development-related funding requirement, assumptions are used for the inflation rate and interest rate. An inflation rate of 2.0 per cent is used for the funding requirements, an interest rate of 3.5 per cent is used for positive opening balances, and a rate of 5.5 per cent is used for negative opening balances. Table 3 displays the results of the cash flow analysis and provides the adjusted or final per capita residential and per square metre (of GFA) non- residential development charges. Appendix B | 85 Appendix B.1 Library Services Appendix B | 86 Library Services The Orillia Public Library provides library services from its central branch at 36 Mississaga Street West. The branch was relocated to 500 Gill Street in 2010 and was used as a temporary location until the construction of the Orillia Public Library was completed in the summer of 2012. The Library provides a wide range of resources in a variety of formats as well as a number of programs to the residents of the City and the Townships of Severn and Oro-Medonte. The City provides library membership to the two Townships and the City accounts for 75% of the usage of the library facilities. The values discussed in the text below represent the City of Orillia's share. Table B.1-1 2007 - 2021 Historic Service Levels Table B.1-1 displays the Library Board fifteen-year historic inventory for buildings, land, materials, and furniture and equipment (excluding computer equipment). To account for the usage of the library facilities by residents from the Townships of Severn and Oro-Medonte, 25% of the value of the inventory has been removed from the level of service calculation. This percentage is based upon a contract signed between the City and the Townships. All values expressed herein represent the City's share only, at 75%. The total Orillia Public Library has a gross floor area of 39,085 square feet. A share of the library, 2,976 square feet, is considered committed excess capacity and has been netted out from the total square feet thus meaning the total square footage net of excess capacity is 36,085 square feet. The total replacement value of the library buildings is $25.62 million net of excess capacity. Orillia's share of the library buildings is valued at $19.22 million. The library building occupies approximately 0.50 hectares of land worth $400,000, of which the City of Orillia's share makes up $300,000. The City's share of the collection materials is valued at $2.25 million and the Appendix B | 87 City's share of furniture and equipment associated with the branch is valued at $1.55 million. The 2021 full replacement value of the inventory of capital assets for library services for the City amounts to $23.31 million and the fifteen-year historic average service level is $575.35 per capita. The historic service level multiplied by the ten-year forecast of net population growth results in a ten-year maximum allowable funding envelope of $3.07 million (5,340 net population growth X historic service level of $575.35/capita). Table B.1-2 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charge The first project in the Library capital program is for the recovery of the committed excess capacity. As discussed above, the negative reserve fund balance relates to the funding of the Orillia Public Library which opened in June 2012. The negative DC reserve fund balance for the Library Board amounts to $1.54 million. The remainder of the Library Board capital program includes a new sorter for $70,000, and additions to the collection materials for $504,900. $42,000 has been removed from the eligible costs as Benefit to Existing (BTE) shares for the new sorter as the City is upgrading and replacing three bins and adding two new ones. Therefore, the total DC eligible costs for these new projects is $532,900. Approximately $2.08 million of the DC costs are eligible for in-period recovery, and is allocated entirely against future residential development in the City of Orillia. This results in an unadjusted development charge of $332 per capita. Appendix B | 88 Table B.1-3 Cash Flow and Reserve Fund Analysis The current balance in the Library Board development charge reserve fund is in a deficit of $1.54 million and that is shown as the opening balance. After cash flow, the residential calculated charge increases to $379 per capita. The increase reflects the front-ended nature of the capital program. The following table summarizes the calculation of the Library Board development charge: 10-year Hist. Service Level per capita Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $575.35 $2,119,585 $2,077,585 $332 $0.00 $379 $0.00 LIBRARY SERVICES SUMMARY Development-Related Capital Program 2022 - 2031 Unadjusted Adjusted Development Charge Development Charge Appendix B | 89 This table show s the 15-year historical ser vice level and f unding en velope ca lculations for Libr ary Serv ices . Appendix B | 90 Continuation of the 15-year historical serv ice level and fu nding env elope cal culations for Libr ary Serv ices . Appendix B | 91 Conclusion of 1 5-year historical service lev el and funding e nvel ope calc ulat ions for Lib rary Ser vice s . Appendix B | 92 This table s how s the development-relate d capi tal pro gram for Librar y Service s. Appendix B | 93 This table displays the res ults of the cash flo w an alys is f or L ibra ry Se rvices. Appendix B | 94 Appendix B.2 Fire Services Appendix B | 95 Fire Services The Orillia Fire Department operates from two stations: the Main Hall which was located on West Street until 2014 after which it was relocated to 500 Gill Street, at which time there was the addition of a Headquarters, and the Substation on Commerce Road. The Department is responsible for Fire prevention inspections, public education sessions, communications (including dispatching), and Fire suppression. Table B.2-1 2007 - 2021 Historic Service Levels The Fire Services' current inventory of capital assets includes two Fire stations. The combined area of the stations is 27,400 square feet. Fire Station 1, Headquarters, includes 151 square feet of committed excess capacity and is excluded from the total. The net area of the stations is 27,249 square feet, and the net values of the stations used in the service level calculations is $12.53 million. The land area associated with the buildings is roughly 1.38 hectares and is valued at $1.10 million. The total value of furniture and equipment is $2.83 million. Finally, the 12 vehicles associated with the stations have a replacement value of $7.50 million. The current replacement value of the Fire Services capital infrastructure is $23.88 million. It has provided the City with a fifteen-year average service level of $418.75 per population and employment. The historic service level multiplied by the ten-year forecast of net population growth results in a ten-year maximum allowable funding envelope of $3.20 million (7,650 net population and employment growth X historic service level of $419/capita). Appendix B | 96 Table B.2-2 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charge The 2022 to 2031 development-related capital program for Fire is consistent with the Council-approved 2022 and 2023 capital budget, and follows the identified needs in West Orillia contained in the Fire Protection Services Master Plan 2017. The first project in the Fire Services capital program is for the recovery of the committed excess capacity. The negative reserve fund balance relates to the committed excess capacity in Fire Station 1, Headquarters, which was opened in 2015. The negative DC reserve fund balance for Fire Services amounts to $554,525 and this full amount is brought forward for recovery through development charges. A new station will be constructed in 2031 which will provide the opportunity to offer emergency services to Oro-Medonte and Severn Townships through a Fire Services Agreement. Both of these areas are growing faster than the City of Orillia in accordance with the City's Fire Department Fire Protection Services Master Plan, 2017. The cost of equipment for the new Fire station in West Orillia is $8.00 million, of which, the benefit to existing share is $4.00 million and 50% of the project will benefit in-period growth. The cost of Live Fire/Ventilation Training and Communication System Enhancement will be $40,000 and $25,000. The total DC eligible cost will be $0 as these projects are replacements. A Next Generation 911 Communication System will be added in 2023 for a total cost of $265,000 of which, the benefit to existing share is $230,197 (87%) as it is in part a service level enhancement. The total DC eligible cost is $34,803, all of which is considered to be eligible for in-period recovery. Appendix B | 97 Of the $6.38 million 2022-2031 DC costs, $3.20 million is eligible for in- period recovery, with the remaining $3.17 million as a post-2031 share to be recovered in future development charge studies. The costs are allocated 73 per cent, or $2.34 million, against residential development, and 28 per cent, or $862,866, against non-residential development. The allocation between residential and non-residential development is based on shares of forecasted growth. The resulting unadjusted development charge is $374 per capita for residential and $5.97 per square metre for non-residential. Table B.2-3 Cash Flow Analysis The current balance in the Fire Services development charge reserve fund is in a deficit, thus negative $405,200 is shown as the opening balance in the residential cash-flow and negative $149,400 is shown as the opening balance in the non-residential cash-flow. After cash flow consideration, the residential charge increases to $375 per capita and the non-residential charge increases to $5.99 per square metre. The increase reflects the timing of capital expenditures and development charge revenues. The following table summarizes the calculation of the Fire Services development charge. 10-year Hist. Service Level per pop & emp Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $418.75 $10,671,525 $3,203,438 $374 $5.97 $375 $5.99 Development-Related Capital Program Development Charge Development Charge FIRE SERVICES SUMMARY 2022 - 2031 Unadjusted Adjusted Appendix B | 98 T his table shows the 15-year historical ser vice level an d funding envelope calculation s fo r Fi re S ervi ces. Appendix B | 99 Continuation of the tab le showing the 15-year historical service level and fun ding env elope cal culations fo r Fi re S ervi ces. Appendix B | 100 Conclusion o f the table showing the 15 -year historical service leve l and funding env elop e ca lcul atio ns f or F ire Serv ices . Appendix B | 101 This table s how s the development-relate d capi tal pro gram for Fire S ervices. Appendix B | 102 This table d isplays the results of t he c ash flow ana lysi s fo r Fi re S ervi ces for R esidential Appendix B | 103 This table d isplays the results of t he c ash flow ana lysi s fo r Fi re S ervi ces - Non Residential. Appendix B | 104 Appendix B.3 Indoor Recreation Appendix B | 105 Indoor Recreation The City of Orillia Recreation Department is responsible for the indoor recreation and leisure needs of the community, including the provision and maintenance of arenas, facilities, recreation services and programs to the residents of Orillia and surrounding area. The City currently offers indoor recreation services from 5 major facilities; the Brian Orser Arena, the Forest Home Community Hall, the Barnfield Point Recreation Centre, the Rotary Place, and the Orillia Recreation Centre. As of 2014, the Orillia Community Centre was no longer in service and in 2021 the Orillia Recreation Centre opened. Table B.3-1 2007 - 2021 Historic Service Levels Table B.3-1 displays the Indoor Recreation fifteen-year historic inventory for buildings, land, and equipment. The building space amounts to 304,060 square feet, valued at $92.88 million. The land associated with the buildings amount to 12.66 hectares, and is valued at $10.13 million. The equipment found in the facilities has a total value of $352,000. The 2021 full replacement value of the inventory of capital assets for Indoor Recreation amounts to $103.36 million and the fifteen-year historic average service level is $1,798.35 per capita. The historic service level multiplied by the ten-year forecast of net population growth results in a ten-year maximum allowable funding envelope of $9.60 million (5,340 net population growth X historic service level of $1,798/capita). Appendix B | 106 Table B.3-2 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charge The 2022 - 2031 development-related capital program for Indoor Recreation amounts to $52.92 million. The Indoor Recreation capital program includes recovery of the Orillia Recreation Complex Growth-Share which amounts to $52.84 million. About 87 per cent of the complex, or $45.90 million, is considered to be of benefit to the existing residents. The remaining $6.94 million is considered growth related. Of this amount $554,511 is allocated to prior growth and available DC reserves, while the rest of the costs are considered to benefit development within the planning period. The City will also purchase $80,000 in fitness equipment over the ten-year planning period to service new growth. The total 2022 - 2031 DC costs eligible for recovery amount to $7.02 million which is allocated entirely against future residential development in the City of Orillia. This results in an unadjusted development charge of $1,032 per capita. Table B.3-3 Cash Flow and Reserve Fund Analysis After cash flow and reserve fund consideration, the residential calculated charge increases to $1,102 per capita. This is a reflection of the timing of the capital program and development charges revenues. The following table summarizes the calculation of the indoor recreation development charge: 10-year Hist. Service Level per capita Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $1,798.35 $52,922,000 $6,465,348 $1,032 $0.00 $1,102 $0.00 2022 - 2031 Unadjusted Adjusted INDOOR RECREATION SUMMARY Development-Related Capital Program Development Charge Development Charge Appendix B | 107 This table show s the 15-year historical se rvice level and f unding en velope ca lculations fo r In door Rec reat ion. Appendix B | 108 Conclusion of t he table showing the 15-year historical servic e le vel and fund ing enve lope cal cula tion s fo r In door Rec reat ion . Appendix B | 109 This table s how s the development-relate d capi tal pro gram for Indoor Recreati on. Appendix B | 110 This table d isplays the results of the c ash flow ana lysi s fo r In door Rec reat ion Appendix B | 111 Appendix B.4 Park Development, Facilities & Fleet Appendix B | 112 Park Development, Facilities & Fleet The City of Orillia Parks Department is responsible for the recreation and leisure needs of the community, including the provision and maintenance of parks to the residents of Orillia. The City offers 221.35 hectares of developed parkland and an array of parks facilities including playgrounds, soccer fields and baseball diamonds. Table B.4-1 2007 - 2021 Historic Service Levels Table B.4-1 displays the Parks fifteen-year historic inventory for developed park facilities, parkland, park buildings and parks fleet. The Parks facilities include 30 plaground with a replacement value of $9.26 million. The facilities also include range of amenities such as sports fields, play equipment and trails, which have a value of $21.71 million. The Parks department is also responsible for outdoor parks buildings, such as washrooms, greenhouses, work sheds, pavilions, and picnic shelters. All of the parks buildings amount to a square footage of 39,791 and are valued at $16.73 million. The developed parkland amounts to 221.35 hectares and has a replacement value $34.04 million. The parks fleet and equipment list is extensive at 140 line items. This inventory adds $4.47 million to the Parks service level inventory. The 2021 full replacement value of the inventory of capital assets for the Parks department amounts to $86.21 million and the fifteen-year historic average service level is $2,396.36 per capita. The historic service level multiplied by the ten-year forecast of net population growth results in a ten-year maximum allowable funding Appendix B | 113 envelope of roughly $12.80 million (5,340 net population growth X historic service level of $2,396/capita). Table B.4-2 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charge The 2022-2031 gross development-related capital program for the Park Development department amounts to $52.07 million. The first project in the Parks department capital program is for the recovery of the committed excess capacity. The negative reserve fund balance relates to the committed excess capacity created from recent additions to the capital inventory. The negative DC reserve fund balance for the Parks Development department amounts to $2.73 million. The second section of the Parks Development capital program is the new parks facilities in the capital plan. Some new major parks facilities projects include the James Street Works Garage, the Foundary Park Skatepark and Playground, the Couchiching Beach Parking Lot Expansion, the Additional Yard in West Orillia, and several park upgrades. The cost of the James Street Works Garage and the Additional Yard in West Orillia is split between multiple services. The other services' share of these projects is shown as a recovery. It is anticipated that the gross project cost will be $44.08 million for parks facilites. $24.94 million of this recovery will be recovered through grants, subsidies, and other services' shares. The costs will be reduced by $6.75 million for the replacement shares, leaving the total DC eligible share as $12.39 million. Of that $12.39 million, $7.39 million will be in-period, with the post-period share amounting to $5.00 million. The third section consists of new trail development. It is anticipated the gross project costs will sum up to $3.43 million for various trail development projects across Orillia. The replacement share is $1.99 million of the total Appendix B | 114 annual cost. The post-period benefit amounts to $890,359 and the total capital program share within the 2022-2031 period is $494,137 for new trail development. The remaining projects are related to the parks and recreation fleet. Some of these vehicles and equipment are shared between services. Thus, other services' portion of the capital cost are included as recoveries. Certain projects, like the Operational Management System and some servicing equipment and vehicles have BTE as they provide some service level enhancement for existing residents. It is anticipated the gross project costs will sum up to $1.83 million, of which $1.16 million is recoveries. The BTE and replacement share is $124,625 of the net municipal cost. The post- period benefit amounts to $262,000 and the total capital program within the 2022-2031 period is $279,872. The 2022-2031 DC parks related costs eligible for recovery amount to $10.89 million which is allocated entirely against future residential development in the City of Orillia. This results in an unadjusted development charge of $1,738 per capita. Table B.4-3 Cash Flow and Reserve Fund Analysis After cash flow and reserve fund consideration, the residential calculated charge increases to $1,825 per capita. This is a reflection of the timing of the capital program and development charges revenues. The following table summarizes the calculation of the parks development charge: 10-year Hist. Service Level per capita Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $2,396.36 $52,070,207 $10,892,428 $1,738 $0.00 $1,825 $0.00 PARK DEVELOPMENT, FACILITIES & FLEET SUMMARY Unadjusted Adjusted Development Charge Development Charge 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program Appendix B | 115 . Appendix B | 116 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and fun ding envelope calculations fo r Parks D evelopmen t, F acil itie s, a nd F leet . Appendix B | 117 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and fun ding envelope cal culations for Parks Dev elopment, Fac ilit ies, and Fle et . Appendix B | 118 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and fun ding enve lope calculations for Parks Developm ent, Fac ilit ies, and Fle et . Appendix B | 119 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and fun ding envelope ca lculation s for Parks Deve lopm ent, Fac ilit ies, and Fle et . Appendix B | 120 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and fun ding envelope ca lculation s for Parks Deve lopm ent, Fac ilit ies, and Fle et . Appendix B | 121 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and fun ding envelope ca lculation s for Parks Deve lopm ent, Fac ilit ies, and Fle et . Appendix B | 122 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and fun ding envelope ca lculation s for Parks Deve lopm ent, Fac ilit ies, and Fle et . Appendix B | 123 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and fun ding envelope ca lculation s for Parks Deve lopm ent, Fac ilit ies, and Fle et . Appendix B | 124 Conclusion of t he table showing the 15-year historical service level and funding env elop e ca lcul atio ns f or P arks Dev elop ment , Fa cili ties , an d Fleet . Appendix B | 125 This table s how s the development-relate d capi tal pro gram for Parks Developme nt, Facilit ies, and Fl eet. Appendix B 126 Concl usion o f t he ta ble showing the dev elopme nt-rela ted capital pro gram for Parks Devel opment, Fac ilities, an d Fleet. Appendix B | 127 This table d isplays the results of the cash flow analysis f or P arks Dev elop ment , Fa cili ties , an d Fl eet Appendix B | 128 Appendix B.5 Services Related to a Highway: Public Works Appendix B | 129 Services Related to a Highway: Public Works The City of Orillia Services Related to a Highways is divided into two major areas of responsibilities: Public Works and Roads. This section deals with the capital infrastructure of Services Related to a Highway: Public Works. Table B.5-1 2007 - 2021 Historic Service Levels The fifteen-year historic inventory of capital assets for Public Works includes 48,562 square feet of building space with a replacement value of $7.73 million. The 2.00 hectares of land associated with the Public Works buildings are valued at $1.60 million, furniture and equipment amounts to $825,500, and the Public Works fleet include 124 vehicles and adds an additional $19.14 million to the value of the capital assets (net of commited excess capacity). The total replacement value of the Public Works capital infrastructure is estimated to be $29.30 million. The fifteen-year historic average service level is $506.47 per capita and employment and this, multiplied by the ten- year forecast net population and employment growth (7,650), results in a ten-year maximum allowable of $3.87 million. Table B.5-2 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charges The 2022 to 2031 development-related capital program for Public Work is consistent with the 2022 and 2023 capital budget. Appendix B | 130 The first project in the Public Works capital program is for the recovery of the negative reserve fund balance. The negative DC reserve fund balance for Public Works amounts to $269,064 and this full amount is brought forward for recovery through development charges. The rest of the Public Works development related capital program consists of operations, fleet, and space capital. This includes the Public Works portion of the cost of the James Street Works Garage and the Additional Yard in West Orillia. These projects are split between multiple services (shown as a recovery). The rest of the costs are new or upgraded service vehicles, and operational upgrades. It is anticipated that the gross project costs will sum up to $33.14 million with $9.06 million in recoveries. The BTE and replacement share is $1.55 million of the cost. The post-period benefit amounts to $20.15 million and the total DC-eligible capital program within the 2022-2031 period is $2.38 million. Of the total $22.80 million eligible DC costs, $2.65 million is eligible for in- period recovery, with the remaining $20.15 million as a post-2031 share to be recovered in future development charge studies. The costs are allocated 73 per cent, or $1.93 million, against residential development, and 28 per cent, or $712,741, against non-residential development. The allocation between residential and non-residential development is based on shares of forecasted growth. The resulting unadjusted development charge is $309 per capita for residential and $4.93 per square metre for non-residential. Table B.5-3 Cash Flow and Reserve Fund Analysis After cash flow and reserve fund analysis, the residential calculated charge increases to $331 per capita and the non-residential charge increases to $5.31 per square metre for Public Works. This is a reflection of the timing of the capital program and development charges revenues. Appendix B | 131 The following table summarizes the calculation of the Services Related to a Highway: Public Works development charge. 10-year Hist. Service Level per pop & emp Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $506.47 $33,409,064 $2,646,089 $309 $4.93 $331 $5.31 2022 - 2031 Unadjusted Adjusted Development-Related Capital Program Development Charge Development Charge SERVICES RELATED TO A HIGHWAY: PUBLIC WORKS SUMMARY Appendix B | 132 This table show s the 15-year historical se rvice level and funding envelope calculatio ns for Se rvices Re lated to a Hi ghwa y: P ubli c Wo rks. Appendix B | 133 Continuation of table showing the developm ent-related capital program for Services Re lated to a Hig hway: Publi c Wo rks . Appendix B | 134 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and funding en velop e calcula tions for S ervi ces Rela ted to a Hig hway : Pu blic Wor ks . Appendix B | 135 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and funding en velop e calcula tions for S ervi ces Rela ted to a Hig hway : Pu blic Wor ks . Appendix B | 136 Continuation of the table showing the 15-y ear historical service level and funding en velop e calcula tions for S ervi ces Rela ted to a Hig hway : Pu blic Wor ks . Appendix B | 137 Conclusion of t he table showing the 15-year historical service level and funding envelo pe c alcu lati ons for Serv ices Rel ated to a Hi ghwa y: P ubli c Wo rks . Appendix B | 138 This table s how s the development-relate d capi tal pro gram for Servic es Relate d to a High way: Public Works. Appendix B | 139 This table d isplays the results of the cash flow analysis for Serv ices Rel ated to a Hi ghwa y: P ubli c Wo rks - Res idential Appendix B | 140 This table d isplays the results of the cash flow analysis for Serv ices Rel ated to a Hi ghwa y: P ubli c Wo rks - Non -Residential. Appendix B | 141 Appendix B.6 Transit Appendix B | 142 Transit Orillia Transit is owned by the City of Orillia and operated under contract by TOK Transit Limited. There are six different routes, offering service to most areas of the City. Transit Ridership and Planned Level of Service The City of Orillia currently operates six routes throughout the week. Details on operating times and locations are outlined below, as posted on the Orillia Transit website: - Terminal is located at West and Mississaga Streets. - Weekday service begins at 6:15 a.m. with final departures from the terminal at 10:15p.m. - Saturday service begins at 8:45 a.m. with final departures from the terminal at 7:45 p.m. - Sunday Service begins at 8:45 a.m. with final departures from the terminal at 4:15 p.m. - Orillia Transit operates six bus routes departing the terminal at 15 and 45 minutes past the hour. - No service on Holidays. Orillia Transit ridership has been growing steadily over the past few years. The table below shows that in 2015 total yearly ridership was 837,640. By 2019 total ridership had increased to 855,180 riders. In 2020, there was a slight drop in transit ridership that was likely COVID-19 related which was largely recoved in 2021 and it is anticipated will be fully recovered by 2023. It is important to note that ridership figures are estimates based on a sample of revenue generating passengers who paid fares or purchased passes. Appendix B | 143 Historical Transit Ridership Year Ridership (Revenue Passengers) 2015 837,640 2016 827,240 2017 829,970 2018 835,150 2019 855,180 2020 827,070 2021 841,746 Source: Operational Review of Orillia Transit Service and staff estimates. Moving forward, the City expects transit ridership to continue to grow. Generally, transit ridership is attributed to increase as population and employment grows. As a result, ridership is expected to grow in proportion to population and employment growth in the City. The Transit capital program presented in Table 2 is therefore considered to reflect the planned level of service. Table B.6-1 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charges The Transit capital program includes the recovery of the negative reserve fund balance. The negative reserve fund balance relates to the committed excess capacity created from recent additions to the capital inventory. The negative DC reserve fund balance for Transit services amounts to $410,352. The remainder of the development-related capital plan for Transit Services consists of 50 additional stops along the 6th Line valued at $10,000 and additional equipment and buses valued at $8.26 million. About 30% costs of the new 6th Line stops are to provide services to existing resident and 83% of Appendix B | 144 the new transit equipment and bus costs are considered to benefit existing residents. The City also plans on instituting a Transit Shelter program to accommodate new development. Finally, a new Transit Terminal will be built at a cost of $39.60 million, of which 90% of costs are considered to be replacement related and 10% of which are considered capacity expansion. The total gross costs for Transit amount to $48.60 million. The City of Orillia has received a total of $12.12 million in grants and subsidies, which will reduce the net municipal costs to $36.48 million. Replacement and BTE shares amount to $32.18 million and $345,000 is considered post-2031 benefits. The 2022-2031 DC cost eligible for recovery of $3.96 million is allocated 73 per cent, or $2.89 million against new residential development, and 27 per cent, or $1.07 against non-residential development. This yields an unadjusted development charge of $461 per capita and $7.37 per square metre. Table B.6-2 Cash Flow Analysis After cash flow analysis, the residential charge increases to $529 per capita and the non-residential charge increases to $8.50 per square metre. This is a reflection of the timing of the capital program and development charges revenues. The following table summarizes the calculation of the Transit development charge. Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $48,604,352 $3,956,352 $461 $7.37 $529 $8.50 2022 - 2031 Unadjusted Adjusted Development-Related Capital Program Development Charge Development Charge TRANSIT SUMMARY Appendix B | 145 This table s how s the development-relate d capi tal pro gram for Transi t. Appendix B | 146 This table d isplays the result s of the cas h fl ow a naly sis for Tran sit - Res idential Appendix B | 147 This table d isplays the result s of the cas h fl ow a naly sis for Tran sit - Non -Residential Appendix B | 148 Appendix B.7 Waste Diversion Services Appendix B | 149 Waste Diversion Services The DCA permits the Municipality to impose a development charge for waste diversion services (i.e. not landfill or waste incineration). Table B.7-1 2007 - 2021 Historic Service Levels The fifteen-year historic inventory of capital assets for Waste Diversion Services includes 4,670 square feet of building space with a replacement value of $980,700. The 21.56 hectares of land associated with Waste Diversion Services buildings are valued at $10.24 million, furniture and equipment amounts to $26,400. Each of these calculations has netted off the portion related to landfill operations at each site. The total value of the Waste Diversion Services capital infrastructure is estimated to be $11.25 million. The fifteen-year historic average service level is $340.93 per capita this, multiplied by the ten-year forecast net growth (5,340), results in a ten-year maximum allowable of $1.8 million. Table B.7-2 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charges The Waste Diversion Services capital program includes the recovery of the negative reserve fund balance. The negative reserve fund balance relates to the committed excess capacity created from recent additions to the capital inventory. The negative DC reserve fund balance for Waste Diversion Services amounts to $457,155. The development-related capital program includes a gross project cost of $3.65 million related to facilities and land. These costs include site assessment, site capping, a new depot, reporting costs, and works. The BTE Appendix B | 150 share for these projects is $3.31 million and the 2022-2031 DC-eligible cost is $335,000. The development-related capital program also includes a gross project cost of $450,000 for new multifunction equipment. These projects have no BTE share. Therefore the total $450,000 cost is DC-eligible with all of it considered in-period. The total gross costs for Waste Diversion Services amount to $4.55 million. Replacement and BTE shares amount to $3.31 million. Therefore, the total 2022-2031 DC-eligible cost is $1.24 million. The 2022-2031 DC Waster Diversion Services related costs eligible for recovery amount to $1.24 million which is allocated entirely against future residential development in the City of Orillia. This results in an unadjusted development charge of $198 per capita. Table B.7-3 Cash Flow and Reserve Fund Analysis After cash flow and reserve fund analysis, the residential calculated charge increases to $215 per capita. This is a reflection of the timing of the capital program and development charges revenues. The following table summarizes the calculation of the Waste Diversion Services development charge. 10-year Hist. Service Level per capita Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $340.93 $4,552,155 $1,242,155 $198 $0.00 $215 $0.00 WASTE DIVERSION SERVICES SUMMARY 2022 - 2031 Unadjusted Adjusted Development-Related Capital Program Development Charge Development Charge Appendix B | 151 This table show s the 15-year historical se rvice level and funding envelope calculati ons for Waste Div ersi on S ervi ces. Appendix B | 152 Conclusion of T able showing the 15-year hist orical service level and fun ding env elop e ca lcul atio ns f or W aste Div ersi on S ervi ces . Appendix B | 153 This table s how s the development-relate d capi tal pro gram for Waste Diversion Services. Appendix B | 154 This table d isplays the results of the cash flo w an alys is f or W aste Div ersi on S ervi ces - Res idential. Appendix B | 155 Appendix B.8 Paramedic Services Appendix B | 156 The City of Orillia and the City of Barrie receive Paramedic Services from the County of Simcoe through a cost-sharing agreement and their shares are based on weighted taxable assessment values of 6% and 26% respectively. The County began delivering the Paramedic Services January 1, 2001 when the Province downloaded this service delivery to Simcoe County. There are currently 26 paramedic stations positioned among all of the lower-tier Towns and Townships in the County. Table B.8-1 2007 - 2021 Historic Service Levels The Paramedic Services inventory of capital assets includes 26 paramedic, space at the County's Administrative Centre in Midhurst, and the County's warehouse. The combined building area of over 139,861 square feet, valued at approximately $89.99 million (Orillia's share = $5.47 million). The buildings occupy roughly 12.9 hectares of land which is valued at $17.38 million, (Orillia's share = $1.06 million). The 77 vehicles associated with the paramedic stations in the County of Simcoe have a replacement value of nearly $16.20 million (Orillia's share = $985,500). Station equipment adds another $1.24 million to the inventory (Orillia's share = $75,300). Orillia's share of the total current value of Paramedic Services capital infrastructure including building, land, vehicles, furniture and equipment is valued at approximately $7.59 million and has provided the City with a 15 year average historical service level of $84.05 per population and employment. The calculated maximum allowable recoverable through development charges is $642,983. The County's obligation to meet adequate response times and quality of service together with the recent growth in population and employment has necessitated recent enhancements to the paramedic stations. This has resulted in a notional excess capacity. However, as the excess capacity was created to meet the demands of other legislation (i.e. Ambulance Act of Appendix B | 157 Ontario Regulation 257/00), its value is not removed from the calculation of the maximum allowable. Table B.8-2 2022 - 2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the Unadjusted Development Charges The current arrangement of paramedic stations and service delivery is a product of the evolution of separate systems existing prior to the transfer of this service from the Province to the County. There is a need to develop a model and plan to address growth, and ensuring the service is delivered in the most efficient manner. The County has hired consultants to assist in developing a facility model and the result was to implement a hub and spoke approach. The development-related capital program for Paramedic Services focuses on implementing this new approach to service delivery. The County of Simcoe's Paramedic Services ten-year capital program includes a number of new station construction, as well as a reorganization and re-location of several existing stations. The County plans to construct a centralized hub paramedic station as well as seven satellite posts. The land acquisition costs total $11.46 million and the building construction costs total an additional $31.93 million. Finally, additional emergency response vehicles will be added to the current fleet. Total costs of these vehicles add up to roughly $6.78 million. The Paramedic DC reserve fund balance is in a negative position, and an amount of $578,837 is included for recovery through DCs. Altogether, the ten-year capital forecast for Paramedic Services amounts to $50.74 million. The cost-sharing agreement states that the Cities of Barrie and Orillia contribute roughly 26 per cent and 6 per cent of the total costs of the projects respectively, the remainder being the County's share. An amount of $41.56 million is identified as, "Grants, Subsidies, and Other Appendix B | 158 Recoveries" represents the County's and Barrie's portion of the capital program, and any grants or subsidies. These recoveries are netted off the total gross project costs. Recognizing that some of the new stations being constructed will result in the current station being closed, the appropriate "replacement" shares have been netted off the total net costs. The total "replacement" shares amount to $685,621 and this amount will not be recovered through development charges. The total DC eligible costs amount to $2.22 million of which $1.58 million, is deemed to be post-period benefit, and will be considered for recovery in subsequent development charges by-laws. The in-period DC-eligible share amounts to $642,983. The development-related cost is allocated 73 per cent, or $469,791, against new residential development, and 27 per cent, or $173,191, against non- residential development. This yields an unadjusted development charge of $75 per capita and $1.20 per square metre. Table B.8-3 Cash Flow Analysis After cash flow analysis, the residential charge increases to $89 per capita and the non-residential charge increases to $1.43 per square metre. This is a reflection of the timing of the capital program and development charges revenues. The following table summarizes the calculation of the Paramedic Services development charge. 10-year Hist. Service Level per pop & emp Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $84.05 $50,738,992 $642,983 $75 $1.20 $89 $1.43 PARAMEDIC SERVICES SUMMARY 2022 - 2031 Unadjusted Adjusted Development-Related Capital Program Development Charge Development Charge Appendix B | 159 This table show s the 15-year historical ser vice level and fun ding envelope calculations for Paramedic Services. Appendix B | 160 Continuation of table showing the 15-year h istorical service leve l and fun ding envelop e ca lcul atio ns f or P aram edic Ser vice s . Appendix B | 161 Continuation of table showing the 15-year h istorical service level an d funding envelope ca lcul atio ns f or P aram edic Ser vice s . Appendix B | 162 Continuation of table showing the 15-year h istorical service level and funding env elope calcul atio ns f or P aram edic Ser vice s . Appendix B | 163 Conclusion of t able showing the 15-year hist orical service lev el a nd f undi ng e nvel ope calc ulat ions for Par amed ic S ervi ces . Appendix B | 164 This table s how s the developmen t-rel ated capital progra m for Paramed ic Services. Appendix B | 165 Concl usion o f t he table showing the development-related capit al prog ram for Paramed ic Servic es. Appendix B | 166 This table d isplays the results of the ca sh f low anal ysis for Par amed ic S ervi ces - Non -Residential. Appendix B | 167 This table d isplays the results of the ca sh f low anal ysis for Par amed ic S ervi ces - Res idential Appendix B | 168 Appendix B.9 Long Term Care Appendix B | 169 Long Term Care Long term care facilities provide a range of long term care needs, from Life Lease homes to assisted living suites, only assets and capital needs related to long term care needs are included in the DC anlysis. The Long Term Care component of this service is provided by Simcoe County and is based on a cost sharing agreement with the Cities of Barrie and Orillia. Only the City of Orillia's share of 10.84% is incorporated into the development charges calculation. Table B.9-1 Historical Service Levels Table B.9-1 displays the fifteen-year historical inventory for buildings, land, vehicles and furniture and equipment for Long Term Care. Long Term Care services are provided at the manors, which are shared with the Cities of Barrie and Orillia through a cost sharing agreement. In 2021, the County of Simcoe's share was 78.9 per cent of the costs, Barrie's share was 10.23 per cent, and Orillia's shares was 10.84 per cent. Orillia's service levels do not include vehicles and furniture and equipment as those operational costs are only incurred by the County. Simcoe County provides long term care services from four manors. In 2021, the total square footage of the manors was 497,104 with a replacement cost share that amounts to $28.02 million. Georgian Village in Penetanguishene was reconstructed and expanded in 2013 and has both a Manor and a Village component. Common spaces in the facility have been split and allocated to both the manor and village based on total facility gross floor area. The four manors occupy 10.45 hectares of land. The land for the manors is valued at 13.28 million, of which $1.44 million is the City of Orillia's financial responsibility. Appendix B | 170 The 2021 combined replacement value of the City's share of the inventory of capital assets for Long Term Care is $29.46 million. This results in a fifteen- year historical average service level of $851.95 per capita. The historical service level, multiplied by the ten-year net population growth (5,340), results in a ten-year maximum allowable funding envelope of $4.55 million. Table B.9-2 2022-2031 Development-Related Capital Program & Calculation of the "Unadjusted" Development Charges The 2022 to 2031 development-related capital program includes the 2013 redevelopment of Simcoe Manor/Village and bed expansion for Georgian Manor. In total, the Long Term Care capital program amounts to $104.16 million, with a net municipal cost of $8.21 million. The City of Barrie and Simcoe County's shares of these projects have been netted off as a recover. The portion of the Simcoe Manor/Village redevelopment that is for new affordable housing has also been included in the recovery total. Of the net municipal cost, $7.03 million, 86 per cent of the net municipal cost has been identified as replacement or benefit to existing. The redevelopment project includes a mix of redevelopment of existing beds and space and net new additional space to service development. The remaining $1.28 million is related to development in the 2022-2031 planning period and is eligible for DC recovery. It is noted that the residential DC eligible capital costs are divided by the ten-year growth in population in new dwelling units (6,266) to derive an unadjusted charge of $202 per capita. Appendix B | 171 Table B.9-3 Cash Flow Analysis After cash flow consideration, the residential calculated charge is $204 per capita. This increase reflects the front-ended nature of the timing of anticipated capital projects. The following table summarizes the calculation of the Long Term Care & Senior Services development charge: 10-year Hist. Service Level per capita Total Net DC Recoverable $/capita $/sq.m $/capita $/sq.m $851.95 $104,443,604 $1,267,823 $202 $0.00 $204 $0.00 LONG TERM CARE SUMMARY 2022 - 2031 Unadjusted Adjusted Development-Related Capital Program Development Charge Development Charge Appendix B | 172 This table show s the 15-year historical ser vice level and funding envelope c alculatio ns for Long T erm Care . Appendix B | 173 Conclusion of t he table showing the 15-year h istorical servi ce l evel and fun ding env elop e ca lcul atio ns f or L ong Term Car e. Appendix B | 174 This table s how s the developmen t-rel ated capital progra m for Long Te rm Care. Appendix B | 175 This table d isplays the results of th e ca sh f low anal ysis for Lon g Te rm C are - Res idential. Appendix B | 176 Appendix C Engineering Infrastructure Technical Appendix Appendix C | 177 Engineered Services Technical Appendix The Environmental Services & Operations and the Development Services and Engineering Departments ensure that the City's municipal services such as Services Related to a Highway: Roads, Wastewater, Water, and Stormwater drainage/management facilities are designed for the appropriate protection, health and quality of life of the public, and follow standard engineering practices. These departments also provide review and inspection services to facilitate new development and to maintain service standards to sustain the existing infrastructure. This appendix provides a brief outline of the municipal engineered infrastructure namely; Services Related to a Highway: Roads, Wastewater, Water and Stormwater management services. The roads infrastructure includes the roads themselves as well as streetlights, traffic signalization, sidewalks, structures, and related studies. The Wastewater service provides for sewage tertiary treatment and the sanitary sewers and the Water services include Water supply and distribution system. Stormwater services includes stormwater pipes and ponds. A ten-year development forecast, from 2022 to 2031, has been used to calculate the development charges for the Services Related to a Highway: Roads. A twenty-year development forecast, from 2022 to 2041, has been used to calculate the development charges for Water, Wastewater, and Stormwater services. This forecast is discussed in more detail in Appendix A. The capital forecast for these services, were informed by the Municipality's 2019 Multi-Modal Transportation Master Plan, 2022 Wastewater System Master Plan, and 2022 Water System Master Plan. The capital forecasts were adjusted by Municipal staff and the consulting team based on the 2022 and draft 2023 capital budgets. Appendix C | 178 Appendix C.1 Services Related to a Highway: Roads and Related Appendix C | 179 Services Related to a Highway: Roads and Related Tables 1 - 4 provide details of the projects included in the City-wide roads and related engineered infrastructure development charges calculation. The content of the tables is as follows: Table C.1-1 Roads and Related Inventory of Capital Assets Table C.1-2 Roads and Related Capital Program Table C.1-3 Roads and Related Residential Cash Flow Analysis Table C.1-4 Roads and Related Non-Residential Cash Flow Analysis Table C.1-1 shows the historical roads and related inventory. The City currently owns and maintains a total of 63.00 km of urban and rural roads valued at $162.63 million. In addition, the inventory includes 39 signalized intersections and 2 pedestrian crossing signals with a total value of $12.10 million. Finally, 124,600 meters of sidewalks are valued at $52.33. The total value of the Services Related to a Highway: Roads is $227.06 million. The 15-year average service level based on population and employment is $4,397.58, which yields a maximum funding envelope of $33.64 million (7,650 net population + employment growth X historic service level of $4,398 /capita + employment). The total cost of the Services Related to a Highway: Roads capital program is $38.90 million (Table C.1-2) and provides for the undertaking of various roads and related projects throughout the City. Included in the $38.90 million capital program is the recovery of the $2.22 million negative roads DC reserve fund balance and various lane widenings (oversized shares included Appendix C | 180 and noted). The related works include various growth-related intersection signalizations and new sidewalks. The entire $38.90 million growth-related roads capital program is not to be fully recovered from future development charges; approximately $14.91 million of the program has been identified as a non-growth or benefit to existing share and the City has $1.61 million in other recoveries. The result is a growth-related and development charge recoverable 2022- 2031 share of the capital program of $21.91 million and approximately $475,000 is recoverable post 2031. The growth-related cost has been allocated 73 per cent ($16.00 million) to new residential development and 27 per cent ($5.90 million) to new non-residential development. The allocation of costs is based on consideration of shares of population (in new households) and employment growth over the planning period. The residential share of the roads capital program is divided by the build-out population growth to 2031 (6,266 persons). This results in an unadjusted charge of $2,555 per capita. The non-residential portion of the capital program is divided by the anticipated amount of non-residential gross floor area to build-out to 2031 (144,650 square metres). The unadjusted non- residential charge works out to $40.08 per square metre of gross floor area. The long-term cash-flow analysis (Tables C.1-3 and C.1-4) takes into consideration expenditure timing and revenue projections. The effect of the analysis is an increase in the calculated development charges rates. The main reason for this increase in the rates is the expectation that the expenditures will occur in advance of the development. The resulting adjusted residential and non-residential charges are $2,590 per capita and $41.49 per square metre. The following is a summary of the calculated Services Related to a Highway: Roads development charges: Appendix C | 181 This table sh ows the charg es after cash flow considerations fo r Servic es Rel ated to a High way: Road s. Appendix C | 182 This table show s the 15-year historical se rvice level and funding envelope calculations fo r Ser vices Rel ated to a Hi ghwa y: R oads . Appendix C | 183 Continuation of table showing the 15-year hi storical service level and funding envelope calc ulat ions for Ser vice s Re late d to a H ighw ay: Roads . Appendix C | 184 This table s how s the development-relate d capi tal pro gram for Servic es Relate d to a High way: Roads over the 10 -year pla nning per iod. Appendix C | 185 This table d isplays the results of the residential cash flow analysis for Services Rel ated to a Highway : Roads Appendix C | 186 This table d isplays the results of the non-residential cash flow analysis for to a Hig hway: Roads. Appendix C | 187 Appendix C.2 Wastewater Appendix C | 188 Wastewater Services Table C.2-1 provides details of the projects included in the Wastewater infrastructure development charges calculation. The City's Wastewater service growth-related capital program totals $134.85 million to service growth to build-out of the City. A sizeable project is the Wastewater Treatment Centre Rehabilitation. This project was identified in previous DC Studies, however through further examination, City staff have recognized that there is sufficient capacity to service future population and employment growth in the City to build-out. $10.40 million will be is considered a benefit to existing shares, while the remaining $1.16 million will be recovered by 2041. The remainder of the Wastewater capital program is comprised of trunk sewer upgrades and expansions, pumping station upgrades, Wastewater Master Plan updates, and the recovery of a negative reserve fund deficit of $4.24 million. The total project costs for the WWTC Sludge Stabilization capacity: New Primary Digester and Control Building is valued at $16.04 million. $11.04 million or 69 per cent has been identified as benefit to existing. The remaining cost of the project, $5.00 million, is eligible for recovery. In total, the growth-related capital program is approximately $134.79 million. $5.60 million is to be funded from other sources. $31.33 million has been identified as benefit to existing shares. $75.53 million is allocated to post- 2041 and will be included in a future DC by-law. The remaining $22.39 million is eligible for development charges in the planning period. The growth-related cost has been allocated 72 per cent ($16.01 million) to new residential development and 28 per cent ($6.38 million) to new Appendix C | 189 non-residential development. These allocations are based on development forecasts to 2041. The residential share of the Wastewater capital program is divided by the build-out population growth to 2041 (11,650 persons). This results in an unadjusted charge of $1,375 per capita. The non-residential portion of the capital program is divided by the anticipated amount of non-residential gross floor area to build-out to 2041 (287,800 square metres). The unadjusted non-residential charge works out to $22.17 per square metre of gross floor area. The long-term cash-flow analysis (Tables C.2-2 and C.2-3) takes into consideration expenditure timing and revenue projections. The effect of the analysis is an increase in the calculated development charges rates. The main reason for this increase in the rates is the expectation that the expenditures will occur in advance of the development. The resulting adjusted residential and non-residential charges are $1,673 per capita and $27.36 per square metre. The following is a summary of the calculated Wastewater development charges: This table shows the ch arges af ter ca sh flow consid erations for Wastewater . Appendix C | 190 This table s ets out the p rojects re quired to service an ticipated devel opm ent for the twenty-yea r period from 202 2 to 204 1 for W aste wate r Appendix C 191 This table dis play s th e re sult s of the res iden tial cash flow analysis for Wastew ater. Appendix C | 192 Cont inua tion of tabl e di spla ying the res ults of the res idential ca sh flow ana lysis for W astewater. Appendix C | 193 This table dis play s th e re sult s of the non -res iden tial cash flow analy sis for Wa stewater. Appendix C | 194 Cont inua tion of tabl e di spla ying the res ults of the non -residentia l cash flow analysis f or Wastewat er. Appendix C | 195 Appendix C.3 Water Appendix C | 196 Water Services Table C.3-1 provides details of the projects included in the Water Service infrastructure development charges calculation. The City's Water service growth-related capital program totals $38.88 million to service growth to build-out of the City. The program provides for Water mains, pumping stations, Water storage and expansions. A component of the capital program has been identified as a non-growth or benefit to existing share, which amounts to $5.58 million, and is netted off the recoverable portion. These projects include the Harvie Hill Standpipe with a total project cost valued at $4.70 million, Watermain connection on Commerce Rd. with a benefit to existing share of $1.71 million. It has been concluded by City staff that several projects will provide Water capacity and benefit beyond build-out, as such several projects have been allocated to post 2041. These projects include, $4.70 million for an additional GFS standpipe at Harvie Hill, $110,000 for a Twin Watermain on Laclie St., and Water Filtration Plan Upgrade for a post-period share of $9.00 million. The portions of these projects allocated to post-2041 amounts to $13.81 million. This amount is deemed to benefit development beyond 2041 and has been removed from the DC calculation. The balance, $11.93 million is growth-related and development charge recoverable in the 2022- 2041 planning period. The growth-related cost has been allocated 72 per cent ($8.53 million) to new residential development and 28 per cent ($3.40 million) to new non-residential development. The residential share of the Water capital program is divided by the build- out population growth to 2041 (11,650 persons). This results in an unadjusted charge of $733 per capita. The non-residential portion of the Appendix C | 197 capital program is divided by the anticipated amount of non-residential gross floor area to build-out to 2041 (287,800 square metres). The unadjusted non-residential charge works out to $11.81 per square metre of gross floor area. The long-term cash-flow analysis (Tables C.3-2 and C.3-3) takes into consideration expenditure timing and revenue projections. The effect of the analysis is an increase in the calculated development charges rates. The main reason for this increase in the rates is the expectation that the expenditures will occur in advance of the development. The resulting adjusted residential and non-residential charges are $779 per capita and $12.68 per square metre. The following is a summary of the calculated Water service development charges: This table shows the ch arges af ter ca sh flow consid erations fo r Water. Appendix C | 198 This table s ets out the p rojects re quired to service an ticipated develop ment for the tw enty-year period from 202 2 to 20 41 f or Wat er . Appendix C | 199 This tabl e di spla ys t he r esul ts o f th e re side ntial cash flow anal ysis for Water. Appendix C | 200 Cont inua tion of tabl e di spla ying the res ults of the res idential ca sh flow ana lysis for W ater. Appendix C | 201 This tabl e di spla ys t he r esul ts o f th e no n-re sidential cash flow analys is for Water. Appendix C | 202 Cont inua tion of tabl e di spla ying the res ults of the non -residentia l cash flow analysis f or Water. Appendix C | 203 Appendix C.4 Stormwater Appendix C | 204 Stormwater Management Table C.4-1 provides details of the Stormwater Management development charges calculation. The gross sum of the growth related capital program totals $31.49 million, a share of which, $805,062, is for recovery of past projects and is a recovery of a negative reserve balance. A component of the capital program has been identified as a non-growth or benefit to existing share, which amounts to $20.79 million, and is netted off the recoverable portion. It has been concluded by City staff that several projects will provide capacity and benefit beyond build-out, such as various studies including the addition to James Street Works Garage ($5.00 million) and the Stormworks in West Orillia ($700,000). As such, the total benefit to existing share for Stormwater projects is $20.79 million and is not development charge recoverable. The DC eligible costs for 2022-2041 total $5.13 million. The growth-related cost has been allocated 72 per cent ($3.67 million) to new residential development and 28 per cent ($1.46 million) to new non-residential development. The allocation of costs is based on consideration of shares of population in new households and employment growth over the planning period. The residential share of the Stormwater capital program is divided by the build-out population growth to 2041 (11,650 persons). This results in an unadjusted charge of $315 per capita. The non-residential portion of the capital program is divided by the anticipated amount of non-residential gross floor area to build-out to 2041 (287,800 square metres). The unadjusted non-residential charge works out to $5.07 per square metre of gross floor area. Appendix C | 205 The long-term cash-flow analysis (Tables C.4-2 and C.4-3) takes into consideration expenditure timing and revenue projections. The effect of the analysis is an increase in the calculated development charges rates. The main reason for this increase in the rates is the expectation that the expenditures will occur in advance of the development. The resulting adjusted residential and non-residential charges are $337 per capita and $5.49 per square metre. The following summarizes the calculated Stormwater management development charges: This table shows the ch arges af ter ca sh flow consid erations fo r Stormwat er. Appendix C | 206 This table sets out t he projects req uired to service anticipated develo pment for the twenty- year period fro m 2022 to 2041 for S tormwater . Appendix C | 207 Continuati on of table seting out the projects required to service antic ipated dev elopment fo r the twenty -ye ar period from 2022 to 2041 f or Stormwat er. Appendix C 208 This table dis play s th e re sult s of the res iden tial cash flow analysis for Stor mwater. Appendix C | 209 Cont inua tion of tabl e di spla ying the res ults of the reside ntial cash flow analys is for Stor mwater. Appendix C 210 This table dis play s th e re sult s of the non -res iden tial cash flow analy sis for Stormwate r. Appendix C | 211 Cont inua tion of tabl e di spla ying the res ults of th e non- residenti al cash f low analy sis for S tormwater . Appendix C 212 Appendix D Reserve Fund Balances Appendix D | 213 Development Charges Reserve Fund Unallocated Balances The DCA requires that a reserve fund be established for each service for which development charges are collected. Table D-1 presents the uncommitted reserve fund balances that are available to help fund the growth-related net capital costs identified in this study. The opening balances of the development charges reserve funds are as of December 31, 2021 since the first capital year of the study is 2022. As shown on Table D-1, the December 31, 2021 total reserve fund balance was in a negative position of $10.27 million. The application of each of the reserve funds is discussed in the appendix section related to each service. In the services where the balance is negative, the deficit is recovered up to the limitations allowable under the Development Charges Act. Appendix D | 214 This table provid es the DC re serve f und balances for each service as of December 31, 2021 Appendix D | 215 Appendix E Cost of Growth Analysis Appendix E | 216 Appendix E - Cost of Growth Analysis A. Asset Management Plan The Development Charges Act requires that municipalities complete an Asset Management Plan before passing a development charges by-law. A key function of the Asset Management Plan is to demonstrate that all assets proposed to be funded under the development charges by-law are financially sustainable over their full life-cycle. i. Asset Types A summary of the future Municipality-owned assets and estimated useful life assumptions for eligible DC services considered as part of the study are outlined in Table E-1. Although all capital assets considered in the study have been identified, not all assets necessitate future replacement or ongoing maintenance activities. Some projects do not relate to the emplacement of a tangible capital asset - some examples include the acquisition of land, recovery of completed projects or the undertaking of development-related studies. These projects/costs do not necessarily require future replacement or ongoing maintenance. Such projects are identified as "not infrastructure" in the table. It should be noted that the capital cost estimates prepared for each of the projects identified in this section include grouped costs of various individual elements, which, as a stand-alone item, may have its own useful life (for example, new buildings include HVAC, structural elements, roof, etc.). Accordingly, the average useful life assumptions noted below are applicable to all project components. Appendix E | 217 Table E-1 - Summary of Municipal Assets' Useful Lives Service Estimated Useful Life Library Services Collection Materials New Sorter 7 years 10 years Fire Services Materials and Equipment Buildings 20 years 50 years Indoor Recreation Fitness Equipment 5 years Parks Development, Facilities, and Fleet Park Facilities Trails Vehicles 20 years 30 years 10 years Services Related to a Highway: Public Works Buildings Vehicles and Equipment 50 years 10-15 years Transit Bus Stops Vehicles and Equipment Buildings 10 years 20 years 50 years Waste Diversion Services Facilities and Land Vehicles and Equipment 40 years 20 years Paramedic Services Buildings Vehicles 50 years 10 years Long Term Care Buildings 50 years Appendix E | 218 Service Estimated Useful Life Services Related to a Highway: Roads Roads Intersection Improvement Sidewalks 30 years 30 years 30 years Wastewater Wastewater Infrastructure Buildings 50 years 50 years Water Standpipes Watermains Wells Buildings Pumps 50 years 50 years 50 years 50 years 20 years Stormwater Stormwater Pipes Buildings 50 years 50 years ii. Annual Provision When assets require rehabilitation or are due for replacement, the source of funds is limited to reserves or contributions from operating. Capital expenditures to carry out the rehabilitation and replacement of aging infrastructure are not growth-related and are therefore not eligible for funding through development charge revenues or other developer contributions. Based on the useful life assumptions and the capital cost of acquiring and/or emplacing each asset, a provision for infrastructure replacement has been calculated for both the general and engineered services. Provisions for infrastructure replacement are initially calculated for each asset based on their useful life and the anticipated cost of replacement. The aggregate of all Appendix E | 219 individual provisions form the required annual capital provision. In calculating the annual provisions, a number of assumptions are made to account for inflation (2.0 per cent) and interest (3.5 per cent). Consistent with the requirements of the DCA, assets that are proposed to be funded under the development charges by-law have been included in the analysis. As a result, the total calculated annual provision for development charge related infrastructure has been netted down to consider the replacement of existing infrastructure or benefit-to-existing development. However, for reference, the annual replacement provisions associated with the non-development charge funded costs, including costs related to the benefit-to-existing and post-period benefit have also been calculated. Tables 2 and 3 provide the calculated annual asset management contribution for both the gross capital expenditures and the share related to the 2022 to 2031 DC recoverable portion. As shown in Table E-2, by 2032, the Municipality will need to fund an additional $8.46 million in order to properly fund the full life cycle costs of the new assets related to all services supported under the development charges by-law. This table highlights the DC-eligible and non-DC eligible capital program for each service over the planning period. This table also co Appendix E | 220 iii. Future Revenue Growth The calculated annual funding provision should be considered within the context of the Municipality's projected growth. Over the next ten years, the Municipality's population is projected to increase by 5,340. In addition, the Municipality will also add 2,310 employees that will result in approximately 144,650 square metres of additional non-residential building space. This growth will have the effect of increasing the overall assessment base. This leads to additional user fee and charge revenues to offset the capital asset provisions required to replace the infrastructure proposed to be funded under the development charges by-law. The collection of these funds is intended to be allocated to the Municipality's reserves for future replacement of these assets. B. Long-Term Capital and Operating Impacts As shown in Table E-3, by 2031 the Municipality's net operating costs are estimated to increase by $6.19 million for property tax supported services. Increases in net operating costs will be experienced as there are operational costs associated with additional capital. Table E-4 summarizes the components of the development-related capital forecast that will require funding from non-DC sources (e.g. property tax) for the planning period 2022 to 2031. In total, $177.16 million will need to be funded from non-DC sources over the planning period and is related to facilities and infrastructure that will benefit the existing community. Council is made aware of these factors so that they understand the operating and capital costs that will not be covered by DCs as it adopts the development-related capital forecast set out in the study. Appendix E | 221 C. The Program is Deemed Financially Sustainable In summary, the Asset Management Plan and long-term capital and operating analysis included in this appendix demonstrates that the Municipality can afford to invest and operate the identified general and engineered services infrastructure over the ten-year planning period. Importantly, the Municipality's annual budget review allows staff to continue to monitor and implement mitigating measures should the program become less sustainable. Appendix E | 222 This table gives th e estimated oper a ting impact of addi tional capital for each servic e area exce pt paramedic, long term car e, water, wastew ater, and sto rmwater. Appendix E | 223 This table summariz es the tax and rate supported funding requirements for each service area. Appendix E | 224 Appendix F DC By-Law Available separately - Please see: https://www.orillia.ca/en/city-hall/resources/Treasury/DC-By-law-2023-009.pdf Appendix F | 225